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Background: In response to rising TB notification rates in England, universal strain typing was introduced in 2010. We evaluated the acceptability, effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the TB strain typing service (TB-STS).Methods: We conducted a mixed-methods evaluation using routine laboratory, clinic and public health data. We estimated the effect of the TB-STS on detection of false positive Mycobacterium tuberculosis diagnoses (2010-2012); contact tracing yield (number of infections or active disease per pulmonary TB case); and diagnostic delay. We developed a deterministic age-structured compartmental model to explore the effectiveness of the TB-STS, which informed a cost-effectiveness analysis.Results: Semi-structured interviews explored user experience. Strain typing identified 17 additional false positive diagnoses. The TB-STS had no significant effect on contact tracing yield or diagnostic delay. Mathematical modelling suggested increasing the proportion of infections detected would have little value in reducing TB incidence in the white UK-born population. However, in the non-white UK-born and non-UK-born populations, over 20 years, if detection of latent infection increases from 3% to 13% per year, then TB incidence would decrease by 11%; reducing diagnostic delay by one week could lead to 25% reduction in incidence. The current TB-STS was not predicted to be cost-effective over 20 years (£95 628/quality-adjusted life-years). Interviews found people had mixed experiences, but identified broader benefits, of the TB-STS.Conclusions: To reduce costs, improve efficiency and increase effectiveness, we recommend changes to the TB-STS, including discontinuing routine cluster investigations and focusing on reducing diagnostic delay across the TB programme. This evaluation of a complex intervention informs the future of strain typing in the era of rapidly advancing technologies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Despite considerable international eHealth impetus, there is no guidance on the development of online clinical care pathways. Advances in diagnostics now enable self-testing with home diagnosis, to which comprehensive online clinical care could be linked, facilitating completely self-directed, remote care. We describe a new framework for developing complex online clinical care pathways and its application to clinical management of people with genital chlamydia infection, the commonest sexually transmitted infection (STI) in England.Methods: Using the existing evidence-base, guidelines and examples from contemporary clinical practice, we developed the eClinical Care Pathway Framework, a nine-step iterative process. Step 1: define the aims of the online pathway; Step 2: define the functional units; Step 3: draft the clinical consultation; Step 4: expert review; Step 5: cognitive testing; Step 6: user-centred interface testing; Step 7: specification development; Step 8: software testing, usability testing and further comprehension testing; Step 9: piloting. We then applied the Framework to create a chlamydia online clinical care pathway (Online Chlamydia Pathway).Results: Use of the Framework elucidated content and structure of the care pathway and identified the need for significant changes in sequences of care (Traditional: history, diagnosis, information versus Online: diagnosis, information, history) and prescribing safety assessment. The Framework met the needs of complex STI management and enabled development of a multi-faceted, fully-automated consultation.Conclusion: The Framework provides a comprehensive structure on which complex online care pathways such as those needed for STI management, which involve clinical services, public health surveillance functions and third party (sexual partner) management, can be developed to meet national clinical and public health standards. The Online Chlamydia Pathway's standardised method of collecting data on demographics and sexual behaviour, with potential for interoperability with surveillance systems, could be a powerful tool for public health and clinical management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Maintenance of well-being is recognized as important for well-being in residential care, but the particular contribution that social groups and group activities make in this context is rarely considered. To understand how we can foster well-being in care, this study explores (a) older adults’ general experiences of life in long-term residential care and (b) their particular experiences of participation in this group intervention. Ten semi-structured interviews were conducted with long-term care home residents and interview transcripts were analyzed thematically. Thematic analysis revealed two overriding themes that illustrated participants’ general experiences of life in care. The first theme, “care home as home,” suggests that adjustment and positive social relations with carers play a role in enhancing well-being. The second theme, “being stuck,” describes a general sense of confinement and a lack of control associated with living in long-term care. The significance of collective engagement became evident in relation to this second theme. Specifically, participants’ involvement in the group activity considered here was experienced as making a positive contribution to building social relations with other residents and, in doing so, as reducing residents’ sense of confinement and lack of control. Engagement in the group intervention and the resulting positive social relationships were thus experienced as a means of counteracting participants’ sense of being stuck. Overall, the findings point to the importance of group activities in fostering older adults’ autonomy and control—and thus well-being—in care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The national tuberculosis strain typing service (TB-STS) was introduced in England in 2010. The TB-STS involves MIRU-VNTR typing of isolates from all TB patients for the prospective identification, reporting and investigation of TB strain typing clusters. As part of a mixed-method evaluation, we report on a repeated cross-sectional survey to illustrate the challenges surrounding the evaluation of a complex national public health intervention. Methods: An online initial and follow-up questionnaire survey assessed the knowledge, attitudes and practices of public health staff, physicians and nurses working in TB control in November 2010 and March 2012. It included questions on the implementation, experience and uptake of the TB-STS. Participants that responded to both surveys were included in the analysis. Results: 248 participants responded to the initial survey and 137 of these responded to the follow-up survey (56% retention). Knowledge: A significant increase in knowledge was observed, including a rise in the proportion of respondents who had received training (28.6% to 67.9%, p = 0.003), and the self-rated knowledge of how to use strain typing had