1. Relationship of George Floyd protests to increases in COVID-19 cases using event study methodology.
- Author
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Valentine R, Valentine D, and Valentine JL
- Subjects
- Black or African American, Cities, Homicide, Humans, Male, Pandemics, SARS-CoV-2, United States epidemiology, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 transmission, Community Participation, Dissent and Disputes, Famous Persons, Political Activism
- Abstract
Background: Protests ignited by the George Floyd incident were examined for any significant impact on COVID-19 infection rates in select US cities., Methods: Eight US cities were studied in which protestors in the tens of thousands were reported. Only cities that reside in states whose stay-at-home orders had been rescinded or expired for a minimum of 30 days were included in the sample to account for impact of growth rates solely due to economies reopening. Event study methodology was used with a 30-day estimation period to examine whether growth in COVID-19 infection rates was significant., Results: In the eight cities analyzed, all had positive abnormal growth in infection rate. In six of the eight cities, infection rate growth was positive and significant., Conclusions: In this study, it was apparent that violations of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)-recommended social distancing guidelines caused a significant increase in infection rates. The data suggest that to slow the spread of COVID-19, CDC guidelines must be followed in protest situations., (© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Faculty of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
- Published
- 2020
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