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Copyright of African Journal of Reproductive Health is the property of Women's Health & Action Research Centre and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Background: The first case of COVID-19 in South Africa was reported in March 2020 and the country has since recorded over 3.6 million laboratory-confirmed cases and 100 000 deaths as of March 2022. Transmission and infection of SARS-CoV-2 virus and deaths in general due to COVID-19 have been shown to be spatially associated but spatial patterns in in-hospital deaths have not fully been investigated in South Africa. This study uses national COVID-19 hospitalization data to investigate the spatial effects on hospital deaths after adjusting for known mortality risk factors. Methods: COVID-19 hospitalization data and deaths were obtained from the National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD). Generalized structured additive logistic regression model was used to assess spatial effects on COVID-19 in-hospital deaths adjusting for demographic and clinical covariates. Continuous covariates were modelled by assuming second-order random walk priors, while spatial autocorrelation was specified with Markov random field prior and fixed effects with vague priors respectively. The inference was fully Bayesian. Results: The risk of COVID-19 in-hospital mortality increased with patient age, with admission to intensive care unit (ICU) (aOR = 4.16; 95% Credible Interval: 4.05–4.27), being on oxygen (aOR = 1.49; 95% Credible Interval: 1.46–1.51) and on invasive mechanical ventilation (aOR = 3.74; 95% Credible Interval: 3.61–3.87). Being admitted in a public hospital (aOR = 3.16; 95% Credible Interval: 3.10–3.21) was also significantly associated with mortality. Risk of in-hospital deaths increased in months following a surge in infections and dropped after months of successive low infections highlighting crest and troughs lagging the epidemic curve. After controlling for these factors, districts such as Vhembe, Capricorn and Mopani in Limpopo province, and Buffalo City, O.R. Tambo, Joe Gqabi and Chris Hani in Eastern Cape province remained with significantly higher odds of COVID-19 hospital deaths suggesting possible health systems challenges in those districts. Conclusion: The results show substantial COVID-19 in-hospital mortality variation across the 52 districts. Our analysis provides information that can be important for strengthening health policies and the public health system for the benefit of the whole South African population. Understanding differences in in-hospital COVID-19 mortality across space could guide interventions to achieve better health outcomes in affected districts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of this study is to describe the profile, causes of death, and associated complications among women who died with a diagnosis of gynecological cancer during a four-year period in a gynae oncology unit in a tertiary hospital. The study is based on a retrospective review of clinical records of patients. There were 368 gynecological cancer admissions during the study period and 51 gynecological cancer-related deaths (13.8%); however, only 48 (13%) of the 51 files were available for analysis. The mean age of the women who died was 52.7 years (SD ±16.92). Most of the women who died were South African citizens (41, 85%), black (44, 91.7%) and unemployed (37, 77.1%). The most common comorbidities were hypertension and HIV which occurred at similar frequencies (20, 41.7%), followed by diabetes mellitus (7, 14,6%). The three most common cancers were cervical (18, 37.5%), ovarian (13, 27.1%), and endometrial (12, 25,0%). All women who died (48, 100%) had some form of cancer-related complications on admission to the hospital. The most common complication at presentation was obstructive uropathy (16, 31.3%) followed by ascites (11, 21.6%) and pleural effusion (8, 15.8%). Just less than half of the patients (22, 45.8%) received palliative treatment due to advanced-stage disease, and the remainder, (20, 41.6%) and (5, 10.4%) surgical and radiation therapy, respectively. The surgical procedure performed was staging laparotomy for ovarian and endometrial cancer (19, 95%) and radical hysterectomy and lymph node dissection for operatable cervical cancer (01, 5%). Forty-nine complications were recorded among the 20 women who underwent surgical treatment. The most common complications were sepsis and hemorrhage followed by organ injury., Competing Interests: The Authors declared no conflict of interest, (African Journal of Reproductive Health © 2024.)

