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Objective: Antenatal detection of small-for-gestational age (SGA) can reduce significantly the risk of stillbirth. The Growth Assessment Protocol (GAP) was developed to address the problem that most SGA fetuses are missed antenatally. We set out to analyze the effect that the GAP program has had on stillbirth rates in England.Methods: We analyzed data from 2008 (the year before roll-out of the GAP program) to 2017 (latest available Office for National Statistics (ONS) unit-based data). The program consists of five elements: training, evidence-based guidelines for risk assessment and surveillance of fetal growth, customized charts, recording of process and outcome indicators, and audit of missed SGA cases. All maternity units in England were categorized into one of three groups according to their GAP status in 2017: (1) not in the GAP program; (2) GAP implemented partially (incomplete adoption of protocol, no monitoring and audit); and (3) GAP implemented completely. A subset of the complete-implementation group comprised the 20 units with the highest SGA detection rates. Unit-level live-birth and stillbirth data were obtained from the ONS for each of these groups.Results: Stillbirth rates declined across all groups from 2008 to 2017, and significantly more in units in which GAP was implemented completely than in the non-GAP units (P < 0.05). The steepest decline in stillbirth rate was observed in the 20 units with the highest SGA detection rates, which had a 24% lower stillbirth rate compared with the units not using GAP (P < 0.01) in 2017. This difference remained significant after mixed-effects logistic regression analysis of potential confounding, including social deprivation (odds ratio, 0.76 (95% CI, 0.64-0.90)). Assessment of the nine Bradford Hill causality criteria and associated characteristics suggested that the association between implementation of the GAP program and reduction in stillbirth rate was causal.Conclusions: There has been an overall reduction in stillbirth rates in England that is likely to be a result of increased awareness of the importance of antenatal detection of SGA as a key risk factor for stillbirth. The decline in stillbirth rates was significantly greater in maternity units that had fully implemented the GAP program, and was most pronounced in the units with the highest antenatal SGA detection rates. © 2020 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Use of the Growth Assessment Protocol (GAP) has increased internationally under the assumption that it reduces the stillbirth rate. The evidence for this is limited and based largely on an ecological time-trend study. Discordance in the uptake of the GAP program between Scotland and England/Wales enabled us to assess the assertion that implementation of GAP leads to a reduced stillbirth rate.Methods: We analyzed data from the National Records for Scotland and the Office for National Statistics on the number of singleton maternities and stillbirths in Scotland and in England and Wales, respectively, from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2015. National uptake of the GAP program over time in each of the regions was recorded. Stillbirth rate per 1000 maternities was calculated, according to year of delivery, and compared between Scotland and England/Wales.Results: During the study period, there were 870 632 singleton maternities in Scotland, of which 4243 were stillbirths, and there were 10 469 120 singleton maternities in England and Wales, of which 51 562 were stillbirths. There was a marked difference in uptake of the GAP program between the two regions, with substantially fewer maternity units in Scotland implementing the program. Stillbirth rates were static up to 2010, with a decline thereafter in both regions, to 3.75 (95% CI, 3.25-4.30) per 1000 maternities in Scotland and 4.30 (95% CI, 4.15-4.46) per 1000 maternities in England and Wales in 2015. From 2010 onwards, the decline in Scotland was faster, equating to 48 (95% CI, 47.9-48.1) fewer stillbirths per 100 000 maternities in Scotland than in England and Wales from 2010 to 2015 compared with 2000 to 2009.Conclusions: We observed a decline in stillbirth rate in England and Wales, which coincided with implementation of the GAP program. However, a concurrent decline in stillbirth rate was observed in Scotland in the absence of increased implementation of GAP. The secular rates of change in stillbirth rate in England and Wales cannot be used to infer efficacy of the GAP program. © 2020 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]