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5 d Including acral lentiginous melanoma, melanoma in junctional nevus, malignant melanoma not otherwise specified, etc. 6 e As per the study design, fatal and non-fatal cases were similar regarding median thickness. While the individual case fatality rate from thin melanoma is low, overall, thin melanomas contribute a large proportion of total melanoma deaths. [Extracted from the article]

Summary: Background: Melanoma develops as the result of complex interactions between sun exposure and genetic factors. However, data on these interactions from prospective studies are scant. Objectives: To quantify the association between ambient and personal ultraviolet exposure and incident melanoma in a large population‐based prospective study of men and women residing in a setting of high ambient ultraviolet radiation, and to examine potential gene–environment interactions. Methods: Data were obtained from the QSkin Sun and Health Study, a prospective cohort study of men and women aged 40–69 years, randomly sampled from the Queensland population in 2011. Participants were genotyped and assessed for ultraviolet exposure. Results: Among participants with genetic data (n = 15 373), 420 (2·7%) developed cutaneous melanoma (173 invasive, 247 in situ) during a median follow‐up time of 4·4 years. Country of birth, age at migration, having > 50 sunburns in childhood or adolescence, and a history of keratinocyte cancer or actinic lesions were significantly associated with melanoma risk. Conclusions: An interaction with polygenic risk was suggested: among people at low polygenic risk, markers of cumulative sun exposure (as measured by actinic damage) were associated with melanoma. In contrast, among people at high polygenic risk, markers of high‐level early‐life ambient exposure (as measured by place of birth) were associated with melanoma (hazard ratio for born in Australia vs. overseas 3·16, 95% confidence interval 1·39–7·22). These findings suggest interactions between genotype and environment that are consistent with divergent pathways for melanoma development. What's already known about this topic? The relationship between sun exposure and melanoma is complex, and exposure effects are highly modified by host factors and behaviours.The role of genotype on the relationship between ultraviolet radiation exposure and melanoma risk is poorly understood. What does this study add? We found that country of birth, age at migration, sunburns in childhood or adolescence, and history of keratinocyte cancer or actinic lesions were significantly associated with melanoma risk, while other measures of continuous or more intermittent patterns of sun exposure were not.We found evidence for gene–environment interactions that are consistent with divergent pathways for melanoma development. Linked Comment: Cust. Br J Dermatol 2020; 183:205–206. Plain language summary available online [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: Background: Nonsteroidal anti‐inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) have been postulated as chemopreventive agents for basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), but findings from observational studies have been inconsistent, and clinical trial data are scant. Objectives: To examine the association between aspirin and NSAID (nonaspirin) use and the risk of BCC and SCC in a large cohort specifically designed for skin cancer outcomes. Methods: We used data from the QSkin Study, a prospective cohort of 43 764 residents of Queensland, Australia (34 630 were included in this study and 23 581 were used in our primary analyses). We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) between self‐reported aspirin and NSAID use 1 year prior to study baseline and the first histologically confirmed BCC or SCC for high‐risk (history of skin cancer excisions or more than five actinic lesions treated) and average‐to‐low‐risk participants (no history of skin cancer excision and at most five actinic lesions treated). Results: After a median of 3 years of follow‐up, 3421 participants developed BCC and 1470 SCC (2288 BCC and 932 SCC with complete covariate information). Among the high‐risk group (1826 BCC and 796 SCC), compared with never use, frequent (at least weekly) NSAID use was associated with reduced risk of BCC (HR 0·84, 95% confidence interval 0·71–0.99) but not SCC. Aspirin use was associated with reduced risk of SCC (HR 0·77, 95% confidence interval 0·64–0·93) only among infrequent (less than weekly) users and was not associated with BCC. We observed no association between NSAID or aspirin use and the risk of BCC or SCC among average‐to‐low‐risk participants. Conclusions: While some weakly inverse associations were observed between prior use of aspirin or NSAIDs and skin cancer, the inconsistent patterns of associations do not provide convincing evidence that these medications reduce subsequent skin cancer risk. Further data on doses, duration and long‐term follow‐up may help us to comprehend the cumulative dose effect. What's already known about this topic? Recent meta‐analyses of observational studies and randomized controlled trials have suggested a potential benefit of nonsteroidal anti‐inflammatory drugs in reducing the incidence of basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC).However, there is substantial heterogeneity across studies. What does this study add? We used data from a large prospective cohort study specifically designed to study skin cancer.We found weak inverse and inconsistent associations between aspirin and nonaspirin NSAID use in the year before baseline and BCC and SCC incidence in the next 3 years.This suggests a limited role for NSAIDs as chemopreventive agents for keratinocyte cancers. Linked Editorial: Rundle and Dellavalle. Br J Dermatol 2019; 181:654–656. Plain language summary available online Respond to this article [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Thyroid cancer incidence has been increasing worldwide. Some suggest greater ascertainment of indolent tumours is the only driver, but others suggest there has been a true increase. Increases in Australia appear to have been among the largest in the world, so we investigated incidence trends in the Australian state of Queensland to help understand reasons for the rise. Methods Thyroid cancers diagnoses in Queensland 1982-2008 were ascertained from the Queensland Cancer Registry. We calculated age-standardized incidence rates ( ASR) and used Poisson regression to estimate annual percentage change ( APC) in thyroid cancer incidence by socio-demographic and tumour-related factors. Results Thyroid cancer ASR in Queensland increased from 2·2 to 10·6/100 000 between 1982 and 2008 equating to an APC of 5·5% [95% confidence interval ( CI) 4·7-6·4] in men and 6·1% (95% CI 5·5-6·6) in women. The rise was evident, and did not significantly differ, across socio-economic and remoteness-of-residence categories. The largest increase seen was in the papillary subtype in women ( APC 7·9%, 95% CI 7·3-8·5). Incidence of localized and more advanced-stage cancers rose over time although the increase was greater for early-stage cancers. Conclusion There has been a marked increase in thyroid cancer incidence in Queensland. The increase is evident in men and women across all adult age groups, socio-economic strata and remoteness-of-residence categories as well as in localized and more advanced-stage cancers. Our results suggest 'overdiagnosis' may not entirely explain rising incidence. Contemporary aetiological data and individual-level information about diagnostic circumstances are required to further understand reasons for rising thyroid cancer incidence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: It is thought that aspirin and other nonsteroidal anti‐inflammatory drugs (NSAIDS) may protect against keratinocyte skin cancers, i.e. squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BCC). However, the evidence for this is scant. The authors, based in Queensland, Australia, studied a group of middle‐aged or elderly Queensland residents obtained from the register of voters (the QSkin study). They compared the incidence of keratinocyte cancers in a three‐year period in individuals who self‐reported taking aspirin or another NSAID regularly, with those who did not. In patients at high risk (such as having a history of previous skin cancer or multiple patches on the skin called actinic lesions) they found that taking aspirin infrequently (less than once a week) was associated with a slightly reduced risk of SCC. Regular use of other NSAIDS (at least once a week) led to a slightly reduced risk of BCCs. In low‐risk patients (no history of skin cancer and fewer than 5 actinic lesions) the authors found no reduced risk from taking aspirin or other NSAIDs. The authors comment that many patients are on low dose aspirin to reduce the risk of heart attacks or strokes, but this may be inadequate to prevent skin cancer. As most patients purchase non‐steroidal drugs over the counter, it was not possible to determine dosage and duration of treatment. They conclude that the protective effect of NSAIDS is slight and only of value in patients at high risk. Linked Article: Pandeya et al. Br J Dermatol 2019; 181:749–760 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Cutaneous melanoma incidence varies consistently across body sites between men and women, but the underlying causes of these differences remain unclear. To date, no prospective studies have examined risk factors for melanoma separately for men and women according to body site., Objectives: We aimed to examine the association between identified constitutional, genetic and environmental risk factors for invasive melanoma of different body sites among men and women., Methods: We compared the association between constitutional, genetic and environmental risk factors for invasive melanoma on different body sites separately for men and women in a population-based prospective cohort study of 17 774 men and 21 070 women aged between 40 and 69 years who were residents of Queensland, Australia at baseline in 2011. Participants were followed until December 2021. We examined risk factors including hair colour, tanning ability, naevus density and proxies for high cumulative sun exposure, all self-reported at baseline. We also examined polygenic risk score (PRS) derived from summary statistics from a melanoma genome-wide association study meta-analysis., Results: During a median 10.4 years of follow-up, 455 men and 331 women developed an incident invasive melanoma; the mean age at diagnosis was lower in women than in men (62.6 vs. 65.0 years). The most common body site was the trunk in men (45.1%), and the upper (36.8%) and lower limbs (27.4%) in women. High naevus density and proxy measures of high cumulative sun exposure were similarly associated with melanoma at all sites in men and women. In both sexes, high genetic risk was associated with melanoma on all body sites except the head and neck. We observed differences between men and women in the association between PRS and melanoma of the trunk [highest vs. lowest tertile of PRS: hazard ratio (HR) 2.78, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.64-4.69 for men; HR 1.55, 95% CI 0.63-3.80 for women] and nonsignificant but large differences for the lower limbs (HR 5.25, 95% CI 1.80-15.27 for men; HR 1.75, 95% CI 0.88-3.47 for women)., Conclusions: While there are a number of potential explanations for these findings, this raises the possibility that genetic factors other than those related to pigmentation and naevus phenotypes may play a role in the predilection for melanoma to arise on different sites in men and women., Competing Interests: Conflicts of interest The authors declare they have no conflicts of interest., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of British Association of Dermatologists.)