Heat‐related mortality events involving birds and bats are projected to occur more frequently as a result of anthropogenic global heating. Reports of mass mortalities associated with extreme heat have, over the last decade, mostly involved Australian birds and pteropodid flying‐foxes. Here, we report a mortality event involving ~110 birds and fruit bats in eastern South Africa in early November 2020 when maximum air temperatures (Tmax) reached 43–45°C and relative humidities were 21–23%. The mortalities included 47 birds of 14 species, all but three of which were passerines, and ~60 Wahlberg's epauletted fruit bats (Epomophorus wahlbergi). This mortality event occurred on a single very hot day preceded by several cooler days (Tmax = 37–39°C at one location) and involved weather conditions similar to those associated with at least one recent flying‐fox die‐off in Australia. The disproportionately high representation of passerines among the avian mortalities supports recent predictions that songbirds are more vulnerable to lethal hyperthermia on account of the relative inefficiency of panting as an avenue of evaporative heat dissipation. As far as we are aware, this is the first documented heat‐related mortality event involving wild birds and bats in southern Africa. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Violence is a significant characteristic of the South African society and contributes substantially to injuries and deaths. Youth are at a higher risk of death due to violence. Weapons used in committing violent crimes in South Africa have been reported to be mostly guns and sharp objects. This study draws on data from the vital registration system, for the period 2001-2016, to investigate the trends and patterns of deaths due to sharp objects among youth in South Africa. Frequency distributions and logistic regressions were used to describe and examine factors associated with youth mortality due to sharp objects. Age-specific death rates and age-adjusted standardized death rates were computed to show trends of youth sharp object deaths in South Africa. The study shows that there is an increase in sharp object deaths among youth in South Africa, rising from 1.9% in 2001 to 7.6% in 2016. The analysis suggests that male youth, especially those between the ages of 15-19 years, are at a greater risk of sharp object deaths. Two provinces in South Africa, the Western Cape and Eastern Cape, are high risk provinces, but it is apparent that this form of violence affects the youth nationwide. It raises concerns about existing regulations with regards to the carrying of sharp objects especially among the youth. Easy access of these weapons and relaxed laws may be contributing towards this scourge. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Since the first HIV/AIDS case appeared in 1980s, HIV/AIDS has been the focus of international attention. As a major public health problem, there are epidemiological uncertainties about the future of HIV/AIDS. It is important to monitor the global statistics of HIV/AIDS prevalence, deaths, disability adjusted life years (DALYs), and risk factors for adequate prevention and control., Methods: The Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 database was used to analyze the burden of HIV/AIDS in 1990-2019. By extracting global, regional, and national data on HIV/AIDS prevalence, deaths, and DALYs, we described the distribution by age and sex, explored the risk factors, and analyzed the trends in HIV/AIDS., Results: In 2019, there were 36.85 million HIV/AIDS cases (95% UI: 35.15-38.86 million), 863.84 thousand deaths (95% UI: 78.61-99.60 thousand), and 47.63 million (95% UI: 42.63-55.65 million) DALYs. The global age-standardized HIV/AIDS prevalence, death, and DALY rates were 454.32 (95% UI: 433.76-478.59), 10.72 (95% UI: 9.70-12.39), and 601.49 (95% UI: 536.16-703.92) per 100,000 cases, respectively. In 2019, the global age-standardized HIV/AIDS prevalence, death, and DALY rates increased by 307.26 (95% UI: 304.45-312.63), 4.34 (95% UI: 3.78-4.90), and 221.91 (95% UI: 204.36-239.47) per 100,000 cases, respectively, compared to 1990. Age-standardized prevalence, death, and DALY rates decreased in high sociodemographic index (SDI) areas. High age-standardized rates were observed in low sociodemographic index areas, while low age-standardized rates were observed in high sociodemographic index areas. In 2019, the high age-standardized prevalence, death, and DALY rates were predominant in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, and global DALYs peaked in 2004 and subsequently decreased. The highest global HIV/AIDS DALYs were in the 40-44 age group. The main risk factors affecting HIV/AIDS DALY rates included behavioral risks, drug use, partner violence, and unsafe sex., Conclusions: HIV/AIDS disease burden and risk factors vary by region, sex, and age. As access to health care increases across countries and treatment for HIV/AIDS infection improves, the HIV/AIDS disease burden is concentrated in areas with low SDIs, particularly in South Africa. Regional differences should be fully considered to target optimal prevention strategies and treatment options based on risk factors., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Tian, Chen, Wang, Xie, Zhang, Han, Fu, Yin and Wu.)

