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Background: More than 90% of gestational diabetes cases are estimated to occur in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). Most current guidelines recommend an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) at 24-28 weeks of gestation. The OGTT is burdensome, especially in LMICs, resulting in a high proportion of women not being screened. We aimed to develop a simple and effective screening strategy for gestational diabetes., Methods: STRiDE, a prospective cohort study, was set up in seven centres in south India and seven centres in western Kenya, and included pregnant women aged 18-50 years of age and at less than 16 weeks of gestation (<20 weeks in Kenya), confirmed by dating ultrasound. We assessed the efficacy of early pregnancy HbA 1c (venous and capillary point-of-care), either alone or as part of a composite risk score with age, BMI, and family history of diabetes, in predicting gestational diabetes at 24-28 weeks of gestation, in two LMICs (India and Kenya) and in a UK multi-ethnic population from the PRiDE study. A key secondary outcome was to assess whether an early pregnancy composite risk score can reduce the need for OGTTs. Gestational diabetes was diagnosed using current WHO criteria., Findings: Between Feb 15, 2016, Dec 13, 2019, we enrolled 3070 participants in India and 4104 in Kenya. 4320 participants were included from the PRiDE cohort. Gestational diabetes prevalence by OGTT at 24-28 weeks was 19·2% in India, 3·0% in Kenya, and 14·5% in the UK. Early pregnancy HbA 1c was independently associated with incidence of gestational diabetes at 24-28 weeks of gestation. Adjusted risk ratios were 1·60 (95% CI 1·19-2·16) in India, 3·49 (2·8-4·34) in Kenya, and 4·72 (3·82-5·82) in the UK. Composite risk score models that combined venous or point-of-care HbA 1c with age, BMI, and family history of diabetes best predicted testing positive for gestational diabetes. A population-specific, two-threshold screening strategy of rule-in and rule-out gestational diabetes using early pregnancy composite risk score could reduce the requirement of OGTTs by 50-64%. For the HbA 1c -alone model, the thresholds were 5·4% (rule in) and 4·9% (rule out) in India, 6·0% (rule in) and 5·2% (rule out) in Kenya, and 5·6% (rule in) and 5·2% (rule out) in the UK., Interpretation: Early pregnancy HbA 1c offers a simple screening test for gestational diabetes, allowing those at highest risk to receive early intervention and greatly reduce the need for OGTTs. This can also be carried out using point-of-care HbA 1c in LMICs., Funding: UK Medical Research Council and the Indian Department of Biotechnology., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests PS reports receiving an unrestricted grant for PhD studentships from Novo Nordisk (Copenhagen, Denmark), which enabled follow-up of the STRiDE India cohort, and receiving a grant through his affiliated institution (joint Warwick BHR Pharmaceuticals PhD studentship), which helped to carry out the HbA(1c) analysis for the PRiDE (UK) cohort. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: Gestational diabetes is a common complication, whose incidence is growing globally. There is a pressing need to obtain more data on GDM in low- and middle-income countries, especially amongst high-risk populations, as most of the data on GDM comes from high-income countries. With the growing awareness of the role HIV plays in the progression of noncommunicable diseases and the disproportionate HIV burden African countries like Kenya face, investigating the potential role HIV plays in increasing dysglycemia amongst pregnant women with HIV is an important area of study., Methods: The STRiDE study is one of the largest ever conducted studies of GDM in Kenya. This study enrolled pregnant women aged between 16 and 50 who were receiving care from public and private sector facilities in Eldoret, Kenya. Within this study, women received venous testing for glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and fasting glucose between 8- and 20-week gestational age. At their 24-32-week visit, they received a venous 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Because of the pressing need to assess the burden of GDM within the population of pregnant women with HIV, a nested case-control study design was used. Pregnant women with HIV within the larger STRiDE cohort were matched to non-HIV-infected women within the STRiDE cohort at a 1 : 3 ratio based on body mass index, parity, family history of GDM, gestational age, and family history of hypertension. The measurements of glucose from the initial visit (fasting glucose and HbA1c) and follow-up visit (OGTT) were compared between the two groups of HIV+ cases and matched HIV- controls., Results: A total of 83 pregnant women with HIV were well matched to 249 non-HIV-infected women from the STRiDE cohort with marital status being the only characteristic that was statistically significantly different between the two groups. Statistically significant differences were not observed in the proportion of women who developed GDM, the fasting glucose values, the HbA1c, or OGTT measurements between the two groups. Discussion . Significant associations were not seen between the different measures of glycemic status between pregnant women with and without HIV. While significant differences were not seen in this cohort, additional investigation is needed to better describe the association of dysglycemia with HIV, especially in Kenyan populations with a higher prevalence of GDM., Competing Interests: Sonak Pastakia serves as a consultant for Abbott and Becton Dickinson for work unrelated to project described in this manuscript. None of the other authors have any conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2021 Sonak D. Pastakia et al.)