1. Comparison of competing‐risks model with angiogenic factors in midgestation screening for preterm growth‐related neonatal morbidity.
- Author
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Papastefanou, I., Menenez, M., Szczepkowska, A., Gungil, B., Syngelaki, A., and Nicolaides, K. H.
- Subjects
VASCULAR endothelial growth factors ,PLACENTAL growth factor ,UTERINE artery ,WOMEN'S hospitals ,BIRTH weight ,NEONATAL sepsis ,FETAL macrosomia - Abstract
Objectives: First, to evaluate the predictive performance for preterm growth‐related neonatal morbidity of a high soluble fms‐like tyrosine kinase‐1 (sFlt‐1)/placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio or low PlGF at midgestation and, second, to compare the performance of a high sFlt‐1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF with that of the competing‐risks model for small‐for‐gestational age (SGA), utilizing a combination of maternal risk factors, sonographic estimated fetal weight and uterine artery pulsatility index. Methods: This was a prospective observational study in women attending for a routine hospital visit at 19–24 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in England. The visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, carrying out an ultrasound scan and measuring serum PlGF and sFlt‐1. The primary outcome was delivery < 32 and < 37 weeks' gestation of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th or < 3rd percentile, combined with neonatal unit (NNU) admission for ≥ 48 h or a composite of major neonatal morbidity. The detection rates in screening by PlGF < 10th percentile, sFlt‐1/PlGF ratio > 90th percentile and the competing‐risks model for SGA were estimated and then compared using McNemar's test. Results: In the study population of 40 241 women, prediction of preterm growth‐related neonatal morbidity provided by the competing‐risks model for SGA was superior to that of screening by low PlGF concentration or high sFlt‐1/PlGF ratio. For example, at a screen‐positive rate of 10.0%, as defined by the sFlt‐1/PlGF ratio > 90th percentile, the competing‐risks model predicted 70.1% (95% CI, 61.0–79.2%) of SGA < 10th percentile and 76.9% (95% CI, 67.6–86.3%) of SGA < 3rd percentile with NNU admission for ≥ 48 h delivered < 32 weeks' gestation. The respective values for SGA with major neonatal morbidity were 73.8% (95% CI, 64.4–83.2%) and 77.9% (95% CI, 68.0–87.8%). These were significantly higher than the respective values of 35.1% (95% CI, 25.6–44.6%), 35.9% (95% CI, 25.3–46.5%), 38.1% (95% CI, 27.7–48.5%) and 39.7% (95% CI, 28.1–51.3%) achieved by the application of the sFlt‐1/PlGF ratio > 90th percentile (all P < 0.0001). Conclusion: At midgestation, the prediction of growth‐related neonatal morbidity by the competing‐risks model for SGA is superior to that of a high sFlt‐1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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