1. Using the 21-gene assay to guide adjuvant chemotherapy decision-making in early-stage breast cancer: a cost-effectiveness evaluation in the German setting.
- Author
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Blohmer JU, Rezai M, Kümmel S, Kühn T, Warm M, Friedrichs K, Benkow A, Valentine WJ, and Eiermann W
- Subjects
- Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols administration & dosage, Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols economics, Clinical Trials as Topic, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Decision Making, Female, Gene Expression Profiling, Germany, Health Expenditures statistics & numerical data, Humans, Life Expectancy, Markov Chains, Middle Aged, Models, Econometric, Multicenter Studies as Topic, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local economics, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local epidemiology, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Receptor, ErbB-2 genetics, Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction, Breast Neoplasms drug therapy, Breast Neoplasms genetics, Chemotherapy, Adjuvant economics
- Abstract
Objective: The 21-gene assay (Oncotype DX Breast Cancer Test (Genomic Health Inc., Redwood City, CA)) is a well validated test that predicts the likelihood of adjuvant chemotherapy benefit and the 10-year risk of distant recurrence in patients with ER+, HER2- early-stage breast cancer. The aim of this analysis was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of using the assay to inform adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in Germany., Methods: A Markov model was developed to make long-term projections of distant recurrence, survival, quality-adjusted life expectancy, and direct costs for patients with ER+, HER2-, node-negative, or up to 3 node-positive early-stage breast cancer. Scenarios using conventional diagnostic procedures or the 21-gene assay to inform treatment recommendations for adjuvant chemotherapy were modeled based on a prospective, multi-center trial in 366 patients. Transition probabilities and risk adjustment were based on published landmark trials. Costs (2011 Euros (€)) were estimated from a sick fund perspective based on resource use in patients receiving chemotherapy. Future costs and clinical benefits were discounted at 3% annually., Results: The 21-gene assay was projected to increase mean life expectancy by 0.06 years and quality-adjusted life expectancy by 0.06 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) compared with current clinical practice over a 30-year time horizon. Clinical benefits were driven by optimized allocation of adjuvant chemotherapy. Costs from a healthcare payer perspective were lower with the 21-gene assay by ∼€561 vs standard of care. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that there was an 87% probability that the 21-gene assay would be dominant (cost and life saving) to standard of care., Limitations: Country-specific data on the risk of distant recurrence and quality-of-life were not available., Conclusions: Guiding decision-making on adjuvant chemotherapy using the 21-gene assay was projected to improve survival, quality-adjusted life expectancy, and be cost saving vs the current standard of care women with ER+, HER2- early-stage breast cancer.
- Published
- 2013
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