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Unravelling the impacts of climate change on agriculture becomes increasingly important, as the rates and magnitude of its effects are accelerating. Current estimates of the consequences of climate change on nitrous oxide (N 2 O) emissions remain largely uncertain; there is a need for more consistent and comprehensive assessments of this impact. In this study we explored the implications of two IPCC climate change projections (high and medium emissions scenarios) on N 2 O emissions from South West England grasslands for the time slices of a baseline, the 2020s, the 2050s and the 2080s, employing a process-based model (SPACSYS). The model was initially calibrated and validated using datasets collected from three grassland sites of the region. Statistical analysis showed that simulated results had no significant total error or bias compared to measured values. We found a consistent increase in N 2 O emissions of up to 94% under future climate change scenarios compared to those under the baseline, and warming rather than precipitation variability was the overriding factor controlling the N 2 O rise. Modelling fertilizer forms showed that replacing ammonium-nitrate fertilizers with urea or slurry significantly reduced N 2 O emissions (c. 30%). Our study highlights the urgent necessity to adopt viable N 2 O mitigation measures now in order to avoid higher emissions in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Soil microbial community structure varied at different slope positions under maize cultivation. • Greater incorporation of old SOC (C3-C) by soil microorganisms in the bottom position of slope. • Use of maize-carbon is dominated by Gram positive bacteria and fungi. • Potential CO 2 and N 2 O emissions increased at bottom of ploughed slope. • Carbon sink potential of bottom slopes may be diminished by GHG emissions. Determining whether agricultural soils act as sinks or sources of greenhouse gases (GHGs) requires the quantification of variations in the pools and fluxes of soil organic carbon (SOC) and nutrients, e.g. nitrogen (N), as well as the associated soil microbial responses. In this study, soil was collected from experimental plots of maize (Zea mays) under conventional, minimum or strip tillage treatments established in a sloping field (~10%) of loamy soil in SW England, UK, where maize had been cultivated conventionally for 12 years. Topsoil (0–10 cm) cores were collected from the top, mid, bottom and foot slope positions to investigate soil C, N and microbial properties. The impact of conventional management on potential GHG emissions was assessed by incubating soils collected from the top, mid and bottom slope positions from the conventional treatment. Contents of SOC and total N were greatest at the top slope position and soil mineral N (NO 3 −-N and NH 4 +-N) concentrations were greater at the bottom and foot slope positions in all treatments. Biomarker phospholipid fatty acids (PLFA) for Gram positive bacteria and fungi were relatively 13C-enriched at each slope position regardless of treatment, indicating preferential utilization of organic matter from maize (C 4) rather than SOC (C 3). Around 70% of carbon incorporated into total PLFA was derived from C 3 -SOC at the slope foot, indicating that more SOC older than 12 years was being mineralized at the depositional position. Effluxes of N 2 O and CO 2 , and total GHG emission were greatest from the incubated soils sampled from the bottom slope position, suggesting that conditions in depositional positions of regularly ploughed sloping arable fields may have increased the potential for mineralization and denitrification. We conclude that the C sink potential of the depositional positions of slopes may be diminished by coincidental GHG emissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]