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Background: Amongst children with congenital heart disease (CHD), earlier age of repair improves cardiovascular outcomes. The effects of early intervention on neurodevelopment remains unclear. We assessed the association between early life repair, cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) and the incidence of neurocognitive disorders (NCD) amongst CHD patients., Methods: We created two retrospective cohorts from the Quebec CHD Database; with data from 1988 to 2010. Complexity of reparative procedures for CHD lesions were used as the proxy of CPB exposure with more complex procedure means longer exposure to CPB. Study Population 1 included pediatric patients with a single reparative procedure and compared patients with complex (long CBP) versus isolated shunt (short CBP) lesions. To assess the effects of CPB alone in Study Population 2 we compared patients with isolated atrial septal defects (ASD) who had surgical (short CBP) versus percutaneous (no CBP) repairs. The primary endpoint for both cohorts was development of an NCD., Results: In Study population 1, 1174 patients underwent complex surgical repair and 1620 had a shunt closure. The incidence of NCDs was 2.45/100 person-years in the complex surgery group, and 2.08/100 person-years in the shunt closure group. The following were associated with increased risk of developing a NCD: surgical complexity (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 1.20, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.01-1.42), younger age at intervention (AAI) (HR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.16-1.25), male sex (HR = 1.91, 95% CI: 1.61-2.27), and later calendar year at intervention (HR = 1.06, 95% CI: 1.04-1.07). Study population 2 had 527 isolated ASD patients; 202 underwent surgical repair and 325 had percutaneous closure. The incidence of NCDs was not statistically different between groups. Male sex (HR = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.08-2.89) and younger AAI (HR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.06-1.25) were associated with increased NCD risk., Conclusion: Increased surgical complexity, male sex and younger AAI were associated with increased risk of NCDs in pediatric CHD patients. Surveillance protocols should be considered to identify NCDs in CHD patients after cardiac intervention., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors report no relationships that could be construed as a conflict of interest”., (Copyright © 2021. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Importance: The choice of the right surgical technique for correction of tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) is contentious for patients with a moderate to severe right outflow tract obstruction. The use of a transannular patch (TAP) exposes patients to chronic pulmonary regurgitation, while valve-sparing (VS) procedures may incompletely relieve pulmonary obstruction., Objective: To compare 30-year outcomes of TOF repair after a VS procedure vs TAP., Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective population-based cohort study was conducted among all patients with TOF born in the province of Quebec, Canada, from 1980 to 2015 who underwent complete surgical repair. Patients who received a TAP or VS procedure were matched using a propensity score based on preoperative factors in a 1:1 ratio. Data were analyzed from March 2020 through April 2021., Exposures: The study groups were individuals who received TAP and those who received VS. The VS group was further stratified by the presence of residual pulmonary stenosis., Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, with 30-year survival evaluated using Cox proportional-hazards models. Secondary outcomes included the cumulative mean number of cardiovascular interventions, pulmonary valve replacements (PVRs), and cardiovascular hospitalizations were evaluated using marginal means/rates regressions., Results: Among 683 patients with TOF (401 patients who underwent TAP [58.7%] and 282 patients who underwent a VS procedure [41.3%]), adequate propensity score matching was achieved for 528 patients (264 patients who underwent a VS procedure and 264 patients who underwent TAP). Among this study cohort, 307 individuals (58.1%) were men. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) follow-up was 16.0 (8.1-25.4) years, for a total of 8881 patient-years, including 63 individuals (11.9%) followed up for more than 30 years. Individuals who received a VS procedure had an increased 30-year survival of 99.1% compared with 90.4% for individuals who received TAP (hazard ratio [HR], 0.09 [95% CI, 0.02-0.41]; P = .002). Patients who underwent TAP had an increased 30-year cumulative mean number of cardiovascular interventions compared with patients who underwent a VS procedure without residual pulmonary stenosis (2.0 interventions [95% CI, 1.5-2.7 interventions] vs 0.7 interventions [95% CI, 0.5-1.1 interventions]; mean ratio [MR], 0.36 [95% CI, 0.25-0.50]; P < .001) and patients who underwent a VS procedure with at least moderate residual stenosis (1.3 interventions [95% CI, 0.9-1.9 interventions]; MR, 0.65 [0.45-0.93]; P = .02). Results were similar for PVR, with a 30-year cumulative mean 0.3 PVRs [95% CI, 0.1-0.7 PVRs] for patients who underwent a VS procedure without residual pulmonary stenosis (MR, 0.22 [95% CI, 0.12-0.43]; P < .001) and 0.6 PVRs (95% CI, 0.2-1.5 PVRs) for patients with at least moderate residual stenosis (MR, 0.44 [95% CI, 0.21-0.93]; P = .03), compared with 1.4 PVRs (95% CI, 0.8-2.5 PVRs) for the TAP group. No statistically significant difference was found for cardiovascular hospitalizations., Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that patients who underwent a VS procedure had increased 30-year survival, fewer cardiovascular reinterventions, and fewer PVRs compared with individuals who underwent TAP, even in the presence of significant residual pulmonary stenosis. These findings suggest that it is beneficial to perform a VS procedure when possible, even in the presence of moderate residual stenosis, compared with the insertion of a TAP.

