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Background: No prognostic score is currently available for long-term survival in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) patients., Objective: The aim of this study was to develop and validate such a prognostic score for AIH patients at diagnosis., Methods: The prognostic score was developed using uni- & multivariate Cox regression in a 4-center Dutch cohort and validated in an independent 6-center Belgian cohort., Results: In the derivation cohort of 396 patients 19 liver transplantations (LTs) and 51 deaths occurred (median follow-up 118 months; interquartile range 60-202 months). In multivariate analysis age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.045; p < 0.001), non-caucasian ethnicity (HR 1.897; p = 0.045), cirrhosis (HR 3.266; p < 0.001) and alanine aminotransferase level (HR 0.725; p = 0.003) were significant independent predictors for mortality or LT (C-statistic 0.827; 95% CI 0.790-0.864). In the validation cohort of 408 patients death or LT occurred in 78 patients during a median follow-up of 74 months (interquartile range: 25-142 months). Predicted 5-year event rate did not differ from observed event rate (high risk group 21.5% vs. 15.7% (95% CI: 6.3%-24.2%); moderate risk group 5.8% versus 4.3% (95% CI: 0.0%-9.1%); low risk group 1.9% versus 5.4% (95% CI: 0.0%-11.4%); C-statistic 0.744 [95% CI 0.644-0.844])., Conclusions: A Dutch-Belgian prognostic score for long-term transplant-free survival in AIH patients at diagnosis was developed and validated., (© 2021 The Authors. UEG Journal published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. on behalf of United European Gastroenterology.)

Background & Aims: The coagulation system is known to be involved in fibrogenesis in patients with liver disease. We investigated whether common genetic prothrombotic risk factors are associated with an increased risk of fibrosis in the general population., Methods: This investigation was part of the Rotterdam Study, an ongoing, population-based cohort study. Liver stiffness (LS) was measured using transient elastography (Fibroscan) and associated with single nucleotide polymorphisms determining blood group type and presence of the Factor V Leiden (FVL) mutation or prothrombin G20210A gene variant., Results: Reliable LS measurements and genetic data were obtained from 1055 Caucasian participants. LS ⩾8.0 kPa, suggestive of clinically relevant fibrosis, was observed in 101 subjects (9.6%). Presence of FVL or prothrombin G20210A was independently associated with an increased risk of LS ⩾8.0 kPa (OR 2.09, 95%CI 1.07-4.07, p=0.03). Combination of blood group type non-O and the FVL mutation or prothrombin G20210A variant resulted in an even higher risk of LS ⩾8.0 kPa (OR 3.36, 95%CI 1.50-7.56, p=0.003). Presence of the FVL mutation or prothrombin G20210A variant in participants with blood group non-O was associated with a predicted probability of 14.3% (7.7-23.8) of LS ⩾8.0 kPa., Conclusions: Participants carrying the FVL mutation or prothrombin G20210A variant have an increased risk of clinically relevant liver fibrosis, which is even higher in blood group type non-O carriers. The fact that genetic prothrombotic risk factors are associated with an increased risk of liver fibrosis suggests that coagulation plays an important role in fibrogenesis in the general population., (Copyright © 2015 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Little is known about the association of serum liver enzymes with long-term outcome in the elderly. We sought to clarify the association of serum gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in an elderly population., Methods: This study was embedded in the Rotterdam Study, a large population-based cohort of persons aged 55 years or older. Cox-regression analyses were performed to examine the association of baseline serum GGT, ALP, and aminotransferase levels with mortality, adjusted for age, sex, education, smoking status, alcohol intake, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, body mass index and total cholesterol levels. Liver enzyme levels were categorized according to sample percentiles; levels <25th percentile were taken as a reference., Results: During a follow-up of up to 19.5 years, 2997 of 5186(57.8%) participants died: 672 participants died of causes related to cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and 703 participants died of cancer. All serum liver enzymes were associated with all-cause mortality (all P < 0.001). Moreover, GGT was associated with increased CVD mortality (P < 0.001), and ALP and AST with increased cancer-related mortality (P = 0.03 and P = 0.005 respectively). Participants with GGT and ALP in the top 5% had the highest risk for all-cause mortality (HR1.55; 95%CI 1.30-1.85 and HR1.49; 95%CI 1.25-1.78 respectively). AST and ALT <25th percentile were also associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality., Conclusions: All serum liver enzymes were positively associated with long-term mortality in this elderly population. Why participants with low ALT and AST levels have higher risk of mortality remains to be elucidated., (© 2013 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)