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A longitudinal study of altogether 1462 women aged 38 to 60 years started in Gothenburg, Sweden in 1968-69. Based on information from the population study and from the Swedish Cancer Registry 35 women had a history of malignant disease when initially examined in 1968-69. During a 12-year follow-up period a total of 79 malignant tumours developed in 73 women. A comparison was made between the 1988 Cancer Registry listing and the observations made in the population study. All but one out of 103 cases (99%) were registered in the Cancer Registry and all but one (99%) in the population study. It may be concluded that the accuracy of the population study registration as well as that of the Cancer Registry at that time were very high. This enables us to draw relatively safe conclusions from our own material when testing for risk factors.

This study refers to a longitudinal population study of women in Gothenburg, Sweden. The prevalences of malignant neoplastic disease in two cross-sectional studies in 1968-1969 and in 1980-1981, respectively, and incidence figures for the 12-year period between these cross-sectional studies are presented. The data on malignant neoplasms were based on interview of the participants in the population study, on information from the Cancer Registry of the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare and from the Swedish National Bureau of Statistics and were confirmed by death certificates, inpatient and outpatient records and reexaminations of tissue specimens from the tumor tissue. The prevalences of malignant neoplastic disease increased with age from 0.3% at the age of 38 to 9.9% in women aged 60. The incidence rates during the 12-year period increased with age from about 2% in women aged 38 at the beginning of the study to be about 10% in women initially aged 60. Breast cancer was found to be the most common single malignant neoplasm followed by cancer of uterus and cancer of the ovaries.

A longitudinal population study of 1462 women, aged 38-60 years, was carried out in Gothenburg, Sweden, in 1968-69. In univariate analysis anthropometric variables indicating centrally localized adipose tissue (waist circumference, the ratio of waist to hip circumference and the subscapular skinfold) showed significant age-standardized positive associations with the occurrence (prevalence + incidence data) of endometrial carcinoma. Incidence data suggested that measurements of centrally localized adipose tissue might be of predictive value for this malignancy as well as for ovarian carcinoma. In contrast, measurements of generalized obesity (body weight or body mass index) or peripherally localized adipose tissue (triceps skinfold) showed no associations to these malignancies. No relationship was observed between the anthropometric variables studied and breast carcinoma. The association observed between endometrial and ovarian carcinomas with central adipose tissue did, however, not remain in multivariate analysis when generalized obesity was taken into account. Centrally localized adipose tissue is known to be associated with endocrine abberations including irregular ovulation and menstruation, re-emphasizing the importance of endocrine factors for the pathogenesis of endometrial and ovarian carcinomas. No positive association was found between development of the carcinomas and initial measurements of blood glucose, serum lipids or blood pressure, found to be elevated in cross-sectional studies. An increase in these variables therefore probably are parallel phenomena rather than predictors. The women with endometrial or breast carcinomas smoked more than the remaining women. Although the number of end-points observed was limited these results suggest that measurements of adipose tissue distribution might be a valuable addition to the predictors of endometrial and ovarian carcinomas.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)