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Ecological restoration of rare earth element (REE) mining areas has become a key component in the sustainable development of the ion-adsorption-type REE industry. Current studies on ecological restoration assessments are mainly based on a comparison of REE mining ranges conducted over two or more periods, therefore, the dynamic evolution of spatial patterns for REE mining and vegetation recovery remains to be elucidated. Rapid advances in remote sensing techniques, along with the cloud-based Google Earth Engine (GEE), can provide an effective and convenient observation strategy for monitoring the environment in mining areas. In this study, we propose a hybrid method consisting of a random forest (RF) classifier and Landsat-based detection of trends in disturbance and recovery (LandTrendr) to identify and monitor the disturbance of REE mining and vegetation recovery in REE mining areas in the southern Jiangxi Province of China from 1988 to 2021 based on the GEE platform. The results reveal that REE mining activities were widespread in the study area, and the spatial distribution of REE mining areas was highly dispersed. The total area of REE mining in the study region was 93.14 km2, and the greatest REE mining activity was observed in the year 2006. As of 2021, the vegetation coverage area in the REE mining zone reached 47.44 km2, with a recovery rate of 50.93%. Among the seven counties in the study area, Longnan county had the lowest level of vegetation recovery in REE mining areas. A total of 95% of the vegetation recovery events in REE mining areas lasted between 1 and 18 years. These observations suggest that LandTrendr efficiently captured REE mining-induced disturbances and vegetation recovery and offers important reference data for the formulation of mining area restoration strategies. The results can provide a referable basis for the ecological restoration of southern Jiangxi Province, China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Software effort estimation is a vital process in the software industry for successfully administering 5Ds of the software development life cycle (SDLC). The 5Ds stand for demand, development, direction, deployment, and designated cost of the software. Software development effort estimation (SDEE) is an effort prediction mechanism to calculate the effort for the development of the software product in order to minimize the challenges in the software field. Academics and practitioners are striving to identify which machine learning estimation technique yields more accurate results based on evaluation metrics, datasets, and other pertinent aspects. The feature selection techniques impact accuracy by selecting the main and relevant features in the dataset and eliminating the redundant and irrelevant features in the dataset. To achieve accurate estimations, the paper utilizes feature selection algorithms, along with various machine learning techniques, which predict the desired effort and the performance of the model has been measured in terms of prediction accuracy, R2 value, relative error, and mean absolute error. The datasets China and Maxwell are trained with the relevant features by applying feature selection algorithms, and estimation techniques are applied to predict the effort. The performance is compared with the regression models and feature selection techniques utilized by many authors previously. The result of the proposed methodology significantly gives the best performance with the combination of feature selection and estimation models than all regression models when applied alone, to both datasets. From the results, it is perceptible that random forest is performing well with the feature selection techniques and obtains the highest prediction accuracy of 99.33% with the China and 89.47% with the Maxwell datasets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Non‐anemic thalassemia trait (TT) accounted for a high proportion of TT cases in South China. Objective: To use artificial intelligence (AI) analysis of erythrocyte morphology and machine learning (ML) to identify TT gene carriers in a non‐anemic population. Methods: Digital morphological data from 76 TT gene carriers and 97 controls were collected. The AI technology‐based Mindray MC‐100i was used to quantitatively analyze the percentage of abnormal erythrocytes. Further, ML was used to construct a prediction model. Results: Non‐anemic TT carriers accounted for over 60% of the TT cases. Random Forest was selected as the prediction model and named TT@Normal. The TT@Normal algorithm showed outstanding performance in the training, validation, and external validation sets and could efficiently identify TT carriers in the non‐anemic population. The top three weights in the TT@Normal model were the target cells, microcytes, and teardrop cells. Elevated percentages of abnormal erythrocytes should raise a strong suspicion of being a TT gene carrier. TT@Normal could be promoted and used as a visualization and sharing tool. It is accessible through a URL link and can be used by medical staff online to predict the possibility of TT gene carriage in a non‐anemic population. Conclusions: The ML‐based model TT@Normal could efficiently identify TT carriers in non‐anemic people. Elevated percentages of target cells, microcytes, and teardrop cells should raise a strong suspicion of being a TT gene carrier. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: To explore the feasibility and validity of machine learning models in determining causality in medical malpractice cases and to try to increase the scientificity and reliability of identification opinions. Methods: We collected 13,245 written judgments from PKULAW.COM, a public database. 963 cases were included after the initial screening. 21 medical and ten patient factors were selected as characteristic variables by summarising previous literature and cases. Random Forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) were used to establish prediction models of causality for the two data sets, respectively. Finally, the optimal model is obtained by hyperparameter tuning of the six models. Results: We built three real data set models and three virtual data set models by three algorithms, and their confusion matrices differed. XGBoost performed best in the real data set, with a model accuracy of 66%. In the virtual data set, the performance of XGBoost and LightGBM was basically the same, and the model accuracy rate was 80%. The overall accuracy of external verification was 72.7%. Conclusions: The optimal model of this study is expected to predict the causality accurately. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Arid zone grassland is a crucial component of terrestrial ecosystems and plays a significant role in ecosystem protection and soil erosion prevention. However, accurately mapping grassland spatial information in arid zones presents a great challenge. The accuracy of remote sensing grassland mapping in arid zones is affected by spectral variability caused by the highly diverse landscapes. In this study, we explored the potential of a rectangular tile classification model, constructed using the random forest algorithm and integrated images from Sentinel-1A (synthetic aperture radar imagery) and Sentinel-2 (optical imagery), to enhance the accuracy of grassland mapping in the semiarid to arid regions of Ordos, China. Monthly Sentinel-1A median value images were synthesised, and four MODIS vegetation index mean value curves (NDVI, MSAVI, NDWI and NDBI) were used to determine the optimal synthesis time window for Sentinel-2 images. Seven experimental groups, including 14 experimental schemes based on the rectangular tile classification model and the traditional global classification model, were designed. By applying the rectangular tile classification model and Sentinel-integrated images, we successfully identified and extracted grasslands. The results showed the integration of vegetation index features and texture features improved the accuracy of grassland mapping. The overall accuracy of the Sentinel-integrated images from EXP7-2 was 88.23%, which was higher than the accuracy of the single sensor Sentinel-1A (53.52%) in EXP2-2 and Sentinel-2 (86.53%) in EXP5-2. In all seven experimental groups, the rectangular tile classification model was found to improve overall accuracy (OA) by 1.20% to 13.99% compared to the traditional global classification model. This paper presents novel perspectives and guidance for improving the accuracy of remote sensing mapping for land cover classification in arid zones with highly diverse landscapes. The study presents a flexible and scalable model within the Google Earth Engine framework, which can be readily customized and implemented in various geographical locations and time periods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Southern China, one of the traditional rice production bases, has experienced significant declines in the area of rice paddy since the beginning of this century. Monitoring the rice cropping area is becoming an urgent need for food security policy decisions. One of the main challenges for mapping rice in this area is the quantity of cloud-free observations that are vulnerable to frequent cloud cover. Another relevant issue that needs to be addressed is determining how to select the appropriate classifier for mapping paddy rice based on the cloud-masked observations. Therefore, this study was organized to quickly find a strategy for rice mapping by evaluating cloud-mask algorithms and machine-learning methods for Sentinel-2 imagery. Specifically, we compared four GEE-embedded cloud-mask algorithms (QA60, S2cloudless, CloudScore, and CDI (Cloud Displacement Index)) and analyzed the appropriateness of widely accepted machine-learning classifiers (random forest, support vector machine, classification and regression tree, gradient tree boost) for cloud-masked imagery. The S2cloudless algorithm had a clear edge over the other three algorithms based on its overall accuracy in evaluation and visual inspection. The findings showed that the algorithm with a combination of S2cloudless and random forest showed the best performance when comparing mapping results with field survey data, referenced rice maps, and statistical yearbooks. In general, the research