Background: Melanoma incidence has been rising in populations with predominantly European ancestry (White), speculated to be partly driven by heightened detection of indolent tumors. If in situ melanomas are destined to evolve to invasive cancers, detecting and removing them should deplete the pool of invasive lesions, and people with in situ melanoma should, on average, be younger than those with invasive melanoma., Methods: We analyzed long-term incidence trends (1982-2018) for in situ and invasive melanomas in 3 predominantly White populations with high, medium, and low melanoma rates: Queensland (Australia), United States White, and Scotland. We calculated the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of in situ to invasive melanomas and estimated the contributions of age, period, and cohort effects. We compared age at diagnosis of in situ vs invasive melanomas overall and stratified by sex and anatomic site., Results: In all 3 populations, the in situ to invasive incidence rate ratio increased statistically significantly from less than 0.3 in 1982 to 1.95 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.88 to 2.02) in Queensland, 0.93 (95% CI = 0.90 to 0.96) in the US White population, and 0.58 (95% CI = 0.54 to 0.63) in Scotland in 2018. The mean age at diagnosis of in situ melanomas was the same or higher than invasive melanomas for almost all time periods among men and women and on all body sites except the lower limbs., Conclusions: The increasing ratio of in situ to invasive melanoma incidence over time, together with the high (and increasing) mean age at diagnosis of in situ melanomas, is consistent with more indolent lesions coming to clinical attention than in previous eras., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press.)

