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Background: Saskatchewan has implemented care pathways for several common health conditions. To date, there has not been any cost-effectiveness evaluation of care pathways in the province. The objective of this study was to evaluate the real-world cost-effectiveness of a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) care pathway program in Saskatchewan. Methods: Using patient-level administrative health data, we identified adults (35+ years) with COPD diagnosis recruited into the care pathway program in Regina between April 1, 2018, and March 31, 2019 (N = 759). The control group comprised adults (35+ years) with COPD who lived in Saskatoon during the same period (N = 759). The control group was matched to the intervention group using propensity scores. Costs were calculated at the patient level. The outcome measure was the number of days patients remained without experiencing COPD exacerbation within 1-year follow-up. Both manual and data-driven policy learning approaches were used to assess heterogeneity in the cost-effectiveness by patient demographic and disease characteristics. Bootstrapping was used to quantify uncertainty in the results. Results: In the overall sample, the estimates indicate that the COPD care pathway was not cost-effective using the willingness to pay (WTP) threshold values in the range of $1,000 and $5,000/exacerbation day averted. The manual subgroup analyses show the COPD care pathway was dominant among patients with comorbidities and among patients aged 65 years or younger at the WTP threshold of $2000/exacerbation day averted. Although similar profiles as those identified in the manual subgroup analyses were confirmed, the data-driven policy learning approach suggests more nuanced demographic and disease profiles that the care pathway would be most appropriate for. Conclusions: Both manual subgroup analysis and data-driven policy learning approach showed that the COPD care pathway consistently produced cost savings and better health outcomes among patients with comorbidities or among those relatively younger. The care pathway was not cost-effective in the entire sample. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study aimed to evaluate the real-world impacts of a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) care pathway program on healthcare utilization and costs in Saskatchewan, Canada. A difference-in-differences evaluation of a real-life deployment of a COPD care pathway, using patient-level administrative health data in Saskatchewan, was conducted. The intervention group (n = 759) included adults (35+ years) with spirometry-confirmed COPD diagnosis recruited into the care pathway program in Regina between April 1, 2018 and March 31, 2019. The 2 control groups comprised adults (35+ years) with COPD who lived in Saskatoon during the same period (n = 759) or Regina between April 1, 2015 and March 31, 2016 (n = 759) who did not participate in the care pathway. Compared with the individuals in the Saskatoon control groups, individuals in the COPD care pathway group had shorter inpatient hospital length of stay (average treatment effect on the treated [ATT] −0.46, 95% CI −0.88 to −0.04) but a higher number of general practitioner visits (ATT 1.46, 95% CI 1.14 to 1.79) and specialist physician visits (ATT 0.84, 95% CI 0.61 to 1.07). Regarding healthcare costs, individuals in the care pathway group had higher COPD-related specialist visit costs (ATT $81.70, 95% CI $59.45 to $103.96) but lower COPD-related outpatient drug dispensation costs (ATT −$4.81, 95% CI −$9.34 to −$0.27). The care pathway reduced inpatient hospital length of stay, but increased general practitioner and specialist physician visits for COPD-related services within the first year of implementation. • This study is one of the few that examined the real-world impacts of care pathways on patients with chronic diseases in publicly funded healthcare systems such as Canada, where innovative healthcare interventions are constantly being tried and evidence is increasingly being needed to guide expansion or withdrawal of interventions. • The study provided important information on how care pathways affected healthcare use and costs in different ways across the healthcare continuum, spanning primary care to inpatient critical care sectors. • The findings are useful for guiding policymakers to make educated decisions regarding how to expand complex population-based healthcare interventions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]