improved ('no knowledge' decreased from 43.2% to 27.4%). Attitudes: The majority of respondents found strain typing useful; the proportion that reported strain typing to be useful was similar across the two surveys (95.7% to 94.7%, p = 0.67). Practices: There were significant increases between the initial and follow-up surveys in the number of respondents who reported using strain typing (57.0% to 80.5%, p < 0.001) and the proportion of time health protection staff spent on investigating TB (2.74% to 7.08%, p = 0.04). Conclusions: Evaluation of a complex public health intervention is challenging. In this example, the immediate national roll-out of the TB-STS meant that a controlled survey design was not possible. This study informs the future development of the TB-STS by identifying the need for training to reach wider professional groups, and argues for its continuation based on service users' perception that it is useful. By highlighting the importance of a well-defined sampling frame, collecting baseline information, and including all stakeholders, it provides lessons for the implementation of similar services in other countries and future evaluations of public health interventions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To obtain information on the use of single antigen measles, mumps and rubella vaccines to improve estimates of population immunity and help predict outbreaks. Design: We requested information from providers of single antigen vaccines and from the Medicine and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency on requests for importation of single antigen measles and mumps vaccines. Setting: England and Wales. Main outcome measures: Number of doses of single measles, mumps and rubella vaccine, by age of child (in months), year given and area of residence, and number of children who have received all three single vaccinations. Results: Of 27 providers identified, 13 held single site clinics: nine were individual general practitioners and five held clinics at multiple sites. Data were received from 9/27 (33%) providers operating 40⁄74 (54%) clinic sites. We received information on 60 768 vaccinations administered by single vaccine providers and 269 917 doses requested for importation. For children born in 2001⁄2002, the minimum estimates for the proportion who received single measles vaccine are 1.7% in 2001 and 2.1% in 2002, with a reasonable maximum estimate of 5.6% over the 2 years. For single mumps vaccine, the minimum estimates are 0.3% in 2001 and 0.02% in 2002, with a maximum estimate of 4.0%. Conclusion: The contribution of single vaccines to immunity is small in comparison to that of the combined measles, mumps and rubella vaccine (MMR). For recent birth cohorts this contribution could increase routine coverage for measles-containing vaccines by around 2%, still below the level of immunity required to sustain elimination. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary Background : Although dyspepsia has been described for thousands of years, few studies have analysed its incidence before the 19th century when peptic ulcer first became a major dyspepsia-producing disease. Methods : The incidence of alimentary disease around 1800 was examined in three private practices for the fee-paying middle class and in five public dispensaries for the poor in London, as well as in one dispensary in New York. Results : The proportions of attendances for alimentary disorders were identical, 16%, in each of the three groups. Diarrhoea and dysentery were twice as common in the London dispensary than in private practice, presumably because of poor sanitation. Dyspepsia showed a similar incidence in the London dispensary and private practice, but was only half as common in New York. Worms were three times more common in dispensary patients in New York than in London. The incidence of diarrhoea and dyspepsia indicated no significant time trends over 43 years. None of the alimentary causes of death showed peptic ulcer at necropsy, and both haematemesis and intestinal haemorrhage were rare. Conclusions : Around 1800, the infrequent deaths from alimentary conditions suggested that the ulcer epidemic had not yet started. Instead, it is probable that the dyspepsia was similar to the non-ulcer dyspepsia of today. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Tuberculosis (TB) incidence has increased in England and Wales since 1987, with much of the increase in migrants from high TB incidence countries. The National Health Service increasingly depends on healthcare workers (HCWs) trained abroad, often from areas of high TB incidence. A retrospective survey of TB incidents in hospital-based HCWs was carried out to describe their frequency, distribution and characteristics. Methods Reports of HCWs with TB in hospitals were identified among routine surveillance of TB incidents. Additional data on these and reports of further incidents fitting the study definition were obtained by contacting local and regional Health Protection Units. Results At least 105 incidents of TB in hospital-based HCWs occurred in England and Wales in 2005. Most involved HCWs from high incidence countries, and most cases had pre-employment occupational health screening. We found no evidence of onward transmission within hospitals. Conclusions Pre-employment screening for active disease may not be enough to prevent the occurrence of these incidents. A high index of suspicion among HCWs with TB symptoms is needed. Detection of latent infection with interferon gamma release assays, and the use of preventive treatment, should be evaluated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The etiology of Crohn's disease and multiple sclerosis is unknown. Genetic susceptibility and environmental factors are believed to play a role in both diseases., Objectives: To compare the long-term time trends of the two diseases and thus gain insight about their etiology., Methods: We analyzed mortality data of Crohn's disease and multiple sclerosis from Canada, England, Italy, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and the United States during the past 60 years. Age-period-cohort (APC) analyses based on logit models served to disentangle the separate influences of age, period, and cohort effects on the overall time trends., Results: The long-term time trends of Crohn's disease and multiple sclerosis have been shaped by strikingly similar birth-cohort patterns. In both diseases alike, mortality increased in all generations born prior to 1910. It peaked among generations born between 1910 and 1930 and then declined in all subsequent generations. Similar birth-cohort patterns of Crohn's disease and multiple sclerosis were found in each country analyzed separately., Conclusion: The birth-cohort patterns indicate that the development of Crohn's disease and multiple sclerosis is influenced by exposure to environmental risk factors during an early period of life. These environmental risk factors may be similar or even identical in Crohn's disease and multiple sclerosis.