Background: Patient medical out-of-pocket expenses are thought to be rising worldwide yet data describing trends over time is scant. We evaluated trends of out-of-pocket expenses for patients in Australia with one of five major cancers in the first-year after diagnosis., Methods: Participants from the QSKIN Sun and Health prospective cohort Study with a histologically confirmed breast, colorectal, lung, melanoma, or prostate cancer diagnosed between 2011 and 2015 were included (n = 1965). Medicare claims data on out-of-pocket expenses were analysed using a two-part model adjusted for year of diagnosis, health insurance status, age and education level. Fisher price and quantity indexes were also calculated to assess prices and volumes separately., Results: On average, patients with cancer diagnosed in 2015 spent 70% more out-of-pocket on direct medical expenses than those diagnosed in 2011. Out-of-pocket expenses increased significantly for patients with breast cancer (mean AU$2513 in 2011 to AU$6802 in 2015). Out-of-pocket expenses were higher overall for individuals with private health insurance. For prostate cancer, expenses increased for those without private health insurance over time (mean AU$1586 in 2011 to AU$4748 in 2014) and remained stable for those with private health insurance (AU$4397 in 2011 to AU$5623 in 2015). There were progressive increases in prices and quantities of medical services for patients with melanoma, breast and lung cancer. For all cancers, prices increased for medicines and doctor attendances but fluctuated for other medical services., Conclusion: Out-of-pocket expenses for patients with cancer have increased substantially over time. Such increases were more pronounced for women with breast cancer and those without private health insurance. Increased out-of-pocket expenses arose from both higher prices and higher volumes of health services but differ by cancer type. Further efforts to monitor patient out-of-pocket costs and prevent health inequities are required., (© 2021. The Author(s).)

Background: Hysterectomy has been associated with increased thyroid cancer risk but whether this reflects a biological link or increased diagnosis of indolent cancers due to greater medical contact remains unclear., Methods: We recruited 730 women diagnosed with thyroid cancer and 785 age-matched population controls. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association overall, and by tumour BRAF mutational status as a marker of potentially higher-risk cancers. We used causal mediation analysis to investigate potential mediation of the association by healthcare service use., Results: Having had a hysterectomy was associated with an increased risk of thyroid cancer (odds ratio [OR] = 1.45, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.07-1.96). When stratified by indication for hysterectomy, the risk appeared stronger for those who had a hysterectomy for menstrual disorders (OR = 1.67, 95 % CI 1.17-2.37) but did not differ by tumour BRAF status. Approximately 20 % of the association between hysterectomy and thyroid cancer may be mediated by more frequent use of healthcare services., Conclusions: The observed increased risk of thyroid cancer among those with hysterectomy may be driven, at least partly, by an altered sex steroid hormone milieu. More frequent healthcare service use by women with hysterectomy accounts for only a small proportion of the association., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Importance: Keratoacanthoma (KA) is a common and generally benign keratinocyte skin tumor. Reports of the incidence rates of KA are scant. In addition, the risk factors for KA are not well understood, although associations with UV radiation exposure and older age have been described., Objective: To investigate the incidence rate of KA and the risk factors for developing KA., Design, Setting, and Participants: The study included data from 40 438 of 193 344 randomly selected residents of Queensland, Australia, who participated in the QSkin Sun and Health (QSkin) prospective population-based cohort study. All participants completed a baseline survey between 2010 and 2011 and were ages 40 to 69 years at baseline. Histopathologic reports of KA were prospectively collected until June 30, 2014, through data linkage with pathologic records. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify risk factors associated with KA while controlling for potential confounding variables. Data were analyzed from January 2 to April 8, 2020., Exposures: Demographic characteristics, phenotypes, UV radiation exposure, medical history, and lifestyle., Results: Among 40 438 participants (mean [SD] age, 56 [8] years; 18 240 men [45.1%]), 596 individuals (mean [SD] age, 62 [6] years; 349 men [58.6%]) developed 776 KA tumors during a median follow-up period of 3.0 years (interquartile range, 2.8-3.3 years). The person-based age-standardized incidence rate for KA in the age-restricted cohort was 409 individuals per 100 000 person-years (based on the 2001 Australian population). Risk factors after adjustment for potential confounders were older age (age ≥60 years vs age <50 years; hazard ratio [HR], 6.38; 95% CI, 4.65-8.75), male sex (HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.33-1.84), fair skin (vs olive, dark, or black skin; HR, 3.42; 95% CI, 1.66-7.04), inability to tan (vs ability to tan deeply; HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.19-2.40), previous excisions of keratinocyte cancers (ever had an excision vs never had an excision; HR, 6.28; 95% CI, 5.03-7.83), current smoking (vs never smoking, HR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.59-2.57), and high alcohol use (≥14 alcoholic drinks per week vs no alcoholic drinks per week; HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.09-1.86)., Conclusions and Relevance: This is, to date, the first large prospective population-based study to report the incidence rate and risk factors for KA. The high person-based incidence rate (409 individuals per 100 000 person-years) highlights the substantial burden of KA in Queensland, Australia. Furthermore, the study's findings suggest that older age (≥60 years), male sex, UV radiation-sensitive phenotypes, indications of high sun exposure (eg, previous keratinocyte cancer excisions), smoking, and high alcohol use are independent risk factors for the development of KA.

