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A cohort of 1,154 employees, mainly women, who had worked 1940-1945 on the manufacture of military gas masks using filter pads containing 20% crocidolite, was traced through 2003, by which time 65 were known to have died from mesothelioma. The last known death with mesothelioma was in 1994, whereas a further 5 cases would have been expected in those with known duration of exposure. Lung tissue samples, from 50 deaths from mesothelioma and 20 other causes, had been analyzed for mineral fiber content. For ten of the mesothelioma cases data on fiber size were collected. Crocidolite fiber concentrations were analyzed in relation to exposure by time and duration. Fiber concentrations overall fell fairly steadily by decade of death, and increased with length of exposure up to 36 months and then fell sharply. The annual rate of elimination estimated by regression was 7.5% corresponding to a half life of 9.2 years. The proportion of fibers longer than 6 mum increased over time implying that the shorter fibers were eliminated more rapidly than the longer ones. The decline in concentrations with time confirms the hypothesis that crocidolite and, by inference, other amphibole fibers are slowly removed from the lung, but since the longer more carcinogenic fibers were cleared more slowly it is unclear to what extent this clearance explains the slowing down of the increase in mesothelioma mortality from about 40 years from the most recent exposure. The exact biostatistical models which most closely conform with the data remain open to question.

Background: Between 1940 and 1944 military gas masks with filter pads containing 20% crocidolite were assembled in a Nottingham factory., Methods: Records supplied by the late Professor Stephen Jones were of 1154 persons, mainly women, who had worked in the factory during this period; they included many deaths from mesothelioma. A systematic effort was therefore made to establish causes of death for the whole cohort., Results: Of 640 employees with full name and sex recorded, 567 (89%) were traced. Of these, 491 had died, including 65 from mesothelioma, though only 54 were certified as such. After exclusion of these 54, standardised mortality ratios were significantly raised for respiratory cancer (SMR 2.5) and carcinomatosis (SMR 3.2). The pattern of mortality in the remaining 514 employees without full identification was similar, but a low tracing rate (40%) did not justify their further analysis. The first death from mesothelioma was in 1963 (22 years after first exposure) and the last in 1994, whereas a further 5.0 cases would have been expected between 1996 and 2003 (p = 0.0065)., Conclusion: These findings in a cohort followed over 60 years after brief exposure to crocidolite confirm a high and specific risk of mesothelioma (28% peritoneal) and perhaps of lung cancer some 20-50 years later. The statistically significant absence of further mesothelioma cases during the past eight years suggests that crocidolite, though durable, is slowly removed.

This further study of wartime gas-mask workers who were exposed to asbestos dust has shown that among those who worked with crocidolite there is a considerable excess of cases of mesothelioma, a more modest excess of bronchial carcinoma, but no excess of any other type of malignant disease. A dose-response relationship is established in the mesothelioma and bronchial carcinoma patients. It is not possible to base any conclusions on the limited data available for the small number of people exposed to chrysotile for a maximum period of five months. We believe that the identification and measurement of fibres in autoptic lung tissue from patients with accurately known occupational histories of asbestos dust exposure is useful, and a similar study on a population exclusively exposed to chrysotile would be of considerable interest.