1. Characterizing Spatial Patterns of Airborne Coarse Particulate (PM10--2.5) Mass and Chemical Components in Three Cities: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.
- Author
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Zhang, Kai, Larson, Timothy V., Gassett, Amanda, Szpiro, Adam A., Daviglus, Martha, Burke, Gregory L., Kaufman, Joel D., and Adar, Sara D.
- Subjects
COPPER analysis ,SILICON analysis ,ZINC analysis ,PHOSPHORUS analysis ,AIR pollution ,ENVIRONMENTAL monitoring ,INORGANIC compounds ,MATHEMATICAL models ,REGRESSION analysis ,RESEARCH funding ,THEORY ,FIELD research ,SECONDARY analysis ,PARTICULATE matter ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics - Abstract
Background: The long-term health effects of coarse particular matter (PM
10–2.5 ) are challenging to assess because of a limited understanding of the spatial variation in PM10–2.5 mass and its chemical components. Objectives: We conducted a spatially intensive field study and developed spatial prediction models for PM10–2.5 mass and four selected species (copper, zinc, phosphorus, and silicon) in three American cities. Methods: PM10–2.5 snapshot campaigns were conducted in Chicago, Illinois; St. Paul, Minnesota; and Winston-Salem, North Carolina, in 2009 for the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and Coarse Airborne Particulate Matter (MESA Coarse). In each city, samples were collected simultaneously outside the homes of approximately 40 participants over 2 weeks in the winter and/or summer. City-specific and combined prediction models were developed using land use regression (LUR) and universal kriging (UK). Model performance was evaluated by cross-validation (CV). Results: PM10–2.5 mass and species varied within and between cities in a manner that was predictable by geographic covariates. City-specific LUR models generally performed well for total mass (CV R2 , 0.41–0.68), copper (CV R2 , 0.51–0.86), phosphorus (CV R2 , 0.50–0.76), silicon (CV R2 , 0.48–0.93), and zinc (CV R2 , 0.36–0.73). Models pooled across all cities inconsistently captured within-city variability. Little difference was observed between the performance of LUR and UK models in predicting concentrations. Conclusions: Characterization of fine-scale spatial variability of these often heterogeneous pollutants using geographic covariates should reduce exposure misclassification and increase the power of epidemiological studies investigating the long-term health impacts of PM10–2.5 . [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2014
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