Background: The reported survival of tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) is > 97%. Patients with pulmonary atresia and/or genetic conditions have worse outcomes, but long-term estimates of survival and morbidity for these TOF subgroups are scarce. The objective of this study was to describe the 30-year outcomes of TOF according to native anatomy and the coexistence of genetic conditions., Methods: The TRIVIA (Tetralogy of Fallot Research for Improvement of Valve Replacement Intervention: A Bridge Across the Knowledge Gap) study is a retrospective population-based cohort including all TOF subjects born from 1980 to 2015 in Québec. We evaluated all-cause mortality by means of Cox proportional hazards regression, and cumulative mean number of cardiovascular interventions and unplanned hospitalisations with the use of marginal means/rates models. We computed 30-year estimates of outcomes according to TOF types, ie, classic TOF (cTOF) and TOF with pulmonary atresia (TOF-PA), and the presence of genetic conditions., Results: We included 960 subjects. The median follow-up was 17 years (interquartile range, 8-27). Nonsyndromic cTOF subjects had a 30-year survival of 95% and had undergone a mean of 2.8 interventions and 0.5 hospitalisations per subject. In comparison, TOF-PA subjects had a lower 30-year survival of 78% and underwent a mean of 8.1 interventions, with 4 times as many hospitalisations. The presence of a genetic condition was associated with lower survival (< 85% for cTOF and < 60% for TOF-PA) but similar numbers of interventions and hospitalisations., Conclusions: The anatomic types and the presence of genetic conditions strongly influence the long-term outcomes of TOF. We provided robust 30-year estimates for key markers of prognosis that may be used to improve risk stratification and provide more informed counselling to families., (Copyright © 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Heart failure (HF) is the leading cause of death in adult patients with congenital heart disease (ACHD). No risk prediction model exists for HF hospitalization (HFH) for ACHD patients. We aimed to develop a clinically relevant one-year risk prediction system to identify ACHD patients at high risk for HFH., Methods: Data source was the Quebec CHD Database. A retrospective cohort including all ACHD patients aged 18-64 (1995-2010) was constructed for assessing the cumulative risk of HFH adjusting for competing risk of death. To identify one-year predictors of incident HFH, multivariable logistic regressions were employed to a nested case-control sample of all ACHD patients aged 18-64 in 2009. The final model was used to create a risk score system based on adjusted odds ratios., Results: The cohort included 29,991 ACHD patients followed for 648,457 person-years. The cumulative HFH risk by age 65 was 12.58%. The case-control sample comprised 26,420 subjects, of whom 189 had HFHs. Significant one-year predictors were age ≥ 50, male sex, CHD lesion severity, recent 12-month HFH history, pulmonary arterial hypertension, chronic kidney disease, coronary artery disease, systemic arterial hypertension, and diabetes mellitus. The created risk score ranged from 0 to 19. The corresponding HFH risk rose rapidly beyond a score of 8. The risk scoring system demonstrated excellent prediction performance., Conclusions: One eighth of ACHD population experienced HFH before age 65. Age, sex, CHD lesion severity, recent 12-month HFH history, and comorbidities constructed a risk prediction model that successfully identified patients at high risk for HFH., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors report no relationships that could be construed as a conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Hospital readmissions are common in adults with congenital heart disease (CHD) with heart failure (HF). We sought to examine the temporal risk of readmissions, the prompting diagnoses and their determinants within one-year after a first HF hospitalization in older CHD patients., Method: We assembled a cohort from the Quebec CHD database of patients whose first-ever HF hospitalization occurred after age 40. Subjects were followed from the first HF discharge to the earliest of all-cause readmission, death, or one-year post-discharge. The Fine and Gray model was used to measure the weekly readmission risks. The one-year period was categorized into different stages based on readmission risks. A multinomial logistic regression model was adopted to identify the determinants of patients falling in different readmission stages., Results: The one-year death-adjusted cumulative readmission risk was 48.8%. The absolute weekly risk of readmission was the highest at week 2, declined by 50% at