Background: Thyroid cancer incidence has increased in many parts of the world since the 1980s, as has the prevalence of obesity. Evidence suggests that people with greater body size have higher thyroid cancer risk. However, it is unclear whether this association is causal or is driven by over-diagnosis of indolent cancers, because overweight/obese people use health services more frequently than those of normal weight, thus conferring greater opportunity for incidental diagnosis. Assessing whether obesity is associated with higher-risk thyroid cancers might help clarify this issue. Methods: We recruited 1013 people diagnosed with thyroid cancer between 2013 and 2016 and 1057 population controls, frequency matched by sex and age group. We used logistic regression to assess the association between body mass index (BMI) and overall thyroid cancer risk as well as by tumor BRAF mutational status as a marker of potentially higher-risk cancer. Results: Overall, obesity was associated with greater risk of thyroid cancer (odds ratio [OR] = 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI 1.37-2.16] for obese vs. normal BMI). The association with obesity was significantly stronger for BRAF -mutation positive than BRAF -negative papillary thyroid cancers (PTCs; OR = 1.71 [CI 1.17-2.50] for BRAF- positive vs. BRAF -negative cancers). The increased risks associated with overweight/obesity did not vary by histological subtypes or presence/absence of adverse tumor histologic features. Conclusions: Greater risk of BRAF -mutated PTCs among those with high BMI suggests that the association may not merely reflect greater health care service use and indicates an independent relationship between obesity and clinically important thyroid cancer.

Background/objectives: Basal cell carcinomas (BCCs) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas (SCCs) are the most commonly encountered cancers in fair-skinned populations worldwide. Perineural invasion is associated with worse outcomes for patients with BCC or SCC. Estimates of perineural invasion prevalence range widely, likely reflecting non-representative patient samples. We sought to determine the prevalence of perineural invasion in BCC and SCC in the general population, as well as among cancers arising in solid organ transplant recipients., Methods: We retrospectively analysed histopathology reports of BCC and SCC from patients enrolled in the QSkin Study (a population-based cohort of 43 794 Queensland residents recruited 2010-2011) and the Skin Tumours in Allograft Recipients (STAR) study (a cohort of 509 high-risk kidney or liver transplant recipients at the Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, recruited 2012-2014.) We estimated the prevalence of perineural invasion (and 95% confidence interval) in BCC and SCC, respectively, and identified clinical factors associated with perineural invasion., Results: In QSkin, we observed 35 instances of perineural invasion in 9850 histopathologically confirmed BCCs (0.36%) and 9 instances of perineural invasion in 3982 confirmed SCC (0.23%) lesions. In the STAR cohort, we identified 4 lesions with perineural invasion in 692 BCCs (0.58%) and 16 reports of perineural invasion in 875 SCC lesions (1.9%)., Conclusions: These data suggest that the overall prevalence of perineural invasion in keratinocyte cancer is low, although perineural invasion prevalence may be slightly higher among organ transplant recipients when compared to the general population., (© 2020 The Australasian College of Dermatologists.)

