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Copyright of Brazilian Business Law Journal / Administração de Empresas em Revista is the property of Administracao de Empresas em Revista and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

A cellular automaton model called the Firm Dynamics Model (FDM) is introduced to simulate the dynamics of firms within an economy. The model includes the growth of firms and their mergers and exits. The main objective is to compare the size-frequency distributions in the model with the empirical firm size distributions of several countries (USA, UK, Spain and Sweden). The empirical size distributions were assembled from business censuses and additional information on the country's largest companies in terms of the number of employees. For the four datasets analyzed here, the firm size distribution is compatible with a power law of the Pareto type with an exponent of close to two (for the probability density). For its part, the model delivers two different size-frequency distributions depending on the type of merger that firms can undergo: the friendly-merger version gives rise to subcritical distributions with an exponential tail, whereas the aggressive-merger version produces power-law distributions. The simulation model was run with underlying lattices in one, two and three dimensions in order to compare the simulated power-law exponent with the empirical one. The best agreement was obtained with the two-dimensional aggressive-merger model version, for which the power-law exponent is 2. 1 9 ± 0. 0 1 , as compared with an empirical exponent of 2. 1 ± 0. 1 (average over the four datasets). Further simulations with the model on a Bethe lattice confirm that the two-dimensional model provides the best fit to the empirical exponent. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The distribution of firms' growth and firms' sizes is a topic under intense scrutiny. In this paper, we show that a thermodynamic model based on the maximum entropy principle, with dynamical prior information, can be constructed that adequately describes the dynamics and distribution of firms' growth. Our theoretical framework is tested against a comprehensive database of Spanish firms, which covers, to a very large extent, Spain's economic activity, with a total of 1,155,142 firms evolving along a full decade. We show that the empirical exponent of Pareto's law, a rule often observed in the rank distribution of large-size firms, is explained by the capacity of economic system for creating/destroying firms, and that can be used to measure the health of a capitalist-based economy. Indeed, our model predicts that when the exponent is larger than 1, creation of firms is favoured; when it is smaller than 1, destruction of firms is favoured instead; and when it equals 1 (matching Zipf's law), the system is in a full macroeconomic equilibrium, entailing 'free' creation and/or destruction of firms. For medium and smaller firm sizes, the dynamical regime changes, the whole distribution can no longer be fitted to a single simple analytical form and numerical prediction is required. Our model constitutes the basis for a full predictive framework regarding the economic evolution of an ensemble of firms. Such a structure can be potentially used to develop simulations and test hypothetical scenarios, such as economic crisis or the response to specific policy measures., (© 2015 The Authors.)