week 8, and reached a plateau at week 27. Three phases-vigilance (1-8 weeks), transition (9-27 weeks), and plateau (28-52 weeks)-were identified, corresponding to high-risk, decreasing-risk, and stable-risk periods. Cardiovascular diseases accounted for 61.7%, 50.3%, and 43.2% of all readmissions during the three phases; systemic diseases accounted for 15.2%, 19.9%, and 31.2%. A history of past-12-month interventional procedures saw significantly decreased readmission risks. Longer hospital stays were associated with lower readmission risks at the vigilance phase only., Conclusion: Policy makers and caregivers should account for the change in risk over time, and phase-tailored strategies should be planned to effectively reduce readmissions., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Nearly 90% of patients with adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) die after the age of 40 years, and heart failure (HF) is the most common cause of death. We aimed to characterize the association between an incident HF hospitalization (HFH) and mortality and to identify the predictors of 1-year postdischarge mortality after incident and repeated HFHs, respectively., Methods: Patients with ACHD aged ≥40 years between 2000 and 2010 were identified from the Québec CHD database. We conducted a propensity score-matched study to explore the association between an incident HFH and mortality. We performed Bayesian model averaging to identify the predictors of 1-year postdischarge mortality with a posterior probability ≥50% considered to be evidence of a significant association., Results: The mortality hazard ratio was high at 6.01 (95% CI, 4.02-10.72) within 1-year postdischarge, decreasing significantly but entering an elevated equilibrium until year 4 with a continued 3-fold increase in death. Kidney dysfunction (hazard ratio, 2.28 [95% credible interval, 1.59-3.28], posterior probability, 100.0%) and a history of ≥2 HFHs in the past 12 months (hazard ratio, 1.77 [95% credible interval, 1.18-2.66], posterior probability: 82.2%) were the most robust predictors of 1-year mortality after incident and repeated HFHs, respectively., Conclusions: In patients with ACHD aged ≥40 years, incident HFH was associated with high mortality risk at 1 year, declining but remaining elevated for 4 years. Kidney dysfunction was a potent predictor of 1-year mortality risk after incident HFHs. Repeated HFHs further increased mortality risk. These observations should inform early risk-tailored health services interventions for monitoring and prevention of HF and its associated complications in older patients with ACHD.

Background: The number of women with congenital heart disease (CHD) of reproductive age is increasing, yet a description of trends in pregnancy and delivery outcomes in this population is lacking., Objective: To assess secular trends in pregnancy rates, delivery outcomes, and related health care utilization in the adult female CHD population in Quebec, Canada., Methods: The Quebec CHD database was used to construct a cohort with all women with CHD aged 18-45 years between 1992 and 2004. Pregnancy and delivery rates were determined yearly and compared to the general population. Secular trends in pregnancy and delivery rates were assessed with linear regression. The cesarean delivery rate in the CHD population was compared to the general population. Predictors of cesarean section were determined with multivariable logistic regression. Cox regression, adjusted for comorbidities, was used to analyze the impact of cesarean sections on 1-year health care use following delivery., Results: About 14 878 women were included. A total of 10 809 pregnancies were identified in 5641 women, of whom 4551 (80%) and 2528 (45%) experienced at least one delivery and/or abortion, respectively. Absolute yearly numbers and rates of pregnancies and deliveries increased during the study period (P < .05). The increment in cesarean section rates was more pronounced among women with CHD than among the general population. Gestational diabetes (OR 1.50, 95% CI [1.13, 1.99]), gestational hypertension (OR 1.81, 95% CI [1.27, 2.57]), and preeclampsia (OR 1.59, 95% CI [1.11, 2.8]) were independent predictors of cesarean delivery. Cesarean sections were associated with postpartum cardiac-hospitalization within 1 year following delivery (HR = 2.35, 95% CI [1.05, 5.28])., Conclusions: Yearly numbers and rates of pregnancies and deliveries in adult females with CHD rose significantly during the study period. Cesarean sections led to increased health care utilization. Further research is required to determine causes of high cesarean section rates in this patient population., (© 2019 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.)