Background: The incidence of thyroid cancer has rapidly increased, and ecological evidence suggests this is due in some part to over-diagnosis. Understanding pathways to diagnosis could help determine whether unnecessary diagnosis can be avoided., Methods: A population-based sample (n = 1007) of thyroid cancer patients diagnosed between July 2013 and August 2016 was recruited from Queensland, Australia (response rate 67%). Information from structured telephone interviews was used to describe diagnostic pathways for thyroid cancer, to investigate factors associated with diagnostic pathways, and to assess the most prevalent modes of diagnoses by which the lowest-risk, potentially over-diagnosed thyroid cancers (intrathyroidal microcarcinomas) are detected., Results: Only 38% of participants presented with symptoms potentially related to thyroid cancer. Older age at diagnosis was associated with a lower prevalence of symptomatic diagnosis (prevalence ratio [PR] = 0.46 [confidence interval (CI) 0.31-0.68] for 70-79 vs. <30 years), as was frequent medical contact, while living in rural/regional areas was associated with a higher prevalence of symptomatic diagnosis (PR = 1.17 [CI 1.00-1.37] for rural/regional areas vs. major cities). Symptomatic diagnosis also occurred more for those whose tumors had adverse histopathological features (larger size, lymph node involvement, lymphovascular invasion). The likelihood of diagnosis of intrathyroidal microcarcinomas was greatest for those having surgical resection or monitoring for benign thyroid disease (PR = 3.87 [CI 2.81-5.32] and PR = 2.21 [CI 1.53-3.18], respectively)., Conclusions: A minority of newly detected thyroid cancer cases were diagnosed because of symptoms. Access to medical care and factors related to cancer aggressiveness were associated with how diagnoses occurred. The likelihood of diagnosing the lowest-risk thyroid cancers was higher in situations related to management of other thyroid conditions. Adherence to thyroid management guidelines could reduce some thyroid cancer over-diagnosis, but ultimately better diagnostic tools are needed to differentiate between indolent cancers and those of clinical significance.

Background: Previous studies suggest that smokers have lower risks of cutaneous melanoma than nonsmokers, but data from population-based prospective studies are scarce. We investigated associations between smoking and melanoma in a cohort study purpose-designed to investigate skin cancer outcomes. Methods: Participants with no prior history of melanoma ( n = 38,697) completed a risk factor survey at baseline (2011). Patients were followed through linkage to the cancer registry. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between smoking (including intensity, duration, time since quitting) and melanoma using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression, accounting for death as a competing event. Results: During a mean follow-up of 3.5 years, invasive melanomas developed in 247 participants. Compared with never smokers, former smokers (but not current smokers) had lower risks of invasive melanoma (HR 0.76; 95% CI, 0.57-1.01). Among former smokers, risks were lower with greater quantity of cigarettes smoked (HR 0.75; 95% CI, 0.56-0.98 per 10 cigarettes/day). No association was observed with duration of smoking while longer time since quitting was associated with a relative risk of melanoma that was not significantly different from the null (HR 1.18; 95% CI, 0.91-1.51, for every 10 years since quitting). Conclusions: We observed complex associations between smoking and melanoma, with some suggestion that former smokers had lower risks than never or current smokers. The apparent inverse association among former smokers may be due to residual confounding, although surveillance bias or biological effects cannot be excluded entirely. Impact: Smoking does not increase the risk of cutaneous melanoma. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 27(8); 874-81. ©2018 AACR ., (©2018 American Association for Cancer Research.)

Medical out-of-pocket costs paid by patients can be problematic when it adversely affects access to care. Survey research involving patients with out-of-pocket expenses may have selection biases, so accurate estimates are unknown. During 2010-11, 419 participants from the QSkin Sun and Health Study (n=43794) had a confirmed diagnosis of either melanoma, prostate, breast, colorectal or lung cancer. These were matched to a general population group (n=421) and a group of high users of GP services (n=419). Medical fees charged and out-of-pocket medical expenses for Medicare services were analysed. Over 2 years, three-quarters of individuals with cancer paid up-front provider fees of up to A$20551 compared with A$10995 for the high GP user group and A$6394 for the general population group. Out-of-pocket expenses were significantly higher for those with cancer (mean A$3514) compared with the high GP-user group (mean A$1837) and general population group (A$1245). Highest expenses were for therapeutic procedures (mean A$2062). Older individuals, those with poor perceived health or private health insurance had the highest costs. Regardless of private insurance status, patients with one of the main five cancers pay significantly higher out-of-pocket costs for health care compared with those without cancer.

