1. Modeling of the health impacts of ambient ozone pollution in China and India.
- Author
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Liu, Lina, Hu, Lu, Liu, Yifan, and Wang, Haikun
- Subjects
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POLLUTION , *DEATH rate , *POPULATION aging , *CONFIDENCE intervals - Abstract
Ground-level ozone (O 3) pollution has become an increasingly prominent environmental problem in China and India, causing serious negative health effects. Based on the global fine-resolution simulation of O 3 concentrations and epidemiological results, O 3 pollution and corresponding mortalities were evaluated at provincial-level across China and India. Our results revealed that the population-weighted mean O 3 concentrations in China and India were 49.2 and 63.4 ppb, respectively, in 2014. The annual deaths attributable to O 3 exposure were estimated to be 76,000 (95% confidence interval (CI): 27,000–120,000) and 96,000 (35,000–149,000) in China and India, respectively. The finding of 32.2% less O 3 -attributable mortality in China than in India was attributed to the combined effects of population size (+39.4%), population aging (+29.2%), baseline mortality rate (−43.7%), and ambient O 3 exposure (−57.1%). To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that O 3 -related health burdens in China and India have been reported and compared at the provincial level. The results will improve our understanding of O 3 -related health impacts and provide a valuable reference for policy makers. [Display omitted] • Based on the refined-grid estimation, ozone pollution caused a higher health impact in India compared to China in 2014. • High-density populations living in heavy-pollution regions resulted in higher ozone exposure in India than in China. • The higher baseline mortality rate in India largely contributed to the Sino-India discrepancy in attributable mortality. • Reaching the same ozone level as India, China will have higher health risks due to an elder and larger population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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