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We assessed the association between the rate of forearm bone loss and non-vertebral fracture. Bone loss at the distal forearm predicted fractures, independently of baseline BMD, but not independently of follow-up BMD in women. The BMD level where an individual ends up is the significant predictor of fracture risk. Bone loss may predict fracture risk independently of baseline BMD. The influence of follow-up BMD on this prediction is unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the association between bone loss and fracture risk in both sexes in a prospective population-based study. We included 1,208 postmenopausal women (50 to 74 years), and 1,336 men (55 to 74 years) from the Tromsø Study, who had repeated distal and ultra-distal forearm BMD measurements. Non-vertebral fractures were registered from 2001 to 2005. A total of 100 women and 46 men sustained fractures during the follow-up time. Independent of baseline BMD, the RR associated with distal site bone loss of 1 SD %/year was 1.23 (1.01-1.50) for low-trauma fractures (excluding hand, foot, skull & high-trauma) and 1.32 (1.07-1.62) for osteoporotic fractures (hip, wrist and shoulder). However, bone loss did not predict fracture after adjusting for follow-up BMD. The BMD level where an individual ends up became the significant predictor of fracture risk and not the rate of bone loss. Follow-up BMD at ultra-distal site was associated with low-trauma fractures in both sexes. While ultra-distal site BMD changes were not associated with fracture risk in both sexes. Bone loss at the distal forearm predicted non-vertebral fractures, independently of baseline BMD, but not independently of follow-up BMD, in women. The BMD level where an individual ends up is the significant predictor of fracture risk and not the rate of bone loss. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of this study was to describe and compare bone mineral density (BMD) development in Norwegian women and men aged 25–44 years in a population-based, longitudinal study. BMD was measured twice at distal and ultradistal forearm sites by single x-ray absorptiometry in 258 women and 147 men (mean follow-up time, 6.4 (standard deviation, 0.6) years). At the distal site, a small annual gain of approximately 0.1% became a small loss beginning at age 34 years in men and age 36 years in women. At the ultradistal site, BMD change was predicted by age in women only, and bone loss started at age 38 years. A high degree of tracking of BMD measurements was observed for both sexes and both sites, r > 0.93. Depending on total BMD change, participants were grouped into “losers,” “nonlosers,” and “gainers,” and more than 6% lost more than the smallest detectable amount of BMD: ≥3.46% at the distal site and ≥5.14% at the ultradistal site. In both sexes, bone mineral content (grams) decreased, whereas area (centimeters squared) increased significantly in “losers” compared with “gainers.” This finding might represent physiologic compensation preserving bone strength. No cohort effects were observed when 1994 and 2001 measures from similar age groups were compared. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A physically active, nonsmoking lifestyle with weight maintenance positively influences bone health. The authors estimated the effect of lifestyles on peak bone mass and lifetime bone loss in the Tromsø Study, Norway. Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured at distal and ultradistal forearm sites with single x-ray absorptiometric devices in 7,948 men and women aged 24–84 years in 1994–1995 and repeated in 2001 in 6,182 subjects. BMD was significantly higher at peak than at old age. However, the difference, estimated as lifetime loss, varied between lifestyle groups. Lifetime loss in nonsmoking, physically active men with a body mass index of 25 kg/m2 compared with smoking, inactive, and lean men was 15.9% and 25.9% at the distal site and 17.5% and 29.7% at the ultradistal site, respectively. In women, the corresponding loss estimates were 34.4% and 45.7% and 35.6% and 55.7%, respectively. The differences in BMD at the age of 80 years correspond to an increased forearm fracture risk of 69% in men and 85% in women with greatest bone loss. A lifestyle including nonsmoking, a high physical activity level, and a high body weight reduces bone loss and fracture risk in both sexes, with increasing effect from peak bone mass to old age. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]