The increased skin cancer incidence in organ transplant recipients is well-known, but the skin cancer burden at any one time is unknown. Our objective was to estimate the period prevalence of untreated skin malignancy and actinic keratoses in high-risk kidney and liver transplant recipients and to assess associated factors. Organ transplant recipients underwent full skin examinations by dermatologically trained physicians. The proportion of examined organ transplant recipients with histopathologically confirmed skin cancer in the 3-month baseline period was estimated. Prevalence ratios with 95% confidence intervals indicated significant associations. Of 495 high-risk organ transplant recipients (average age = 54 years, time immunosuppressed = 8.9 years), 135 (27%) had basal cell carcinoma, squamous cell carcinoma or Bowen's disease (intraepidermal carcinoma) present and confirmed in the baseline period, with respective prevalence proportions of 10%, 11%, and 18% in kidney transplant recipients and 10%, 9%, and 13% in liver transplant recipients. Over 80% had actinic keratosis present, with approximately 30% having 5 or more actinic keratoses. Organ transplant recipients with the highest skin cancer burden were Australian born, were fair skinned (prevalence ratio = 1.61, 95% confidence interval = [1.07, 2.43]), reported past skin cancer (prevalence ratio =3.39, 95% confidence interval = [1.93, 5.95]), and were receiving the most frequent skin checks (prevalence ratio = 1.76, 95% confidence interval = [1.15, 2.70]). In conclusion, high-risk organ transplant recipients carry a substantial measurable skin cancer burden at any given time and require frequent review through easily accessible, specialized services., (Copyright © 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Purpose: Gastric colonization with Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) has been implicated in the pathogenesis of pancreatic cancer, but results of epidemiological studies have been inconclusive. We analyzed data from the Queensland Pancreatic Cancer Study, an Australian population-based case-control study, and incorporated our findings into an updated meta-analysis., Methods: Blood samples were obtained from 580 patients and 626 controls, and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kits were used to determine seropositivity to H. pylori and its virulence protein, cytotoxin-associated gene A (CagA). Odds ratios (ORs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using logistic regression. Results were incorporated into a meta-analysis along with results of studies identified through systematic literature review. Adjusted ORs and 95 % CIs were calculated using the DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model., Results: No overall association was observed between H. pylori seropositivity and risk of pancreatic cancer (OR 1.00; 95 % CI 0.74-1.35). Nonsignificantly decreased pancreatic cancer risk was observed with CagA seropositivity (OR 0.74; 95 % CI 0.48-1.15) and increased risk with CagA-negative H. pylori seropositivity (OR 1.23; 95 % CI 0.83-1.82). Ten studies were included in the meta-analysis. There was no significant overall association between H. pylori seropositivity and pancreatic cancer risk (OR 1.13; 95 % CI 0.86-1.50), but evidence of CagA strain-specific associations (OR 0.78; 95 % CI 0.67-0.91 and OR 1.30; 95 % CI 1.02-1.65 for CagA-positive and CagA-negative strains, respectively)., Conclusions: Our results provide further evidence for the existence of strain-specific associations between H. pylori and pancreatic cancer.

Objective: To measure the effectiveness of the quadrivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine against cervical abnormalities four years after implementation of a nationally funded vaccination programme in Queensland, Australia., Design: Case-control analysis of linked administrative health datasets., Setting: Queensland, Australia., Participants: Women eligible for free vaccination (aged 12-26 years in 2007) and attending for their first cervical smear test between April 2007 and March 2011. High grade cases were women with histologically confirmed high grade cervical abnormalities (n = 1062) and "other cases" were women with any other abnormality at cytology or histology (n = 10,887). Controls were women with normal cytology (n = 96,404)., Main Outcome Measures: Exposure odds ratio (ratio of odds of antecedent vaccination (one, two, or three vaccine doses compared with no doses) among cases compared with controls), vaccine effectiveness ((1-adjusted odds ratio) × 100), and number needed to vaccinate to prevent one cervical abnormality at first screening round. We stratified by four age groups adjusted for follow-up time, year of birth, and measures of socioeconomic status and remoteness. The primary analysis concerned women whose first ever smear test defined their status as a case or a control., Results: The adjusted odds ratio for exposure to three doses of HPV vaccine compared with no vaccine was 0.54 (95% confidence interval 0.43 to 0.67) for high grade cases and 0.66 (0.62 to 0.70) for other cases compared with controls with normal cytology, equating to vaccine effectiveness of 46% and 34%, respectively. The adjusted numbers needed to vaccinate were 125 (95% confidence interval 97 to 174) and 22 (19 to 25), respectively. The adjusted exposure odds ratios for two vaccine doses were 0.79 (95% confidence interval 0.64 to 0.98) for high grade cases and 0.79 (0.74 to 0.85) for other cases, equating to vaccine effectiveness of 21%., Conclusion: The quadrivalent HPV vaccine conferred statistically significant protection against cervical abnormalities in young women who had not started screening before the implementation of the vaccination programme in Queensland, Australia.

Purpose: Cigarette smoking is an established risk factor for pancreatic adenocarcinoma. However, few studies have thoroughly investigated the effects of independent smoking dimensions (duration, intensity, cumulative dose and time since quitting) on risk estimates. We analysed data from the Queensland Pancreatic Cancer Study (QPCS), an Australian population-based case-control study, with the aim of determining which smoking component is primarily important to pancreatic cancer risk., Methods: Our study included 705 pancreatic cancer patients and 711 controls. Logistic regression and generalised additive logistic regression (for non-linear dose effects) were used to determine odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs)., Results: Compared to never-smokers, current smokers had an increased risk of pancreatic cancer (OR=3.4; 95% CI 2.4-5.0) after adjustment for age, sex, education, alcohol intake and birth country. Of the various smoking dimensions, smoking duration and time since quitting had a greater effect on OR estimates (OR 1.3; 95% CI 1.1-1.4 and OR 0.8; 95% CI 0.7-0.8) than smoking intensity (OR 1.1; 95% CI 0.9-1.2), once ever-smoking was accounted for., Conclusions: This study confirms the association between cigarette smoking and pancreatic adenocarcinoma, and provides evidence to suggest that smoking pattern, in addition to dose effect, may affect disease risk., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aim:   To estimate the sero-prevalence of Helicobacter Pylori infection in the Australian adult population and identify determinants., Methods:   We analyzed serum samples and questionnaire data from 1355 community controls who participated in a nationwide case-control study of esophageal cancer in Australia between 2002 and 2005. We estimated the prevalence ratio and 95% confidence interval using log binomial regression models., Results:   The age and sex standardized sero-prevalence of H. pylori was 15.5%. The prevalence of infection varied significantly with age, ranging from 5% (< 40 years) to 32% (≥ 70 years). H. pylori infection was significantly higher among those born overseas (prevalence ratio [PR] 1.63; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-1.98) compared with those born in Australia or New Zealand. H. pylori sero-prevalence was 23% higher among participants living in the lowest quartile of socio-economic areas (PR 0.77; 95%CI 0.59-0.99 for Q4 compared with Q1). H pylori serostatus was significantly inversely associated with university education (PR 0.56; 95%CI 0.38-0.83), frequent reflux symptoms (PR 0.62; 95%CI 0.42-0.91), use of proton pump inhibitor (PR 0.69; 95%CI 0.48-0.98) and use of medications for gut spasms (PR 0.48; 95%CI 0.25-0.93). H. pylori serostatus was not associated with body mass index, smoking, alcohol or physical activity., Conclusions:   The prevalence of H. pylori infection in Australian adults is lower than other developed countries. H. pylori infection is most common among those living in the areas of socio-economic disadvantage or who were born overseas., (© 2011 Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Foundation and Blackwell Publishing Asia Pty Ltd.)