Objective: The ages of patients with Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis are characterized by a bimodal distribution. This study used separate hospital statistics from England and Scotland to follow the changes in the age distribution of inflammatory bowel disease. The objective of the analysis was to check whether the time trends of hospitalization would show different patterns among different age groups., Methods: Hospital statistics from England (1989-2006) and Scotland (1981-2007) were obtained through special requests to the national statistical offices. Hospitalizations (with Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis listed as primary or primary plus secondary discharge diagnosis) were expressed as age-specific and sex-specific rates per 10 000 living population. The separate age-specific rates of Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis of consecutive 6-year or 7-year time intervals were plotted against their respective age group., Results: The hospital data reveal a bimodal age distribution, with a more prominent first peak occurring in younger patients with Crohn's disease and a more prominent second peak occurring in older patients with ulcerative colitis. During the past two decades, the hospitalization rates for both diseases increased in all age groups. However, the increase was relatively more pronounced in the elderly, especially with ulcerative colitis. The age-shift towards older patients was also more evident for Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis listed as secondary than primary discharge diagnosis., Conclusion: The age-related shift in the occurrence of inflammatory bowel disease could reflect the impact of a birth-cohort pattern that underlies the long-term time trends of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease.

Background: The time trends of inflammatory bowel disease are characterized by short-term variations that affect Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis alike. The aim of the present study was to test whether these variations might be related to exacerbations of inflammatory bowel disease secondary to superimposed gastrointestinal infection., Methods: The Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) comprises a data set of all patients admitted to hospitals throughout England, which includes inpatients and day cases. This data set was used to analyze the monthly variations in all hospital admissions for Crohn's disease (ICD10 code K50), ulcerative colitis (K51), bacterial intestinal infections (A04), viral intestinal infections (A08), diarrhea and infectious gastroenteritis (A09), upper respiratory infections (J06), pneumonia secondary to unspecified organism (J18), and unspecified acute lower respiratory infection (J22)., Results: The temporal analysis revealed similar monthly fluctuations of hospital admissions for Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, and bacterial intestinal infections. Viral intestinal infections and infectious gastroenteritis were characterized by different seasonal variations that showed no relationship with any of the fluctuations of inflammatory bowel disease or bacterial intestinal infections. Similarly, respiratory infections resulted in marked cyclical variations in hospital admissions unrelated to any changes in inflammatory bowel disease or enteric infections., Conclusions: The similarity in the time trends of Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, and bacterial intestinal infections suggests that superinfection by intestinal bacteria are responsible for the fluctuations in hospital admissions for inflammatory bowel disease.