The Service Level Agreement of the Minister of Health provides, as one of its aims, to reduce the number of deaths of pregnant women and their babies. Over 60% of the births in South Africa, one third of all maternal deaths, and 62% of the perinatal deaths, occur at the primary level of care. The numbers are far too high for a service which is supposed to cater to low-risk maternity cases. The Lives Saved Tool is a programme which can model the potential number of lives that can be saved depending on the pattern of disease, interventions used and coverage of these interventions. This tool has been used to select which interventions would be most effective in reducing maternal and perinatal mortality. If the effects of human immunodeficiency virus are excluded, the intervention that would save the most lives would be that of improving maternal and neonatal emergency care. A survey was conducted on the ability of healthcare facilities in 12 districts to provide essential emergency care services to pregnant women and their babies. It was found that the vast majority of the community healthcare facilities could not provide the seven lifesaving services needed for basic emergency obstetric care, and less than half of the district hospitals could provide the nine life-saving services required for comprehensive emergency obstetric care. Lack of knowledgeable and skilled staff, inadequate equipment and human resources, as well as poor emergency transport services at the sites are the main reasons for these unsafe maternity units. Realignment of the services might improve the ability of the districts to provide a safe maternity service. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

(1) Background: Rift Valley fever (RVF) outbreaks in domestic ruminants have severe socio-economic impacts. Climate-based continental predictions providing early warnings to regions at risk for RVF outbreaks are not of a high enough resolution for ruminant owners to assess their individual risk. (2) Methods: We analyzed risk factors for RVF occurrence and severity at the farm level using the number of domestic ruminant deaths and abortions reported by farmers in central South Africa during the 2010 RVF outbreaks using a Bayesian multinomial hurdle framework. (3) Results: We found strong support that the proportion of days with precipitation, the number of water sources, and the proportion of goats in the herd were positively associated with increased severity of RVF (the numbers of deaths and abortions). We did not find an association between any risk factors and whether RVF was reported on farms. (4) Conclusions: At the farm level we identified risk factors of RVF severity; however, there was little support for risk factors of RVF occurrence. The identification of farm-level risk factors for Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) occurrence would support and potentially improve current prediction methods and would provide animal owners with critical information needed in order to assess their herd's risk of RVFV infection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: There are few data on medical encounters, including deaths during mass-participation cycling events., Objective: To determine the incidence and nature of medical encounters during a community-based mass-participation cycling event., Design: Cross-sectional study across three annual events., Setting: 2012-2014 Cape Town Cycle Tour (109 km), South Africa., Participants: 102 251 race starters (male=80 354, female=21 897)., Methods: Medical encounters (moderate, serious life-threatening, sudden cardiac arrest/death), using the 2019 international consensus definitions, were recorded on race day for 3 years as incidence rates (IR per 1000 starters; 95% CI). Overall illness-related (by organ system) or injury-related (by anatomical region) encounters, and severity were recorded., Results: We recorded 539 medical encounters (IR 5.3; 4.8 to 5.7). The IR was 3.2 for injuries (2.9 to 3.6), 2.1 for illnesses (1.0 to 2.4) and 0.5 for serious life-threatening medical encounters (0.4 to 0.7). In the 3-year study, we encountered three cardiac arrests and one death (2.9 and 1.0 per 100 000 starters, respectively). Injury IRs included upper limb (1.9; 1.6 to 2.1), lower limb (1.0; 0.8 to 1.0) and head/neck (0.8; 0.6 to 1.0). Illness IRs included fluid/electrolyte abnormalities (0.6; 0.5 to 0.8) and the cardiovascular system (0.5; 0.4 to 0.6)., Conclusion: In a 109 km community-based mass-participation cycling event, medical encounters (moderate to severe) occurred in about 1 in 200 cyclists. Injury-related (1/300 cyclists) encounters were higher than illness-related medical encounters (1 in about 500). Serious life-threatening medical encounters occurred in 1/2000 cyclists. These data allow race organisers to anticipate the medical services required and the approximate extent of demand., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

