Search

We analyse whether wage differences between cities and rural areas in western Germany are due to unobserved differences in regional price levels. Since regional prices are available for only 10% of the regions we use multiple imputation to generate prices for all regions. Our results show that the nominal agglomeration wage differential is 25%, whereas the real differential is 19%. If we control for the composition of the labour force and jobs, the real wage differential is 4%. If we additionally control for differences in regional building land prices the agglomeration wage differential vanishes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article analyzes neural neural networks (ANNs) as a method to compute employment forecasts at a regional level The empirical application is based on employment data collected for 327 West German regions over a period of fourteen years. First, the authors compare ANNs to models commonly used in panel data analysis. Second, they verify, in the case of panel data, whether the common practice of combining forecasts of the computed models is able to produce more reliable forecasts. The technique currently employed by the German authorities to compute such regional employment forecasts is comparable to a simple naïve no-change model. For this reason, ANNs are also compared to this undemanding technique. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]