1. Assessing surface ozone risk to human health and forests over time in Poland.
- Author
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Cakaj, Arlinda, Qorri, Erjon, Coulibaly, Fatimatou, De Marco, Alessandra, Agathokleous, Evgenios, Leca, Stefan, and Sicard, Pierre
- Subjects
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FOREST health , *OZONE , *GROWING season , *VOLATILE organic compounds , *CROPS - Abstract
Hourly ground-level ozone (O 3) data from 52 monitoring stations in Poland were analyzed over a ten-year pre-COVID19 period (2010–2019) to map and define areas at risk for human health and vegetation, and to calculate trends over the study period. Annual O 3 metrics (24-h average concentrations, 50th percentiles, and hourly maxima), human health metrics (Sum Of daily maximum 8-h Means Over 35 ppb, SOMO35, summertime average of the daily 8-h maximum O 3 concentrations, O 3 MDA8, and number of daily maximum 8-h values above 60 ppb, EU60) and vegetation exposure metrics (AOT40, i.e., accumulation of hourly O 3 concentrations exceeding 40 ppb during the growing season for agricultural crops AOT40c and forests AOT40f) were investigated. Higher O 3 levels occurred in rural areas than in cities. Between 2010 and 2019, the O 3 levels were rising in both urban and rural areas. Despite the reduction of nitrogen oxides (NO x : - 2.33% year-1) and volatile organic compounds emissions (VOCs: - 0.95% year-1), annual O 3 mean levels (+0.81 and +0.12% year-1), 50th percentiles (+1.06 and ∼0% year-1), hourly maxima (- 0.10 and +0.23% year-1), SOMO35 (+2.86 and +1.50% year-1), summertime O 3 MDA8 (+0.49 and +0.48% year-1), EU60 (+0.09 and +0.15 days year-1), AOT40c (+3.79 and +3.29% year-1) and AOT40f (+4.47 and +4.34% year-1) commonly increased in urban and rural stations. The O 3 levels increased at 75.0% of urban stations and 62.5% of rural stations. A slight decline of the number of O 3 peaks occurred in cities, likely driven by the recent reductions in NO x emissions by on-road transport. For all metrics, the increase can be attributed to higher regional photochemical O 3 formation and rising background O 3 levels likely driven by imported O 3 and its precursors by long-range transport, climate change, and lower O 3 titration by NO x emissions decline. The failure to attain the target value for O 3 for protecting vegetation and human health and vegetation persists. Southeastern Poland, where coal stoves are still used for residential heating, faces the highest O 3 risk. This study reports new information on surface O 3 levels, exceedances, and trends in Poland to develop effective policies to mitigate O 3 effects. [Display omitted] • We calculated human health and vegetation exposure O 3 metrics for Poland. • We calculated short-term trends for O 3 metrics over the pre-COVID19 period (2010–2019). • We used an interpolation approach to map O 3 exposure for risk assessment. • We found that the O3 baseline level is rising in both urban and rural areas. • We discussed spatial distribution of levels and changes in O 3 levels. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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