highlighted the potential of using Sentinel-2 imagery to map paddy rice with multiple combinations of cloud-mask algorithms and machine-learning methods in a cloud-prone area, which has the potential to broaden our rice mapping strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precipitation is the basic component of the Earth's water cycle. Obtaining high-resolution and high-precision precipitation data is of great significance. This paper establishes a precipitation retrieval model based on a random forest classification and regression model during the day and at night with FY-4B/AGRI Level1 data on China from July to August 2022. To evaluate the retrieval effect of the model, the GPM IMERG product is used as a reference, and the retrieval results are compared against those of the FY-4B/AGRI operational precipitation product. In addition, the retrieval results are analyzed according to different underlying surfaces. The results showed that compared with the FY-4B/AGRI operational precipitation product, the retrieval model can better identify precipitation and capture precipitation areas of light rain, moderate rain, heavy rain and torrential rain. Among them, the probability of detection (POD) of the day model increased from 0.328 to 0.680, and the equitable threat score (ETS) increased from 0.252 to 0.432. The POD of the night model increased from 0.337 to 0.639, and the ETS score increased from 0.239 to 0.369. Meanwhile, the precipitation estimation accuracy of the day model increased by 38.98% and that of the night model increased by 40.85%. Our results also showed that due to the surface uniformity of the ocean, the model can identify precipitation better on the ocean than on the land. Our findings also indicated that for the different underlying surfaces of the land, there is no significant difference in each evaluation index of the model. This is a strong argument for the universal applicability of the model. Notably, the results showed that, especially for more vegetated areas and areas covered by water, the model is capable of estimating precipitation. In conclusion, the precipitation retrieval model that is proposed herein can better determine precipitation regions and estimate precipitation intensities compared with the FY-4B/AGRI operational precipitation product. It can provide some reference value for future precipitation retrieval research on FY-4B/AGRI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Formulating ecological restoration strategies requires accurately quantifying how climate and anthropogenic factors influence net primary production (NPP). A Carnegie-Ames-Stanford approach (CASA) model was applied to estimate China's terrestrial NPP from 2001 to 2020. We adopted a random forest (RF) method to identify the main driving forces for NPP change in China. Total NPP in China increased noticeably with a 24.91 Tg C/yr rate, as shown in our results. The significantly increased NPP was mainly attributed to human activities (64.29 ± 0.17%), chiefly due to human management and ecological projects (afforestation or other) fostered vegetation growth. The primary drivers of NPP variation varied in different geographic regions. Climate dominated the NPP dynamic in north China (52.38 ± 0.91%), where the main factor that restricted the increase of NPP was precipitation. Human activities strongly impacted the NPP variation in the remaining regions. Human management measures increased NPP in northwest and southwest China. In the northeast, east, and south-central China, the NPP change resulted from land use change, primarily grassland, cropland, and forest change. Collectively, our study expands the understanding of the driving forces of NPP change, informing different strategies for achieving ecological restoration and carbon neutrality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: Immunohistochemistry (IHC) is the main method to detect human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) expression levels. However, IHC is invasive and cannot reflect HER2 expression status in real time. The aim of this study was to construct and verify three types of radiomics models based on 18F-fuorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) imaging and to evaluate the predictive ability of these radiomics models for the expression status of HER2 in patients with gastric cancer (GC). Patients and Methods: A total of 118 patients with GC were enrolled in this study. 