1. The cumulative incidence of and risk factors for morphometric severe vertebral fractures in Japanese men and women: the ROAD study third and fourth surveys.
- Author
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Horii, C., Iidaka, T., Muraki, S., Oka, H., Asai, Y., Tsutsui, S., Hashizume, H., Yamada, H., Yoshida, M., Kawaguchi, H., Nakamura, K., Akune, T., Oshima, Y., Tanaka, S., and Yoshimura, Noriko
- Subjects
SPINE radiography ,CONFIDENCE intervals ,MULTIPLE regression analysis ,MEN ,WOMEN ,SEVERITY of illness index ,RISK assessment ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,VERTEBRAL fractures ,LONGITUDINAL method ,DISEASE risk factors - Abstract
Summary : This population-based cohort study with a 3-year follow-up revealed that the annual incidence rates of vertebral fracture (VF) and severe VF (sVF) were 5.9%/year and 1.7%/year, respectively. The presence of mild VF at the baseline was a significant risk factor for incident sVF in participants without prevalent sVF. Introduction: This study aimed to estimate the incidence of morphometric vertebral fracture (VF) and severe VF (sVF) in men and women and clarify whether the presence of a mild VF (mVF) increases the risk of incident sVF. Methods: Data from the population-based cohort study, entitled the Research on Osteoarthritis/Osteoporosis Against Disability (ROAD) study, were analyzed. In total, 1190 participants aged ≥ 40 years (mean age, 65.0 ± 11.2) years completed whole-spine lateral radiography both at the third (2012–2013, baseline) and fourth surveys performed 3 years later (2015–2016, follow-up). VF was defined using Genant's semi-quantitative (SQ) method: VF as SQ ≥ 1, mVF as SQ = 1, and sVF as SQ ≥ 2. Cumulative incidence of VF and sVF was estimated. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate risk factors for incident sVF. Results: The baseline prevalence of mVF and sVF were 16.8% and 6.0%, respectively. The annual incidence rates of VF and sVF were 5.9%/year and 1.7%/year, respectively. The annual incidence rates of sVF in participants without prevalent VF, with prevalent mVF, and with prevalent sVF were 0.6%/year, 3.8%/year, and 11.7%/year (p < 0.001), respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analyses in participants without prevalent sVF showed that the adjusted odds ratios for incident sVF were 4.12 [95% confident interval 1.85–9.16] and 4.53 [1.49–13.77] if the number of prevalent mVF at the baseline was 1 and ≥ 2, respectively. Conclusions: The annual incidence rates of VF and sVF were 5.9%/year and 1.7%/year, respectively. The presence of prevalent mVF was an independent risk factor for incident sVF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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