Although sun exposure is known to be associated with basal cell carcinoma (BCC), it is not known what determines multiple occurrences of BCCs among sporadically affected individuals or why BCCs develop on uncommonly sun-exposed body sites like the trunk. In a prospective community-based skin cancer study in Queensland, Australia, we studied all participants who experienced a histologically confirmed BCC from 1992 to 2007. Sun exposure history was monitored, and dermatologists documented phenotype at baseline and signs of photodamage over the study period. Anatomic sites of all incident BCCs were recorded. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using logistic regression. Of 401 participants who developed a new BCC during the 16 years of follow-up, 232 (58%) developed more than 1. Male sex (OR = 2.5, 95% CI 1.5-5.3) and age 60 or over (OR = 4.2, 95% CI 1.5-11.8) but not skin type were associated with highest BCC counts among those affected. Participants with high numbers of solar keratoses were most likely to experience the highest BCC counts overall (OR = 4.3, 95% CI 1.4-13.5). Moreover, occurrences of BCC on the trunk (OR = 3.3, 95% CI 1.4-7.6) and on the limbs (OR = 3.7, 95% CI 2.0-7.0) were strongly associated with high numbers of solar keratoses on these sites, respectively. Among those newly affected by BCC, chronic cutaneous sun damage predicts those who will be affected by more than 1 BCC, while chronic sun damage on the trunk and limbs predicts BCC occurrence on the trunk and limbs, respectively.

A proportion of individuals are affected multiple times by basal cell carcinoma (BCC), but the rate and extent to which this occurs is unknown. We therefore prospectively estimated BCC incidence in a subtropical Australian population, focusing on the rate at which persons develop multiple primary BCCs and the precise anatomic sites of BCC occurrence. Between 1997 and 2006, 663 BCCs were confirmed in 301 of 1,337 participants in the population-based Nambour Skin Cancer Study. The incidence of persons affected multiple times by primary BCC was 705 per 100,000 person years compared to an incidence rate of people singly affected of 935 per 100,000 person years. Among the multiply and singly affected alike, site-specific BCC incidence rates were far highest on facial subsites, followed by upper limbs, trunk, and then lower limbs. We conclude that actual BCC tumor burden is much greater in the population than is apparent from normal incidence rates. Anatomic distribution of BCC is consistent with general levels of sun exposure across body sites.

Objective: To examine prospectively the relationship among sun exposure, Betapapillomavirus, and development of actinic keratoses., Design: Prospective, community-based cohort study., Setting: Township of Nambour in Southeast Queensland, Australia., Participants: A total of 291 randomly selected adults aged 36 to 86 years with the presence or absence of Betapapillomavirus DNA in eyebrow hair follicle cells known at baseline in August 1996 and with subsequently documented sun exposure histories., Main Outcome Measures: Prevalence of actinic keratoses in March 2003 after 7 years of follow-up., Results: Beyond the known determinants of multiple actinic keratoses, namely, advanced age, male sex, fair skin, and lifetime occupational sun exposure, Betapapillomavirus infection was associated with having more than 10 actinic keratoses (odds ratio, 1.8; 95% confidence interval, 0.7-4.4). However, Betapapillomavirus positivity led to a significant 13-fold increase in the risk of actinic keratoses among those 60 years or older, a nearly 6-fold increase in risk when combined with fair skin color, and a doubling in risk of actinic keratoses when combined with high sun exposure, recent or cumulative, compared with those who had neither Betapapillomavirus infection nor the respective risk factor of interest., Conclusions: Although the presence of Betapapillomavirus DNA in eyebrow hair follicle cells had only a small independent association with actinic keratoses, Betapapillomavirus infection in combination with key risk factors increased the risk of actinic keratoses, which is consistent with a potentiation by Betapapillomavirus of the effect of established causal factors.

