1. Evaluating the effectiveness of emergency shelters by applying an age-integrated method.
- Author
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Su, Haoran, Chen, Wenkai, and Zhang, Can
- Subjects
TRAVEL time (Traffic engineering) ,AGE groups ,SUBURBS ,GINI coefficient ,CITIES & towns ,EMERGENCY management - Abstract
The evaluation of the effectiveness of emergency shelters is a key task to improve disaster response capacity and reduce loss of life and property. Most previous studies, however, neglect the heterogeneity of evacuation capacity across age groups. The objective of this study is to develop an age-integrated method for evaluating the effectiveness of emergency shelters. The age-integrated method considers travel time decay effects, competition effects among emergency shelters, and heterogeneity in evacuation capacity of different age groups. Based on the real road network, we apply the proposed method to evaluate the effectiveness of emergency shelters from the perspective of accessibility and potential crowdedness under 20, 40, and 60-min scenarios in the main urban area of Lanzhou, which has a high proportion of vulnerable populations. The results indicate that (1) accessibility is poor in densely populated areas, whereas sparsely populated suburbs have relatively high accessibility, where large shelters are more easily found; (2) accessibility from the central regions to the suburbs gradually increases, with this difference becoming significant in the 60-min scenario; (3) the Gini coefficient of accessibility for the three scenarios is above 0.6; (4) differences in accessibility and potential crowdedness (a strong negative correlation between them) should be considered to achieve an effective layout of emergency shelters. The findings of this study provide new insights into studying the effectiveness of emergency shelters considering different groups in the context of the severe aging phenomenon, as well as a scientific basis a scientific basis for future shelter development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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