Background: Since humans have been infected with Helicobacter pylori for millennia, it has remained an enigma why the occurrence of gastric and duodenal ulcer rose suddenly during 19th century. The study aim is to present a mathematical model of H. pylori epidemiology that explains the peculiar long-term trends of ulcer disease., Methods: Gastric and duodenal ulcer mortality data from England and Wales between 1911 and 2000 were used to validate a model based on two simple and straightforward assumptions about H. pylori infection. First, the infection rate fell in the general population between 1,800 and 2,000. Second, gastric ulcer was caused by H. pylori infection contracted between the ages 5 and 15 and duodenal ulcer was caused by H. pylori infection contracted after the age of 15. As the infection receded in the general population, the two fractions of subjects who became infected between the ages 5 and 15 or after the age of 15 increased among consecutive birth cohorts., Results: The analysis of the actual long-term mortality from gastric and duodenal ulcer indicates an underlying birth-cohort pattern. These birth-cohort patterns of gastric and duodenal ulcer could be simulated by the interaction of two opposing time trends, namely a declining infection rate and a rising fraction of individuals acquiring their infection at increasingly older ages. The superimposition of a declining and a rising trend resulted in a bell-shaped curve of ulcer occurrence affecting consecutive birth-cohorts born between 1830 and 1970. Similar to the real data, the modelled cohort pattern of gastric ulcer preceded that of duodenal ulcer by 20 years., Conclusion: The birth-cohort phenomenon of ulcer disease can be explained by a receding H. pylori infection accompanied by a simultaneous shift in its age of acquisition.

It has been suggested that the mortality trends of ulcerative colitis in England and Wales are shaped by an underlying birth-cohort phenomenon. This pattern implies that exposure to an environmental risk factor early in life plays a crucial role in the development of the disease. The authors tested whether the birth-cohort pattern is unique to British mortality statistics or a common feature of ulcerative colitis in western countries by using the vital statistics from England and Wales, Canada, Scotland, Switzerland, The Netherlands, and the United States. Ulcerative colitis death rates from the six countries were plotted against the periods of death or periods of birth. Mortality from ulcerative colitis increased in successive generations born throughout the second half of the 19th century. It peaked in subjects born between 1880 and 1890 and has declined since then. Strikingly similar patterns were found in the six countries and when women and men were analyzed separately. The birth-cohort pattern indicates that development of ulcerative colitis is strongly influenced by one or several environmental risk factors, which act during a short period early in life. In western countries, exposure to this risk has changed in a similar fashion.

