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The response of evapotranspiration to anthropogenic warming is of critical importance to the water and carbon cycle. Conflicting observations about changes of evapotranspiration stem mostly from the brevity of observations in time and space as well as a high degree of internal variability. Here we present the first gridded reconstruction of the European summer vapour pressure deficit (VPD) for the past four centuries. The gridded reconstruction is based on 26 European tree-ring oxygen isotope records and is performed using a Random Forest approach. Based on our reconstruction, we show that from the mid- 1700s a trend towards higher VPD occurred in Central Europe and the Mediterranean region which is based on the simultaneous increase in temperature and decrease in precipitation. This increasing VPD trend continues throughout the observational period and recent times. Climate model projections show this increase in VPD for the Mediterranean region continuing until the end of the 21st century, whereby the extent depends on the amount of greenhouse gas emissions. In contrast, projected VPD in North and Central Europe shows a tendency towards higher VPD only in the highest emission scenario. The reconstructed, observed and modelled VPD for past present and future is available here: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5958837 (Balting, D. F. et al., 2022). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate the climate signature of δ18O tree-ring records from sites distributed all over Europe covering the last 400 years. An empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis reveals two distinct modes of variability on the basis of the existing δ18O tree-ring records. The first mode is associated with anomaly patterns projecting onto the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and reflects a multi-seasonal climatic signal. The ENSO link is pronounced for the last 130 years, but it is found to be weak over the period from 1600 to 1850, suggesting that the relationship between ENSO and the European climate may not be stable over time. The second mode of δ18O variability, which captures a north–south dipole in the European δ18O tree-ring records, is related to a regional summer atmospheric circulation pattern, revealing a pronounced centre over the North Sea. Locally, the δ18O anomalies associated with this mode show the same (opposite) sign with temperature (precipitation). Based on the oxygen isotopic signature derived from tree rings, we argue that the prevailing large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns and the related teleconnections can be analysed beyond instrumental records. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: The aim was to decipher Europe‐wide spatio‐temporal patterns of forest growth dynamics and their associations with carbon isotope fractionation processes inferred from tree rings as modulated by climate warming. Location: Europe and North Africa (30‒70° N, 10° W‒35° E). Time period: 1901‒2003. Major taxa studied: Temperate and Euro‐Siberian trees. Methods: We characterize changes in the relationship between tree growth and carbon isotope fractionation over the 20th century using a European network consisting of 20 site chronologies. Using indexed tree‐ring widths (TRWi), we assess shifts in the temporal coherence of radial growth across sites (synchrony) for five forest ecosystems (Atlantic, boreal, cold continental, Mediterranean and temperate). We also examine whether TRWi shows variable coupling with leaf‐level gas exchange, inferred from indexed carbon isotope discrimination of tree‐ring cellulose (Δ13Ci). Results: We find spatial autocorrelation for TRWi and Δ13Ci extending over a maximum of 1,000 km among forest stands. However, growth synchrony is not uniform across Europe, but increases along a latitudinal gradient concurrent with decreasing temperature and evapotranspiration. Latitudinal relationships between TRWi and Δ13Ci (changing from negative to positive southwards) point to drought impairing carbon uptake via stomatal regulation for water saving occurring at forests below 60° N in continental Europe. An increase in forest growth synchrony over the 20th century together with increasingly positive relationships between TRWi and Δ13Ci indicate intensifying impacts of drought on tree performance. These effects are noticeable in drought‐prone biomes (Mediterranean, temperate and cold continental). Main conclusions: At the turn of this century, convergence in growth synchrony across European forest ecosystems is coupled with coordinated warming‐induced effects of drought on leaf physiology and tree growth spreading northwards. Such a tendency towards exacerbated moisture‐sensitive growth and physiology could override positive effects of enhanced leaf intercellular CO2 concentrations, possibly resulting in Europe‐wide declines of forest carbon gain in the coming decades. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A number of emerging studies use stable oxygen and carbon isotopes from tree rings to reconstruct climate variables such as temperature and precipitation. In the mid latitudes, these key variables are essentially determined by the prevailing large scale atmospheric circulation which can be expressed via indices such as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). However, only a few studies have investigated the relation between stable isotopes from trees and large-scale atmospheric circulation. Here we present ongoing research on the link between large scale atmospheric circulation and stable isotopes based on the European tree ring isotope network ISONET. This network contains stable oxygen and carbon isotope from 26 different sites in Europe over the last 400 years. In this study, empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) were used to extract the key patterns and the climate information in this dataset. We focus on the first two EOFs of carbon and oxygen stable isotopes. Finally we use correlation and composite analysis in combination with gridded climate datasets, such as climate reanalysis and reconstructions, to assess the large scale summer climate conditions during the last 400 years.Strong links are identified between the investigated stable isotopes and the leading EOF of North Atlantic–European summer mean sea level pressure with its corresponding climate extremes. The frequency of extremes shows an increase from the 17th to the 20th century which may be attributed to the footprint of the Maunder Minimum and the Little Ice Age. In addition to the identified summer signal, a significant relation between oxygen isotopes and winter NAO is found. We propose that this mechanism works via precipitation in winter which subsequently modulates the soil moisture and water storage at the beginning of the growth season. Overall, the results highlight the potential of stable isotopes as an indicator for large-scale atmospheric conditions over Europe. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]