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This study aimed to understand the epidemic status and phylogenetic relationships of rotavirus group A (RVA) in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong Province, China. This study included individuals aged 28 days–85 years. A total of 706 stool samples from patients with acute gastroenteritis collected between January 2019 and January 2020 were analyzed for 17 causative pathogens, including RVA, using a Gastrointestinal Pathogen Panel, followed by genotyping, virus isolation, and complete sequencing to assess the genetic diversity of RVA. The overall RVA infection rate was 14.59% (103/706), with an irregular epidemiological pattern. The proportion of co-infection with RVA and other pathogens was 39.81% (41/103). Acute gastroenteritis is highly prevalent in young children aged 0–1 year, and RVA is the key pathogen circulating in patients 6–10 months of age with diarrhea. G9P[8] (58.25%, 60/103) was found to be the predominant genotype in the RVA strains, and the 41 RVA-positive strains that were successfully sequenced belonged to three different RVA genotypes in the phylogenetic analysis. Recombination analysis showed that gene reassortment events, selection pressure, codon usage bias, gene polymorphism, and post-translational modifications (PTMs) occurred in the G9P[8] and G3P[8] strains. This study provides molecular evidence of RVA prevalence in the Pearl River Delta region of China, further enriching the existing information on its genetics and evolutionary characteristics and suggesting the emergence of genetic diversity. Strengthening the surveillance of genotypic changes and gene reassortment in RVA strains is essential for further research and a better understanding of strain variations for further vaccine development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Simplicity, efficiency and precision are basic principles for modeling and analyzing of coal-fired boilers data. However, the load fluctuations, system delay, multi-variable coupling pose great challenges to the high-precision modeling for NOx emission. A hybrid feature selection method for boiler data is proposed to predict accurately NOx emission. Firstly, the mechanism analysis is used to narrow the feature scope, and the feature set is selected preliminarily. Secondly, maximum information coefficient (MIC) method is introduced to calculate the correlation between features and NOx information to eliminate boiler system delay. Thirdly, a combined feature evaluation method is developed, which integrates Filter and Embedded method to obtain feature ranking, then the ranking information is regarded as priori knowledge to improve the genetic algorithm. Finally, a fitness function to maximize prediction accuracy and minimize feature dimension is constructed based on hybrid method to realize feature subset selection and NOx emission prediction. Original data are collected from one 1000 MW coal-fired unit in the Guangdong province of China. Experimental results show that the number of features is reduced by nearly 70%, the MAPE of LightGBM regression model is no more than 2%. Higher prediction accuracy can be obtained using the features extracted through the proposed hybrid method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Clonorchiasis is an important food-borne parasitic disease caused by Clonorchis sinensis infection. The evaluation of long-term cost-effectiveness of control strategies is important for disease control and prevention. The present study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of the three recommended strategies (i.e., WHO, Chinese and Guangdong strategies) and different combinations of commonly used measures (i.e., preventive chemotherapy, information, education, and communication (IEC) and environmental improvement) on clonorchiasis. The study area, Fusha town in Guangdong Province, was a typical high endemic area in China. The analysis was based on a multi-group transmission model of C. sinensis infection. We set the intervention duration for 10 years and post-intervention period for 50 years. The corresponding costs and DALYs were estimated. Strategies with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) less than 1/5 of the willingness-to-pay threshold were identified as highly cost-effective strategies. The optimal control strategy was obtained using the next best comparator method. The ICERs of Guangdong strategy were $172 (95% CI: $143-$230) US for praziquantel and $106 (95% CI: $85-$143) US for albendazole, suggesting the highest cost-effectiveness among the three recommended strategies. For praziquantel, 470 sets of control strategies were identified as highly cost-effective strategies for achieving infection control (prevalence<5%). The optimal strategy consisted of chemotherapy targeted on at-risk population, IEC and environmental improvement, with coverages all being 100%, and with the ICER of $202 (95% CI: $168-$271) US. The results for transmission control (prevalence<1%) and albendazole were obtained with the same procedures. The findings may help to develop control policies for C. sinensis infection in high endemic areas. Moreover, the method adopted is applicable for assessment of optimal strategies in other endemic areas. Author summary: Clonorchiasis, a food-borne trematodiases, affects millions of people in Asia. Highly cost-effective control strategies are critical for its control. Previous studies considering the economic evaluation of control strategies were rare, mostly based on interventions in practical, and not capable of evaluating long-term cost-effectiveness of strategies with possible combinations of control measures or under various coverages. Based on a dynamic, multi-group transmission model, we simulated different control strategies in a high clonorchiasis endemic area, and evaluated their cost-effectiveness. Among the three recommended strategies (i.e., WHO, Chinese and Guangdong strategies), the Guangdong strategy was the most cost-effective. For praziquantel, 470 sets of control strategies were identified as highly cost-effective strategies for achieving infection control (prevalence<5%) among the strategies of possible combinations of the three common measures (i.e., preventive chemotherapy, information, education, and communication (IEC) and environmental modification). The optimal strategy consisted of chemotherapy targeted on at-risk population, IEC and environmental improvement, with coverages all being 