Adults with congenital heart disease are increasingly being exposed to low-dose ionizing radiation (LDIR) from cardiac procedures. In a recent study, Cohen et al. (Circulation. 2018;137(13):1334-1345) reported an association between increased LDIR exposure and cancer incidence but did not explore temporal relationships. Yet, the impact of past exposures probably accumulates over years, and its strength may depend on the amount of time elapsed since exposure. Furthermore, LDIR procedures performed shortly before a cancer diagnosis may have been ordered because of early symptoms of cancer, raising concerns about reversal causality bias. To address these challenges, we combined flexible modeling of cumulative exposures with competing-risks methodology to estimate separate associations of time-varying LDIR exposure with cancer incidence and all-cause mortality. Among 24,833 patients from the Quebec Congenital Heart Disease Database, 602 had incident cancer and 500 died during a follow-up period of up to 15 years (1995-2010). Initial results suggested a strong association of cancer incidence with very recent LDIR exposures, likely reflecting reverse causality bias. When exposure was lagged by 2 years, an increased cumulative LDIR dose from the previous 2-6 years was associated with increased cancer incidence, with a stronger association for women. These results illustrate the importance of accurate modeling of temporal relationships between time-varying exposures and health outcomes., (© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objective: Prenatal detection of congenital heart diseases (CHD) decreases morbidity and cost. To improve detections rates, most physicians refer pregnant women with high-risk pregnancies to fetal cardiologists even when there is no suspicion of CHD at the second trimester screening. This paper presents the rationale and detailed method of the Fetal Cardiac Registry of Québec to Improve Resource Utilization in Fetal Cardiology (FREQUENCY) study. The overall objective is to assess the impact of second trimester ultrasound screening (U/S) and referral pattern in fetal cardiology on detection rates, health care costs, and resource utilization, as well as perinatal morbidity and mortality., Methods: This multicentre retrospective population-based cohort study will link fetal echocardiography data from all centres performing fetal echocardiography in Québec with administrative health care data. This data linking will allow the determination of a true denominator (all women in Québec who underwent second trimester U/S) with complete follow-up of up to 2 years for offspring. This protocol meets Canadian Task Force Classification II-2., Results: The study investigators have collected and cleaned fetal echocardiography data for 24 259 eligible pregnancies referred to fetal cardiology. These data will be matched to approximately 860 000 pregnancies between 2007 and 2015., Conclusion: The results of the FREQUENCY study will shed light on the impact of the current prenatal CHD screening strategy in Canada., (Copyright © 2018 The Society of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists of Canada/La Société des obstétriciens et gynécologues du Canada. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Adults with congenital heart disease (CHD) are exposed to increasing amounts of low-dose ionizing radiation (LDIR) from cardiac procedures. Cancer prevalence in this population is higher than in the general population. This study estimates the association between LDIR exposure from cardiac procedures and incident cancer in adult patients with CHD., Methods: The study population derived from the Quebec Congenital Heart Disease Database. We measured cumulative numbers of LDIR-related cardiac procedures for each patient until 1 year before the time of cancer diagnosis or administrative censoring. To assess the association between LDIR exposure and cancer risk, we conducted a nested case-control study and matched cancer cases with controls on sex, CHD severity, birth year, and age., Results: The study included 24 833 adult patients with CHD aged 18 to 64 years from 1995 to 2009. In >250 791 person-years of follow-up, 602 cancer cases were observed (median age, 55.4 years). The cumulative incidence of cancer estimated up to 64 years of age was 15.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 14.2-16.5). Cases had more LDIR-related cardiac procedures than controls (1410 versus 921 per 1000 adult patients with CHD, P <0.0001). Cumulative LDIR exposure was independently associated with cancer (odds ratio [OR], 1.08 per procedure; 95% CI, 1.04-1.13). Similar results were obtained by using dose estimates for LDIR exposure (OR, 1.10 per 10 mSv; 95% CI, 1.05-1.15) with a possible dose-related response. The effect measure was in the same direction, and the association was persistent for exposure from ≥6 procedures in all sensitivity analyses: after excluding most smoking-related cancer cases (OR, 1.10 per procedure; 95% CI, 1.05-1.16 and OR when exposure from ≥6 procedures, 3.08; 95% CI, 1.77-5.37), and after applying a 3-year lag period (OR, 1.09 per procedure; 95% CI, 1.03-1.14 and OR when exposure from ≥6 procedures: 2.58; 95% CI, 1.43-4.69)., Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the first large population-based study to analyze and document the association between LDIR-related cardiac procedures and incident cancer in the population of adults with CHD. Confirmations of these findings by prospective studies are needed to reinforce policy recommendations for radiation surveillance in patients with CHD where no regulation currently exists. Physicians ordering and performing cardiac imaging should ensure that exposure is as low as reasonably achievable without sacrificing quality of care., (© 2017 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Background: Because of advancements in care, there has been a decline in mortality from congenital heart defects (CHDs) over the past several decades. However, there are no current empirical data documenting the number of people living with CHDs in the United States. Our aim was to estimate the CHD prevalence across all age groups in the United States in the year 2010., Methods: The age-, sex-, and severity-specific observed prevalence of CHDs in Québec, Canada, in the year 2010 was assumed to equal the CHD prevalence in the non-Hispanic white population in the United States in 2010. A race-ethnicity adjustment factor, reflecting differential survival between racial-ethnic groups