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The Asian monsoon region is highly dependent on boreal summer rainfall, which directly impacts the socio-economic stability and welfare of billions of people each year. Precipitation variability over East China has been extensively studied and is known to be characterized by meridional tripole and dipole precipitation structures. In contrast, few studies have focused on precipitation variability over Mainland Southeast Asia (MSEA) and the possible relationship with the variability over East China. Here we focus on how interannual precipitation variability across MSEA during 1983–2017 may be associated with the tripole or dipole patterns using an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. The first EOF shows a meridional tripole pattern in East China summer precipitation and an in-phase relationship between MSEA and South China precipitation. In contrast, the second EOF shows a meridional dipole pattern in East China precipitation and an out-of-phase relationship between MSEA and South China precipitation. We show that the first EOF mode is a delayed precipitation response to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), while the second EOF mode is a simultaneous precipitation response to the remote influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Therefore, the in-phase or out-of-phase variations in precipitation between MSEA and South China may be used to gauge the relative importance of local Pacific and remote Atlantic influences on Asian monsoon climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Between 5 and 4 thousand years ago, crippling megadroughts led to the disruption of ancient civilizations across parts of Africa and Asia, yet the extent of these climate extremes in mainland Southeast Asia (MSEA) has never been defined. This is despite archeological evidence showing a shift in human settlement patterns across the region during this period. We report evidence from stalagmite climate records indicating a major decrease of monsoon rainfall in MSEA during the mid- to late Holocene, coincident with African monsoon failure during the end of the Green Sahara. Through a set of modeling experiments, we show that reduced vegetation and increased dust loads during the Green Sahara termination shifted the Walker circulation eastward and cooled the Indian Ocean, causing a reduction in monsoon rainfall in MSEA. Our results indicate that vegetation-dust climate feedbacks from Sahara drying may have been the catalyst for societal shifts in MSEA via ocean-atmospheric teleconnections. The mid-Holocene has seen a number of climate shifts, which have been associated with societal changes. Here, the authors investigate in a centuries long megadrought in Southeast Asia during the mid-Holocene, possibly caused by the end of the Green Sahara period. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The spatiotemporal variability of the Asian Monsoon (AM) over the last two millennia has been attributed to a combination of external solar and volcanic forcing and/or internal coupled atmosphere-ocean dynamics, but the relative importance of these mechanisms remains unresolved. The present knowledge of multidecadal to centennial-scale AM variability over Mainland Southeast Asia is not well-constrained, despite substantial progress in understanding seasonal to decadal variability from tree ring records. Here we present the first high-resolution stable isotope (δ 13 C and δ 18 O) speleothem record from northern Laos spanning the Common Era (∼50 BCE to 1880 CE). The δ 13 C record reveals substantial centennial-scale fluctuations primarily driven by local water balance. Notably, the driest period at our site occurred from ∼1280 to 1430 CE, during the time of the Angkor droughts, supporting previous findings that this megadrought likely impacted much of Mainland Southeast Asia. In contrast, variations in stalagmite δ 18 O reflect changes in rainfall upstream from our study site. Interestingly, the δ 18 O record exhibits a positive correlation with solar activity that persists after 1200 CE, contrary to the findings in previous studies. Solar-forced climate model simulations reveal that these δ 18 O variations may be driven by solar-forced changes in upstream rainout over the tropical Indian Ocean, which modify the δ 18 O of moisture transported to our study site without necessarily affecting local rainfall amount. We conclude that future rainfall changes in Mainland Southeast Asia are likely to be superimposed on multidecadal to centennial-scale variations in background climate driven primarily by internal climate variability, whereas solar forcing may impact upstream rainout over the Indian Ocean. • New high-resolution speleothem record from northern Laos spanning ∼50 BCE to 1880 CE. • δ 13 C reflects local water balance and records centennial-length dry periods during the Little Ice Age. • δ 18 O reflects upstream rainout over the Indian Ocean and may be influenced by solar forcing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]