1. Three point transfusion risk score in hepatectomy: an external validation using the American College of Surgeons - National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP).
- Author
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Lemke M, Mahar A, Karanicolas PJ, Coburn NG, Law CHL, and Hallet J
- Subjects
- Aged, Clinical Decision-Making, Databases, Factual, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, North America, Predictive Value of Tests, Registries, Reproducibility of Results, Risk Assessment, Risk Factors, Treatment Outcome, Blood Loss, Surgical prevention & control, Decision Support Techniques, Erythrocyte Transfusion adverse effects, Hepatectomy adverse effects
- Abstract
Background: Risk of red blood cell transfusion (RBCT) in partial hepatectomy is 17-27%; strategies to reduce transfusions can be targeted in patients at increased risk. A Three Point Transfusion Risk Score (TRS) was previously developed to predict patients' risk of transfusion during and following hepatectomy. Here, it was subject to external validation using the ACS-NSQIP database., Methods: TRIPOD guidelines were followed. A validation cohort was created with the ACS-NSQIP dataset. Risk groups for RBCT were created using the TRS: anemia (hematocrit ≤36%), major liver resection (≥4 segments) and primary liver malignancy. Concordance index was used to assess the discrimination. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test for goodness of fit and calibration curves were used to assess calibration., Results: Of 2854 hepatectomies, 18.9% received RBCT. The TRS stratified patients from low (8.5% risk of RBCT) to very high risk (40.6%) of RBCT. The concordance was 0.68 (95% CI 0.66-0.70). Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curves supported good predictive performance of the model., Conclusion: The TRS adequately discriminated risk of RBCT in an external sample of patients undergoing hepatectomy. It provides a simple method to identify patients at high transfusion risk. It can be used to tailor patient blood management initiatives and reduce the use of RBCT., (Copyright © 2018 International Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Association Inc. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2018
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