through 5 years of age for individuals with a CHD and that in the general US population, was applied to the estimated non-Hispanic white rates to derive CHD prevalence estimates among US non-Hispanic blacks and Hispanics. Confidence intervals for the estimated CHD prevalence rates and case counts were derived from a combination of Taylor series approximations and Monte Carlo simulation., Results: We estimated that ≈2.4 million people (1.4 million adults, 1 million children) were living with CHDs in the United States in 2010. Nearly 300 000 of these individuals had severe CHDs., Conclusions: Our estimates highlight the need for 2 important efforts: planning for health services delivery to meet the needs of the growing population of adults with CHD and the development of surveillance data across the life span to provide empirical estimates of the prevalence of CHD across all age groups in the United States., (© 2016 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Background: The burden of low-dose ionizing radiation (LDIR) exposure from medical procedures among individuals with congenital heart disease (CHD) is unknown. In this longitudinal population-based study, we sought to determine exposure to LDIR-related cardiac imaging and therapeutic procedures in children and adults with CHD., Methods and Results: In an analysis of the Quebec CHD database, exposure to the following LDIR-related cardiac procedures was recorded: catheter-based diagnostic procedures, structural heart interventions, coronary interventions, computed tomography scans of the chest, nuclear procedures, and pacemaker/implantable cardioverter-defibrillator insertion and repair. From 1990 to 2005, there were 16 253 LDIR-exposed patients with CHD with 317 988 patient-years of available follow-up. The total number of LDIR-related procedures increased from 18.5 to 51.9 per 1000 CHD patients per year (P<0.0001). This increase was attributable to increases in rates per 1000 CHD patients in diagnostic cardiac catheterizations (11.7 to 13.7 per 1000), structural heart interventions (1.0 to 5.2 per 1000), coronary interventions (1.0 to 2.4 per 1000), pacemaker/implantable cardioverter-defibrillator insertions (1.6 to 4.4 per 1000), nuclear procedures (4.2 to 13.8 per 1000), and computed tomography scans of the chest (2.5 to 12.3 per 1000). Over time, among children with CHD, the median age at first LDIR procedure decreased from 5.0 years to 9.6 months. Severity of CHD significantly predicted extent of exposure., Conclusions: From 1990 to 2005, patients with CHD were exposed to increasing numbers of LDIR-emitting cardiac procedures. This exposure occurred at progressively younger ages. These findings provide an important perspective on longitudinal LDIR exposure in this at-risk population., (© 2015 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Background: Our objective was to obtain contemporary lifetime estimates of congenital heart disease (CHD) prevalence using population-based data sources up to year 2010., Methods and Results: The Quebec CHD database contains 28 years of longitudinal data on all individuals with CHD from 1983 to 2010. Severe CHD was defined as tetralogy of Fallot, truncus arteriosus, transposition complexes, endocardial cushion defects, and univentricular hearts. We used latent class bayesian models combining case definitions from physician claims, hospitalization, and surgical data to obtain point and interval prevalence estimates of CHD in the first year of life, in children (<18 years of age) and in adults. We identified 107 559 CHD patients from 1983 to 2010. Prevalence of CHD in the first year of life was 8.21 per 1000 live births (95% confidence interval, 7.47-9.02) from 1998 to 2005. In 2010, overall prevalence of CHD was 13.11 per 1000 (95% confidence interval, 12.43-13.81) in children and 6.12 per 1000 (95% confidence interval, 5.69-6.57) in adults. CHD prevalence increased by 11% in children and 57% in adults from 2000 to 2010. Prevalence in the severe CHD subgroup increased by 19% (95% confidence interval, 17%-21%) in children and 55% (51%-62%) in adults. By 2010, adults accounted for 66% of the entire CHD population., Conclusions: With an increase of >50% in CHD prevalence since 2000, by 2010 adults accounted for two thirds of patients with severe and other forms of CHD in the general population. Our findings should inform allocation of resources and the planning of workforce needs for the predominantly adult CHD population., (© 2014 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Background: Clinical guidelines recommend specialized care for adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) patients. In reality, few patients receive such dedicated care. We sought to examine the impact of specialized care on ACHD patient mortality., Methods and Results: We examined referral rates to specialized ACHD centers and ACHD patient mortality rates between 1990 and 2005 in the population-based Quebec Congenital Heart Disease database (n=71 467). This period covers several years before and after the publication of guidelines endorsing specialized care for ACHD patients. A time-series design, based on Joinpoint and Poisson regression analyses, was used to assess the changes in annual referral and patient mortality rates. The association between specialized ACHD care and all-cause mortality was assessed in both case-control and cohort studies. The time-series analysis demonstrated a significant increase in referral rates to specialized ACHD centers in 1997 (rate ratio, +7.4%; 95% confidence interval [CI], +6.6% to +8.2%). In parallel, a significant reduction in expected ACHD patient mortality was observed after year 2000 (rate ratio, -5.0%;95% CI, -10.8% to -0.8%). In exploratory post hoc cohort and case-control analyses, specialized ACHD care was independently associated with reduced mortality (hazard ratio, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.65-0.94) and a reduced odds of death (adjusted odds ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.08-0.97), respectively. This effect was predominantly driven by patients with severe congenital heart disease (hazard ratio, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.22-0.67)., Conclusions: A significant increase in referrals to specialized ACHD centers followed the introduction of the clinical guidelines. Moreover, referral to specialized ACHD care was independently associated with a significant mortality reduction. Our findings support a model of specialized care for all ACHD patients.