100%. The results for transmission control (prevalence<1%) and albendazole were obtained with the same procedures. The numerical results may help to develop control strategies for C. sinensis infection in high endemic areas. The methodology is applicable for other different endemic areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Clonorchiasis is one of the most important food-borne trematodiases affecting millions of people. Strategies were recommended by different organizations and control programmes were implemented but mostly in short-time periods. It's important to assess the long-term benefits and sustainability of possible control strategies on morbidity control of the disease. We developed a multi-group transmission model to describe the dynamics of C. sinensis transmission among different groups of people with different raw-fish-consumption behaviors, based on which, a full model with interventions was proposed and three common control measures (i.e., preventive chemotherapy, information, education, and communication (IEC) and environmental modification) and their possible combinations were considered. Under a typical setting of C. sinensis transmission, we simulated interventions according to different strategies and with a series of values of intervention parameters. We found that combinations of measures were much beneficial than those singly applied; higher coverages of measures had better effects; and strategies targeted on whole population performed better than that on at-risk population with raw-fish-consumption behaviors. The strategy recommended by the government of Guangdong Province, China shows good and sustainable effects, under which, the infection control (with human prevalence <5%) could be achieved within 7.84 years (95% CI: 5.78–12.16 years) in our study setting (with original observed prevalence 33.67%). Several sustainable strategies were provided, which could lead to infection control within 10 years. This study makes the effort to quantitatively assess the long-term effects of possible control strategies against C. sinensis infection under a typical transmission setting, with application of a multi-group dynamic transmission model. The proposed model is easily facilitated with other transmission settings and the simulation outputs provide useful information to support the decision-making of control strategies on clonorchiasis. Author summary: Clonorchiasis is an important food-borne parasitic disease. People get infected mainly through eating raw and infected fish, thus different behaviors of raw-fish-consumption play an important role on transmission. It's critical to find effective and sustainable control strategies for morbidity control of the disease. Control programmes have been implemented in endemic areas mostly in short periods, which is difficult to assess their long-term benefits and sustainability. We developed a multi-group model depicting transmission dynamics of the disease among different groups of people with different raw-fish-consumption behaviors, based on which, long-term effects of possible control strategies were simulated and assessed. Under a typical transmission setting, we found that combinations of control measures were much beneficial than those singly applied; higher coverages of measures had better effects; and strategies targeted on whole population performed better than that on at-risk population with raw-fish-consumption behaviors. The strategy recommended by the government of Guangdong Province, China shows good and sustainable effects. Besides, several sustainable strategies are provided under the study setting. The proposed transmission model is easily facilitated with other transmission settings. The simulation outputs can be considered together with actual practical situations to support decision making on selection of effective control strategies on clonorchiasis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In May and June 2012, an outbreak of aseptic meningitis caused by Echovirus 30 (E30) occurred on a large scale in Luoding, Guangdong Province, China. Our team successfully isolated one subtype, strain 2012EM161, and its complete genome was sequenced. The phylogenetic tree of viral protein (VP) 1 gene sequences showed that the viral isolate was similar to the E30 strain prevalent in Fujian (2011), with identity of 98.05-99.32 % and 98.63-99.32 % for nucleotides and amino acids respectively. Whole genome-based phylogenetic analysis indicated that 2012EM161 contained the most proximate consensus to DQ246620 (Zhejiang, 2003) and FDJS03 (AY948442, Jiangsu, 2005), with nucleotide homogeneity of 87.09 % and 86.98 % respectively. The RDP4.16 and Simplot analysis showed that the newly discovered 2012EM161 was probably a recombinant, which was closely related to the strain of E30 (DQ246620) in the first half of the genome and the strain of E6 (JX976771) in genomic P3 region. The whole genome sequence of 2012EM161 will allow further study of the origin, evolution, and the molecular epidemiology of E30 strains. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Human Enterovirus 71 and Coxsackie A16 have caused many outbreaks in the last decade in mainland China, resulting in thousands of fatal cases. Seroepidemiology which provides important information to document population immunity is rare in China. Methodology/Principal Findings: A cross sectional study of Enterovirus 71 (EV71) and Coxsackie A16 (CA16) seroprevalence was carried out in Guangdong, China, pre- and post- the 2010 hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) epidemic period. The levels of EV71 and CA16 specific antibodies were evaluated by a microneutralization test and the geometric mean titer (GMT) was calculated and compared. Our results indicated frequent infection by EV71 and CA16 in Guangdong before the 2010 epidemic. Only EV71 neutralizing antibody but not CA16 seroprevalence was significantly increased after the 2010 HFMD epidemic. Children less than 3 years old especially those aged 2 years showed the lowest positive rates for EV71 and CA16 NA before epidemic and the most significantly increased EV71 seroprevalence after epidemic. CA16 GMT values declined after the 2010 epidemic. Conclusions: These results indicate EV71 was the major pathogen of HFMD in Guangdong during the 2010 epidemic. The infection occurs largely in children less than 3 years, who should have first priority to receive an EV71 vaccine. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]