Objective: It has been speculated that environmental factors play a role in the etiology of ulcerative colitis. A previous analysis revealed that the time trends of ulcerative colitis in England were shaped by an underlying birth-cohort pattern. We undertook this study to test whether the birth-cohort pattern was a unique feature of the English vital statistics or whether a similar phenomenon could also be ascertained in the mortality statistics from a different country, such as Switzerland. Besides comparing the data of ulcerative colitis from Switzerland and England, the trends of ulcerative colitis were compared with those of gastric and duodenal ulcer., Methods: Death rates from ulcerative colitis, gastric ulcer, and duodenal ulcer were plotted against the period of death and period of birth. An age-standardized cohort mortality ratio was calculated as a summary statistic of the overall mortality associated with each consecutive birth-cohort., Results: Mortality from ulcerative colitis increased among successive generations born throughout the 19th century. It peaked in individuals born around 1890 and has declined since then. Strikingly similar patterns were found in Switzerland and England. The birth-cohort pattern underlying the time trends of ulcerative colitis applied equally to the data for women and men. In comparison with peptic ulcer, the birth-cohort pattern of ulcerative colitis was almost identical to that of duodenal ulcer. It peaked in both countries 10-20 yr later than gastric ulcer., Conclusions: The birth-cohort pattern indicates that acquisition of ulcerative colitis is strongly influenced by environmental risk factors and that the exposure to these factors occurs during an early period of life. The similarity in the birth-cohort patterns of duodenal ulcer and ulcerative colitis could hint at a childhood infection or a related mode of transmission in both diseases.

Although numerous etiologic risk factors have been proposed, the pathogenesis of hemorrhoids remains unknown. The present investigation assesses the temporal distribution of hemorrhoids as depicted by physician visits, hospital discharges, and surgical procedures to provide further insight into potential etiologic risk factors. The analysis was based on five data sources: from the United States, the National Disease and Therapeutic Index (NDTI), the National Hospital Discharge Survey (NHDS), and the Commission on Professional Hospital Activities (CPHA); from England and Wales, the Morbidity Statistics from General Practice (MSGP) and the Hospital In-patient Enquiry (HIPE). Results demonstrated a consistent decline in all data sources from the United States. The decrease occurred in males and females similarly and was most striking in those aged 45-64 years. Physician visits and hospital discharges for hemorrhoids in England and Wales likewise declined although the decrease was not as dramatic. The consistency of the temporal distributions among the two countries, as well as among the different sources, suggests that the observed decline may, in fact, reflect an overall decrease in the occurrence of hemorrhoidal disease.

The present study analyzes time trends of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in England-Wales and the United States based on nationwide hospitalization statistics. Because these statistics cover the total population of each country, they may give a more representative picture of the true trends than previous analyses concerning only one region or health center. The Hospital In-patient Enquiry was used to evaluate time trends in England-Wales from 1962 to 1985, data from the National Hospital Discharge Survey and the Commission on Professional Activities were used for trends in the United States from 1970 to 1987. A rise of Crohn's disease persisted unabated in the old age groups throughout the observation period. It was less marked in those aged under 35 and reached a plateau during the most recent decade. In ulcerative colitis, discharge rates increased in the older age groups, but remained constant or declined in the middle or younger age groups, respectively. Similar trends were observed in all three surveys. The hospitalization data confirm similar age-specific trends of mortality. The difference between younger and older age groups suggests that generations born 60-80 years ago have become more likely to be affected by IBD leading to hospitalization and mortality. As these high-risk generations grow older, there is a relative rise of hospitalization and mortality from IBD in these subjects.

Hemorrhoids are a frequently occurring disorder widely believed to be caused by chronic constipation. In the present study, the epidemiology of hemorrhoids was evaluated and compared with the epidemiology of constipation. The analysis was based on 4 data sources: from the United States, the National Health Interview Survey, the National Hospital Discharge Survey, and the National Disease and Therapeutic Index; from England and Wales, the Morbidity Statistics from General Practice. Results showed that 10 million people in the United States complained of hemorrhoids, corresponding to a prevalence rate of 4.4%. In both sexes, a peak in prevalence was noted from age 45-65 yr, with a subsequent decrease after age 65 yr. The development of hemorrhoids before age 20 yr was unusual. Whites were affected more frequently than blacks, and increased prevalence rates were associated with higher socioeconomic status. This was in contrast to the epidemiology of constipation, which demonstrated an exponential increase in prevalence after age 65 yr and was more common in blacks and in families with low incomes or low social status. The data presented illustrate differences in the epidemiologic behavior of hemorrhoids and constipation, calling the presumption of causality between constipation and hemorrhoids into question.