Background: The most common congenital anomaly in adults is secundum, which can be closed using a surgical or transcatheter approach. Despite the growing use of transcatheter ASD closure, few studies have examined the cost-effectiveness of this strategy. We sought to compare the long-term cost effectiveness of transcatheter and surgical closure of secundum in adults., Methods: A decision-analytic model was used with all clinical outcome parameter estimates obtained from the province-wide Québec Congenital Heart Disease Database. Costs were obtained from a single academic centre (Canadian dollars). A cost-effectiveness analysis using a discrete event Monte Carlo simulation model from the perspective of a single third party payer and multiple sensitivity analyses were performed. Patients were followed for a maximum of 5 years after ASD closure., Results: Between l998 and 2005, we identified 718 adults (n=335 transcatheter; n=383 surgical) who underwent ASD closure in Quebec. The 5-year cost of surgical closure was $15,304 SD $4581 versus $11,060 SD $5169 for the transcatheter alternative. At 5 years, transcatheter closure was marginally more effective than surgery (4.683 SD 0.379 life-years versus 4.618 SD 0.638 life-years). Probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated that transcatheter ASD closure was a dominant strategy with an 80% probability of cost savings and equal or greater efficacy compared to surgical treatment., Conclusion: Although definitive conclusions are limited given the observational nature of the primary data sources, transcatheter ASD closure appeared to be a cost-effective strategy associated with slightly improved clinical outcomes and reduced costs compared to surgical closure at 5-years follow-up., (Copyright © 2013. Published by Elsevier Ireland Ltd.)

Objectives: The study objectives were to analyze sex differences in hospital mortality of adult patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) and to determine the impact of health services associated with pregnancy on outcomes in women., Background: The determinants of sex differences in the demographic distribution of CHD are poorly understood., Methods: The Quebec CHD database and the Dutch CONCOR (CONgenital CORvitia) registry were used to identify patients with CHD aged 18 to 65 years who were hospitalized between 1996 and 2005. Regression analyses were used to compare 30-day in-hospital mortality in men versus women and in women aged 18 to 45 years with versus without a pregnancy history, after adjustment for age, CHD severity, comorbidities, and admission diagnosis., Results: Of 39,776 patients followed for 259,741 patient years, 19,099 patients (48%) had 54,195 admissions (62% among women). In those aged 18 to 45 years, 30-day in-hospital mortality was higher in men compared with women with nonpregnancy admissions (adjusted rate ratio: 1.36; 95% confidence interval: 1.02 to 1.81). The adjusted rate ratio for 30-day in-hospital mortality in women with a pregnancy history compared with those without was 0.49 (95% confidence interval: 0.24 to 0.99). A history of pregnancy was not associated with an overall increase in medical encounters., Conclusions: We demonstrated a protective effect of sex on in-hospital mortality in women with CHD of reproductive age that did not correlate with increased medical surveillance. Future studies need to explore other mechanisms to account for our observations. Understanding the determinants of the sex distribution of adults with CHD is important for our ability to predict demographic changes in the population with CHD., (Copyright © 2013 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Aortic coarctation (CoA) is reported to predispose to coronary artery disease (CAD). However, our clinical observations do not support this premise. Our objectives were to describe the prevalence of CAD among adults with CoA and to determine whether CoA is an independent predictor of CAD or premature CAD., Methods and Results: The study population was derived from the Quebec Congenital Heart Disease Database. We compared patients with CoA and those with a ventricular septal defect, who are not known to be at increased risk of CAD. The prevalence of CAD in patients with CoA compared with those with ventricular septal defect was determined. We then used a nested case-control design to determine whether CoA independently predicted for the development of CAD. Of 756 patients with CoA who were alive in 2005, 37 had a history of CAD compared with 224 of 6481 patients with ventricular septal defect (4.9% versus 3.5%; P=0.04). Male sex (odds ratio [OR], 2.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.62-2.80), hypertension (OR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.44-2.64), diabetes mellitus (OR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.09-2.58), age (OR per 10-year increase, 2.28; 95% CI, 2.09-2.48), and hyperlipidemia (OR, 11.58; 95% CI, 5.75-23.3) all independently predicted for the development of CAD. CoA did not independently predict for the development of CAD (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.68-1.57) or premature CAD (OR for CoA versus ventricular septal defect, 1.44; 95% CI, 0.79-2.64) after adjustment for other factors., Conclusions: Although traditional cardiovascular risk factors independently predicted for the development of CAD, the diagnosis of CoA alone did not. Our findings suggest that cardiovascular outcomes of these patients may be improved with tight risk factor control.

