1. Hypothesis: the recent decline in coronary heart disease mortality--mainly a shift from fatal to non-fatal events?
- Author
-
Erikssen, Gunnar, Liestøl, Knut, Bjørnholt, Jørgen Vildershøj, Thaulow, Erik, Erikssen, Jan, Erikssen, G, Liestøl, K, Bjørnholt, J V, Thaulow, E, and Erikssen, J
- Subjects
HEART disease related mortality ,CORONARY disease - Abstract
Objectives: A marked, sequential decline in coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality is established, but not its causes. Does it reflect modern treatment effects or a spinoff of primary prevention? The aim of this study was to explore this issue using a prospective cohort follow-up design.Design: In 1972-1975 and 1980-1982 Cohorts 1 (n = 613) and 2 (n = 667) of identical age (males, mean 56 years) were examined, and thereafter followed closely for 14 years. CHD risk- and treatment patterns, incidence of non-fatal myocardial infarctions (MIs) and total-, cardiovascular and CHD mortality rates were studied.Results: CHD risk factors were more favourable, medical treatment more aggressive and 14-years CHD mortality, as expected, lower in Cohort 2 (7.7%/4.8%, p = 0.032). However, hospital- and prospective ECG data revealed opposite trends in non-fatal cohort CHD incidence, and aggregated numbers of CHD deaths and non-fatal MI cases were 16.7%/16.0% in Cohort 1/2 (p = 0.90).Conclusions: A marked, sequential reduction in CHD mortality was followed by a reciprocal increase in non-fatal MIs. This phenomenon may prevail in low CHD-endemic areas, and may call for altered primary preventive measures for reduction in total CHD incidence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2000
- Full Text
- View/download PDF