Background: The relationship between anthropometric indices and risk of basal cell carcinoma (BCC) is largely unknown. We aimed to examine the association between anthropometric measures and development of BCC and to demonstrate whether adherence to World Health Organisation guidelines for body mass index, waist circumference, and waist/hip ratio was associated with risk of BCC, independent of sun exposure., Methods: Study participants were participants in a community-based skin cancer prevention trial in Nambour, a town in southeast Queensland (latitude 26 degrees S). In 1992, height, weight, and waist and hip circumferences were measured for all 1621 participants and weight was remeasured at the end of the trial in 1996. Prevalence proportion ratios were calculated using a log-binomial model to estimate the risk of BCC prior to or prevalent in 1992, while Poisson regression with robust error variances was used to estimate the relative risk of BCC during the follow-up period., Results: At baseline, 94 participants had a current BCC, and 202 had a history of BCC. During the 5-year follow-up period, 179 participants developed one or more new BCCs. We found no significant association between any of the anthropometric measures or indices and risk of BCC after controlling for potential confounding factors including sun exposure. There was a suggestion that short-term weight gain may increase the risk of developing BCC for women only., Conclusion: Adherence to World Health Organisation guidelines for body mass index, waist circumference and waist/hip ratio is not significantly associated with occurrence of basal cell carcinomas of the skin.

Background: The technique of grading the surface topography of sun-exposed skin using silicone impressions of the skin surface is a simple, non-invasive method for measuring skin damage because of sun exposure, but it has never been validated in a community setting., Objective: To investigate the repeatability and validity of using standardly-graded skin impressions as a means of assessing skin photoaging., Patients/methods: A random sample of 195 adults aged 18-79 years and living in Nambour, Australia (latitude, 26 degrees South) had a silicone impression taken of the back of the left hand and a 2 mm punch biopsy of the skin at the same site. Silicone impressions were graded twice independently and histological photoaging was determined by two pathologists., Results: Grading of silicone impressions of skin surface topography was highly repeatable (weighted kappa > 0.8). Compared with those with low skin impression grades (least degeneration), people with high grades were three times more likely to show a high degree of dermal elastosis on skin histology (odds ratio 3.1, 95% confidence interval 1.6, 5.7) after adjusting for age, sex, skin colour, tanning ability, occupational exposure, smoking and height-adjusted weight. Other photoaging changes in the stratum corneum and dermis were also strongly correlated with high grades of damage on skin impressions., Conclusion: Grading silicone impressions of skin surface topography is a highly reliable and a valid measure of photoaging and enables prediction of dermal elastosis in a population setting.

Skin cancers pose a significant public health problem in high-risk populations. We have prospectively monitored basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) incidence in a Queensland community over a 10-y period by recording newly treated lesions, supplemented by skin examination surveys. Age-standardized incidence rates of people with new histologically confirmed BCC were 2787 per 100,000 person-years at risk (pyar) among men and 1567 per 100,000 pyar among women, and corresponding tumor rates were 5821 per 100,000 pyar and 2733 per 100,000 pyar, respectively. Incidence rates for men with new SCC were 944 per 100,000 pyar and for women 675 per 100,000 pyar; tumor rates were 1754 per 100,000 pyar and 846 per 100,000 pyar, respectively. Incidence rates of BCC tumors but not SCC tumors varied noticeably according to method of surveillance, with BCC incidence rates based on skin examination surveys around three times higher than background treatment rates. This was mostly due to an increase in diagnosis of new BCC on sites other than the head and neck, arms, and hands associated with skin examination surveys and little to do with advancing the time of diagnosis of BCC on these sites as seen by a return to background rates following the examination surveys. We conclude that BCC that might otherwise go unreported are detected during skin examination surveys and thus that such skin cancer screening can influence the apparent burden of skin cancer.

Objective: To describe the natural history of rheumatic manifestations of Ross River virus (RRV) disease., Design: Prospective longitudinal clinical review., Setting: North Queensland local government areas of Cairns, Douglas, Mareeba and Atherton during January to May 1998., Participants: General practice patients diagnosed with RRV disease on the basis of symptoms and a positive RRV IgM result., Main Outcome Measures: Rheumatic symptoms and signs assessed as soon as possible after disease onset and on two subsequent occasions (up to 6.5 months after onset)., Results: 57 patients were recruited, 47 of whom were reviewed three times (at means of 1.1, 2.4 and 3.6 months after disease onset). Results are reported for these 47: 46 (98%) complained of joint pain at first review, with the ankles, wrists, fingers, knees and metacarpophalangeal joints (II-IV) most commonly involved. Prevalence of joint pain decreased progressively on second and third reviews, both overall (92% and 68% of patients, respectively), and in the five joints most commonly affected. The prevalence of other common rheumatic symptoms and signs, and use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, also progressively declined over the three reviews., Conclusions: Earlier studies may have overestimated the prevalence and duration of symptoms in RRV disease. Progressive resolution over 3-6 months appears usual.