Objectives: This study sought to characterize temporal trends in all-cause mortality in patients with congenital heart disease (CHD)., Background: Historically, most deaths in patients with CHD occurred in early childhood. Notable advances have since been achieved that may impact on mortality trends., Methods: We conducted a population-based cohort study of patients with CHD in Quebec, Canada, from July 1987 to June 2005. A total of 8,561 deaths occurred in 71,686 patients with CHD followed for 982,363 patient-years., Results: The proportion of infant and childhood deaths markedly declined from 1987 to 2005, with a reduction in mortality that exceeded that of the general population. Distribution of age at death transitioned from a bimodal to unimodal, albeit skewed, pattern, more closely approximating the general population. Overall, mortality decreased by 31% (mortality rate ratio: 0.69, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.61 to 0.79) in the last (2002 to 2005) relative to the first (1987 to 1990) period of observation. Mortality rates decreased in all age groups below 65 years, with the largest reduction in infants (mortality rate ratio: 0.23, 95% CI: 0.12 to 0.47). In adults 18 to 64 years, the mortality reduction (mortality rate ratio: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.73 to 0.97) paralleled the general population. Gains in survival were mostly driven by reduced mortality in severe forms of CHD, particularly in children (mortality rate ratio: 0.33, 95% CI: 0.19 to 0.60), and were consistent across most subtypes., Conclusions: Deaths in CHD have shifted away from infants and towards adults, with a steady increase in age at death and decreasing mortality., (Copyright © 2010 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Atrial arrhythmias (AAs) are a common complication in adult patients with congenital heart disease. We sought to compare the lifetime prevalence of AAs in patients with right- versus left-sided congenital cardiac lesions and their effect on the prognosis. A congenital heart disease diagnosis was assigned using the International Disease Classification, Ninth Revision, diagnostic codes in the administrative databases of Quebec, from 1983 to 2005. Patients with AAs were those diagnosed with an International Disease Classification, Ninth Revision, code for atrial fibrillation or intra-atrial reentry tachycardia. To ensure that the diagnosis of AA was new, a washout period of 5 years after entry into the database was used, a period during which the patient could not have received an International Disease Classification, Ninth Revision, code for AA. The cumulative lifetime risk of AA was estimated using the Practical Incidence Estimators method. The hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality, morbidity, and cardiac interventions were compared between those with right- and left-sided lesions after adjustment for age, gender, disease severity, and cardiac risk factors. In a population of 71,467 patients, 7,756 adults developed AAs (isolated right-sided, 2,229; isolated left-sided, 1,725). The lifetime risk of developing AAs was significantly greater in patients with right- sided than in patients with left-sided lesions (61.0% vs 55.4%, p <0.001). The HR for mortality and the development of stroke or heart failure was similar in both groups (HR 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86 to 1.09; HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.09; and HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.23, respectively). However, the rates of cardiac catheterization (HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.72), cardiac surgery (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.45), and arrhythmia surgery (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.6 to 0.98) were significantly less for patients with right-sided lesions. In conclusion, patients with right-sided lesions had a greater lifetime burden of AAs. However, their morbidity and mortality were no less than those with left-sided lesions, although the rate of intervention was substantially different.

Objective: To investigate whether the 1998 government policy for mandatory fortification of flour and pasta products with folate was followed by a reduction in the prevalence of severe congenital heart defects., Design: Time trend analysis., Setting: Province of Quebec, Canada., Participants: Infants born in 1990-2005 identified with severe congenital heart defects (tetralogy of Fallot, endocardial cushion defects, univentricular hearts, truncus arteriosus, or transposition complexes) in Quebec administrative databases., Methods: Data analysed in two time periods (before and after fortification). Birth prevalence measured annually as infants (live and stillbirths) with severe congenital heart defects per 1000 births in Quebec. Changes in the birth prevalence from the period before to the period after fortification were estimated with Poisson regression., Results: Among the 1, 324,440 births in Quebec in 1990-2005 there were 2083 infants born with severe congenital heart defects, corresponding to an average birth prevalence of 1.57/1000 births. Time trend analysis showed no change in the birth prevalence of severe birth defects in the nine years before fortification (rate ratio 1.01, 95% confidence interval 0.99 to 1.03), while in the seven years after fortification there was a significant 6% decrease per year (0.94, 0.90 to 0.97)., Conclusions: Public health measures to increase folic acid intake were followed by a decrease in the birth prevalence of severe congenital heart defects. These findings support the hypothesis that folic acid has a preventive effect on heart defects.

