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A rockfall dataset for Germany is analysed with the objective of identifying the meteorological and hydrological (pre-) conditions that change the probability for such events in Central Europe. The factors investigated in the analysis are precipitation amount and intensity, freeze-thawing cycles as well as sub-surface moisture. As there is no suitable observational dataset for all relevant sub-surface moisture types (e.g. water in rock pores and cleft water) available, simulated soil moisture and parameterised pore water are tested as substitutes. The potential triggering factors were analysed both for the day of the event as well as for the days leading up to the event. It is found that the most important factor influencing rockfall probability in the research area is precipitation amount at the day of the event but the water content of the ground on that day and freeze-thawing cycles in the days prior to the event also influence the hazard probability. Comparing results with simulated soil moisture and parameterised pore water revealed that precipitation minus potential evaporation evaluated for a weekly period performs well as a proxy for the relevant sub-surface moisture types. A logistic regression model was built, which considers individual potential triggering factors as well as their interactions. Using this model the effects of meteorological conditions on rockfall probability in the Central European low mountain ranges can be quantified. The model suggests that precipitation is most efficient, when the moisture content of the ground is high. An increase of daily precipitation from its local 50th percentile to its 90th percentile approximately doubles the probability for a rockfall event under median sub-surface moisture conditions. When the moisture content of the ground is at its 95th percentile the same increase in precipitation leads to a four-fold increase in rockfall probability. The occurrence of a freeze-thaw cycle in the preceding days can further increase the rockfall hazard. The most critical combination can be expected in the winter season after a freeze-thaw transition which is followed by a day with high precipitation amounts and takes place in a region preconditioned by a high level of sub-surface moisture. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Stratified periglacial sediments extensively cover the slopes of central European low mountain areas. Periglacial cover beds and loess-like sediments as most abundant strata influence many near-surface processes, forming an important component of the Earth's critical zone. The present study focusses on the analysis of a complex sequence of periglacial slope deposits with multiple intermediate layers and intercalated slope wash sediments in order to determine and date periods of intermediate layer formation. Since luminescence dating often provides inconsistent data for cover beds, there is need to reconsider the numerical dating strategy. This study hence places stronger emphasis on numerical dating of interbedded, sufficiently bleached slope wash sediments. The gained OSL-ages are more reliable and consistent and thus, provide a temporal framework for relative dating of intermediate layer formation cycles. In combination with paleosol relics the numerical ages allowed a chronostratigraphic interpretation of Late Pleistocene paleoenvironmental dynamics and slope evolution. Our findings not only prove multiple phases of intermediate layer formation in the study area during the last glacial period but also enabled the correlation of single intermediate layers with specific time spans, including Early and Middle Weichselian as well as the Late Glacial. Remnants of the Eemian soil in the studied sequence even indicate a Saalian age for the lowermost intermediate layer. The present study shows that luminescence dating of intercalated slope wash deposits instead of cover beds is a promising numerical dating strategy for the chronostratigraphic interpretation of cover bed sequences. The findings further illustrate that complex, fanned out periglacial sediment sequences form despite their scarcity important paleoenvironmental archives for Late Pleistocene periglacial landscape dynamics in central European low mountain areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]