A characteristic pattern in the occupational distribution of idiopathic inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) could help to focus research with regard to its etiology or reveal the nature of possible environmental risk factors. The present study analyses occupational mortality from Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis in England and Wales during 8 consecutive years. Mortality of various occupations was expressed as proportional mortality ratio (PMR) or standardized mortality ratio (SMR). From 1979 to 1986, 321 men aged 16-74 years died from Crohn's disease, and 406 men died from ulcerative colitis. The respective number in women were 561 and 429. In men, there was a correlation between PMR and SMR among various occupations, with r = 0.80 and 0.65 for Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, respectively. A relatively low occurrence of male IBD was found in occupations associated with physical work, lower social status, and farming. By contrast, high mortality from IBD tended to be associated with physically less demanding work, sedentary occupations, and type of work which is done indoors.

The geographic and temporal variations in mortality from Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis were investigated. The validity of mortality data as indicators of morbidity was tested by comparing the death rates and incidences among different countries. Death rates from Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis were high in England, Germany, and the Scandinavian countries, and low in the Mediterranean countries. There was a significant correlation between the incidence and mortality of both diseases among different countries. In addition, the incidence and mortality of Crohn's disease were correlated with those of ulcerative colitis. In countries with a low mortality rate from Crohn's disease, the death rates in men tended to be higher than those in women. In contrast, countries with high death rates from Crohn's disease showed female predominance. No such relationship existed for ulcerative colitis. The overall change in mortality rates during the last 20 to 30 years was characterized by a rise of Crohn's disease and a marked fall of ulcerative colitis. In countries with a high mortality rate from Crohn's disease, the death rates started to fall in recent times. The significant correlations between incidence and mortality show that the death rates from both diseases represent reliable indicators of the morbidity and that the severity of the two diseases is similar in different countries. The marked temporal and geographic variations in both incidence and mortality suggest that environmental factors play an important role in the etiology of both diseases.

The pronounced geographical and temporal variations in gastric and duodenal ulcer suggest that important environmental factors must play a part in their aetiology. To determine the nature of possible factors, the Registrar General's decennial supplement and the vital statistics special reports of the United States Department of Health, Education, and Welfare on occupational mortality were analysed for occupation-specific mortality from peptic ulcer. The data disclose a high mortality from both types of ulcer among manual workers and a low mortality among sedentary occupations. This general pattern runs parallel to a low mortality from gastric and duodenal ulcer among the high social classes and a high mortality in the low social classes. Married women displayed a gradient of gastric ulcer mortality increasing from social class 1 to social class 5 but gave no evidence of social class correlation with respect to duodenal ulcer. The significant correlation between mortality from gastric and duodenal ulcer among different occupations could suggest that both types of ulcer hold some of the precipitating environmental risks in common. In duodenal ulcer the varying extent of energy expenditure among different occupations may be responsible for the different risk of contracting duodenal ulcer and dying from it. The association between energy expenditure and peptic ulcer mortality seems to be less important for gastric ulcer where additional factors associated with social class may also be operating.

As the etiology of inflammatory bowel disease remains unknown, studies of its time trends may provide clues to understanding the underlying mechanisms. This study examines mortality from Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis in England and Wales and the U.S. during the period 1950 to 1983. Mortality from Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis changed in both countries similarly. The death rates from Crohn's disease increased until 1970 to 1974 and decreased thereafter. The death rates from ulcerative colitis decreased throughout the observation period. Similar time trends occurred in men and women, and in the U.S. in whites and nonwhites. In the U.S., the death rates from both diseases were twofold higher in whites than nonwhites. The temporal changes suggest that mortality from inflammatory bowel disease is affected by exogenous factors and that these factors are different for Crohn's disease than for ulcerative colitis. These factors seem to have changed similarly in England and in the U.S.