Background: Little is known about the factors that predispose children with congenital heart disease (CHD) to readmission soon after hospital discharge. We sought to determine rates and risk factors for hospital readmission within 1 month among children with CHD., Methods: Data were obtained from administrative databases that record all hospitalizations within the province of Quebec. We included children 0 to 17 years with CHD who were hospitalized with a cardiac diagnosis (an "index hospitalization") between 1990 and 2005. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to identify predictors of readmission., Results: Among 3675 hospitalizations, there were 518 readmissions (15%) within 31 days. Median time to readmission was 12 days (interquartile range 5-19 days). Readmissions occurred in the same hospital as the index hospitalization 86% of the time. The most common diagnoses at readmission were cardiac (59%) and respiratory illnesses (12%). Independent predictors of readmission were severe CHD lesion, younger age, Friday or Saturday discharge, having an emergency department visit within the preceding 6 months, length of index hospitalization > 14 days, and multiple (> or = 4) diagnoses (either cardiac diagnoses or comorbid conditions). Having an invasive procedure during the index hospitalization reduced the likelihood of readmission., Conclusions: Readmission occurred after 1 in 7 hospitalizations. Infants and patients with severe CHD lesions were among those more likely to be readmitted. The risk of readmission may be reduced by avoiding hospital discharge at the beginning of a weekend. Further studies are needed to determine if targeted interventions will reduce readmission rates in high-risk patients.

The number of adults with congenital heart disease (CHD) is increasing. However, rates of health care resource utilization in this population are unknown. The objectives of this study were to describe the use of general health care resources in adults with CHD and to examine the impact of CHD severity on resource utilization. The study consisted of adults alive in 1996 who had > or = 1 diagnosis of a CHD lesion conforming to the International Classification of Disease, Ninth Revision, in the physician's claims database of the province of Quebec from 1983 to 2000. From 1996 to 2000, rates of health care utilization were measured. The impact of the severity of CHD on the use of health care resources was determined using multivariate models to adjust for age, gender, Charlson co-morbidity score, and duration of follow-up. The study population consisted of 22,096 adults with CHD (42% men). From 1996 to 2000, 87% received outpatient care from specialists, 68% visited emergency rooms, 51% were hospitalized, and 16% were admitted to critical care units. Patients with severe CHD had higher adjusted rates of outpatient cardiologist care (rate ratio [RR] 2.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.06 to 2.45), emergency department utilization (RR 1.09, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.17), hospitalization (RR 1.30, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.43), and days in critical care (RR 2.12, 95% CI 1.80 to 2.50) than patients with other congenital cardiac lesions. Hospitalization rates were higher than in the general Quebec adult population (RR 2.08, 95% CI 2.00 to 2.17). In conclusion, adults with CHD have high rates of health care resource utilization, particularly those with severe lesions. Appropriate resource allocation is required to serve this growing population.

Background: Empirical data on the changing epidemiology of congenital heart disease (CHD) are scant. We determined the prevalence, age distribution, and proportion of adults and children with severe and other forms of CHD in the general population from 1985 to 2000., Methods and Results: Where healthcare access is universal, we used administrative databases that systematically recorded all diagnoses and claims. Diagnostic codes conformed to the International Classification of Disease, ninth revision. Severe CHD was defined as tetralogy of Fallot, truncus arteriosus, transposition complexes, endocardial cushion defects, and univentricular heart. Prevalence of severe and other CHD lesions was determined in 1985, 1990, 1995, and 2000 using population numbers in Quebec. Children were subjects <18 years of age. The prevalence was 4.09 per 1000 adults in the year 2000 for all CHD and 0.38 per 1000 (9%) for those with severe lesions. Female subjects accounted for 57% of the adult CHD population. The median age of all patients with severe CHD was 11 years (interquartile range, 4 to 22 years) in 1985 and 17 years (interquartile range, 10 to 28 years) in 2000 (P<0.0001). The prevalence of severe CHD increased from 1985 to 2000, but the increase in adults was significantly higher than that observed in children. In the year 2000, 49% of those alive with severe CHD were adults., Conclusions: The prevalence in adults and median age of patients with severe CHD increased in the general population from 1985 to 2000. In 2000, there were nearly equal numbers of adults and children with severe CHD.