The responsiveness to socioeconomic determinants is perceived as highly crucial in preventing the high mortality and morbidity rates of traditional male circumcision initiates in the Eastern Cape, a province in South Africa. The study sought to describe social determinants and explore economic determinants related to traditional circumcision of boys from 12 to 18 years of age in Libode rural communities in Eastern Cape Province. From the results of a descriptive cross-sectional survey ( n = 1,036), 956 (92.2%) boys preferred traditional male circumcision because of associated social determinants which included the variables for the attainment of social manhood values and benefits; 403 (38.9%) wanted to attain community respect; 347 (33.5%) wanted the accepted traditional male circumcision for hygienic purposes. The findings from the exploratory focus group discussions were revolving around variables associated with poverty, unemployment, and illegal actions to gain money. The three negative economic determinants were yielded as themes: (a) commercialization and profitmaking, (b) poverty and unemployment, (c) taking health risk for cheaper practices, and the last theme was the (d) actions suggested to prevent the problem. The study concluded with discussion and recommendations based on a developed strategic circumcision health promotion program which is considerate of socioeconomic determinants.

Ethnicity, gender and age of onset are reported to influence the expression and outcome of systemic lupus erythematosus. We studied a multi-ethnic cohort of 408 South Africans (91.2% females) comprising 237 (58.1%) Indians, 137 (33.6%) African Blacks, 17 (4.2%) Mixed ethnicity and 17 (4.2%) Whites. The most common manifestations were arthritis (80.6%), photosensitivity (67.2%), oral ulcers (50.0%), malar rash (49.0%) and renal (39.2%). The common laboratory findings were positive anti-nuclear factor (96.8%), haematological (74.8%) and anti-dsDNA antibodies (45.3%). Serositis ( p = 0.002), nephritis ( p = 0.039), leucopaenia ( p = 0.001), haemolytic anaemia ( p = 0.026), anti-dsDNA antibodies ( p = 0.028) and anti-Sm antibodies ( p = 0.050) were more common in African Blacks compared to Indians. Males had increased prevalence of discoid rash ( p = 0.006) and anti-Sm antibodies ( p = 0.016). Discoid rash ( p = 0.018), renal involvement ( p < 0.001), psychosis ( p = 0.028), seizures ( p = 0.020), anti-dsDNA antibodies ( p = 0.009), leucopaenia ( p = 0.006), haemolytic anaemia ( p = 0.017) and thrombocytopaenia ( p = 0.023) were more common with early-onset systemic lupus erythematosus. On multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of death were renal involvement, anti-dsDNA antibodies and seizures. There were 53 (13%) deaths and the five- and 10-year survival was 90.8% and 85.7% respectively, with no differences related to ethnicity or age of onset. In conclusion, we report on the spectrum and outcome of systemic lupus erythematosus in a large South African multi-ethnic cohort.

We estimated deaths attributable to influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) among persons >5 years of age in South Africa during 1998-2009 by applying regression models to monthly deaths and laboratory surveillance data. Rates were expressed per 100,000 person-years. The mean annual number of seasonal influenza-associated deaths was 9,093 (rate 21.6). Persons >65 years of age and HIV-positive persons accounted for 50% (n = 4,552) and 28% (n = 2,564) of overall seasonal influenza-associated deaths, respectively. In 2009, we estimated 4,113 (rate 9.2) influenza A(H1N1)pdm09-associated deaths. The mean of annual RSV-associated deaths during the study period was 511 (rate 1.2); no RSV-associated deaths were estimated in persons >45 years of age. Our findings support the recommendation for influenza vaccination of older persons and HIV-positive persons. Surveillance for RSV should be strengthened to clarify the public health implications and severity of illness associated with RSV infection in South Africa.