1. Construction of a survival prediction model for high-and low -grade UTUC after tumor resection based on "SEER database": a multicenter study.
- Author
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Wang, Mengmeng, Ren, Xin, Wang, Ge, Sun, Xiaomin, Tang, Shifeng, Zhang, Baogang, Xing, Xiaoming, Zhang, Wenfeng, Gao, Guojun, Du, Jing, Zhang, Shukun, Liu, Lijuan, Zheng, Xia, Zhang, Zhenkun, and Sun, Changgang
- Subjects
TUMOR surgery ,SURVIVAL analysis (Biometry) ,OVERALL survival ,PREDICTION models ,TRANSITIONAL cell carcinoma - Abstract
Background: There are differences in survival between high-and low-grade Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma (UTUC). Our study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) of patients with high- and low-grade UTUC after tumor resection, and to explore the difference between high- and low-grade patients.Methods: Patients confirmed to have UTUC between 2004 and 2015 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The UTUCs were identified and classified as high- and low-grade, and 1-, 3- and 5-year nomograms were established. The nomogram was then validated using the Chinese multicenter dataset (patients diagnosed in Shandong, China between January 2010 and October 2020).Results: In the high-grade UTUC patients, nine important factors related to survival after tumor resection were identified to construct nomogram. The C index of training dataset was 0.740 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.727-0.754), showing good calibration. The C index of internal validation dataset was 0.729(95% CI:0.707-0.750). On the other hand, Two independent predictors were identified to construct nomogram of low-grade UTUC. The C index was 0.714 (95% CI: 0.671-0.758) for the training set,0.731(95% CI:0.670-0.791) for the internal validation dataset. Encouragingly, the nomogram was clinically useful and had a good discriminative ability to identify patients at high risk.Conclusion: We constructed a nomogram and a corresponding risk classification system predicting the OS of patients with an initial diagnosis of high-and low-grade UTUC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
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