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging was performed prior to surgery. The LIFEx software package was applied to extract PET and CT radiomics features. The minimum absolute contraction and selection operator (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator [LASSO]) algorithm was used to select the best radiomics features. Three machine learning methods, logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) models, were constructed and verified. The Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) was applied to address data imbalance. Results: In the training and test sets, the area under the curve (AUC) values of the LR, SVM, and RF models were 0.809, 0.761, 0.861 and 0.628, 0.993, 0.717, respectively, and the Brier scores were 0.118, 0.214, and 0.143, respectively. Among the three models, the LR and RF models exhibited extremely good prediction performance. The AUC values of the three models significantly improved after SMOTE balanced the data. Conclusions:18F-FDG PET/CT-based radiomics models, especially LR and RF models, demonstrate good performance in predicting HER2 expression status in patients with GC and can be used to preselect patients who may benefit from HER2-targeted therapy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Reference crop evapotranspiration (ETO) is a basic component of the hydrological cycle and its estimation is critical for agricultural water resource management and scheduling. In this study, three tree-based machine learning algorithms (random forest [RF], gradient boosting decision tree [GBDT], and extreme gradient boosting [XGBoost]) were adopted to determine the essential factors for ETO prediction. The tree-based models were optimized using the Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithm and were compared with three standalone models in terms of daily ETO and monthly mean ETO estimations in North China, with different input combinations of essential variables. The results indicated that solar radiation (Rs) and air temperature (Ts), including the maximum, minimum, and average temperatures, in daily ETO were the key variables affecting model prediction accuracy. Rs was the most influential factor in the monthly average ETO model followed by Ts. Both relative humidity (RH) and wind speed at 2 m (U2) had little impact on ETO prediction at different scales, although their importance differed. Compared with the GBDT and RF models, the XGBoost model exhibited the best performance for daily ETO and monthly mean ETO estimations. The hybrid tree-based models with the BO algorithm outperformed standalone tree-based models. Overall, compared with the other inputs, the model with three inputs (Rs, Ts, and RH/U2) had the highest accuracy. The BO-XGBoost model exhibited superior performance in terms of the global performance index (GPI) for daily ETO and monthly mean ETO predictions and is recommended as a more accurate model for predicting daily ETO and monthly mean ETO in North China or areas with a similar climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

For shallow lakes, the most dramatic ecosystem shift is that from a clear-water, macrophyte-dominated regime to a turbid, phytoplankton-dominated regime. Whereas many studies have focussed on the factors that trigger such shifts, it is still unclear how these changes shape fish diversity. In the present study, we characterised the fish communities taxonomically and functionally in Lake Taihu, China, along a spatial gradient of habitat types, i.e. algal-dominated, macrophyte-dominated, open-lake and aquaculture conversion zones. Random Forests regression was then applied to examine how fish diversities were related to environmental conditions. Our results showed that the taxonomic and functional composition of the fish community varied among different habitat regimes. Macrophyte and water quality were identified as the most important factors affecting the fish diversity indices. Habitats with a high macrophyte biomass and low nutrient concentration supported higher functional diversity. Moreover, our analysis revealed that although functional diversity indices were strongly correlated with species richness, they appeared more sensitive to changes in habitat conditions. Overall, our study highlights the importance of macrophyte-dominated state in maintaining fish diversity in freshwater ecosystems and provides new insight into how functional diversity can improve our understanding of the response of biodiversity to ecological processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies. However, crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments. Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat. Therefore, there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield, making precise yield prediction increasingly important. This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological, crop growth status, environmental, and drought index, from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield. Using the sparrow search algorithm combined with random forest (SSA-RF) under different input indicators, accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calculated. The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression (PLSR), extreme gradient boosting (XG-Boost), and random forest (RF) models. Finally, the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years. Following are the findings: 1) the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms. The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators' composition with SSA-RF) (R2 = 0.805, RRMSE = 9.9%. 2) Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation, accounting for 46% and 22% of the yield importance among all indicators, respectively. 3) Selecting indicators from October to April of the following year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation, with an R2 of 0.826 and an RAISE of 9.0%. Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June. 4) The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought. Compared with severe drought year (2011) (R2 = 0.680) and normal year (2017) (R2 = 0.790), the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year (2018) (R2 = 0.820). This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield, yield. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The impact of occupational stress and work environment fitness on mental health disparities between physicians and nurses are not well understood. This study aims to identify and rank key determinants of mental health in physicians and nurses in China and compare the differences in their impact on mental health between physicians and nurses. A large cross-sectional survey with multistage cluster sampling was conducted. The survey included the Self-Rating Anxiety Scale (SAS Scale), the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D Scale), the Maslach Burnout Inventory–General Survey (MBI-GS) and the Person-Environment (PE) Fit. We applied a principled, machine learning-based variable selection algorithm, using random forests, to identify and rank the determinants of the mental health in physicians and nurses. In our study, we analyzed a sample of 9964 healthcare workers, and 2729 (27 %) were physicians. The prevalence of anxiety and depressive disorders among physicians and nurses was 31.0 % and 53.3 %, 30.8 % and 47.9 %, respectively. Among physicians with anxiety disorder, we observed a higher likelihood of cynicism, emotional exhaustion, reduced personal accomplishment, and poor organization fitness, job fitness, group fitness, and supervisor fitness, in order of importance. When comparing the effects on depressive disorder in physicians, group fitness and supervisor fitness did not have significant impacts. For nurses, emotional exhaustion had a more significant effect on depressive disorder compared to cynicism. Supervisor fitness did not have a significant impact on anxiety disorder in nurses. Cross-sectional design, self-reporting screening scales. Compared to individual and hospital characteristics, the primary factors influencing mental health disorders are occupational burnout and the compatibility of the work environment. Additionally, the key determinants of depressive and anxiety disorders among doctors and nurses exhibit slight variations. Employing machine learning methods proves beneficial for identifying determinants of mental health disorders among physicians and nurses in China. These findings could help improve policymaking aimed at addressing the mental well-being of healthcare professionals. • Study uses rigorous methodology to identify mental health determinants in physicians and nurses. Informs debate on improving overall mental health and addressing variation in healthcare. • Top determinants of physician anxiety: cynicism, emotional exhaustion, reduced personal accomplishment, and poor organization fitness, job fitness, group fitness, and supervisor fitness. • Unlike anxiety, group and supervisor fitness not significantly linked to depressive disorder in physicians. • Top determinants of nurse anxiety: emotional exhaustion, cynicism, reduced personal accomplishment, and poor job fitness, organization fitness, and group fitness. • Supervisor fitness emerged as a key determinant significantly associated with depressive symptoms in nurses; organization fitness crucial, identified as the most impactful work environment factor for mental health outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Methane is the second largest anthropogenic greenhouse gas, and changes in atmospheric methane concentrations can reflect the dynamic balance between its emissions and sinks. Therefore, the monitoring of CH 4 concentration changes and the assessment of underlying driving factors can provide scientific basis for the government's policy making and evaluation. China is the world's largest emitter of anthropogenic methane. However, due to the lack of ground-based observation sites, little work has been done on the spatial-temporal variations for the past decades and influencing factors in China, especially for areas with high anthropogenic emissions as Central and Eastern China. Here to quantify atmospheric CH 4 enhancements trends and its driving factors in Central and Eastern China, we combined the most up-to-date TROPOMI satellite-based column CH 4 (xCH 4) concentration from 2018 to 2022, anthropogenic and natural emissions, and a random forest-based machine learning approach, to simulate atmospheric xCH 4 enhancements from 2001 to 2018. The results showed that (1) the random forest model was able to accurately establish the relationship between emission sources and xCH 4 enhancement with a correlation coefficient (R²) of 0.89 and a root mean-square error (RMSE) of 11.98 ppb; (2)The xCH 4 enhancement only increased from 48.21±2.02 ppb to 49.79±1.87 ppb from the year of 2001 to 2018, with a relative change of 3.27%±0.13%; (3) The simulation results showed that the energy activities and waste treatment were the main contributors to the increase in xCH 4 enhancement, contributing 68.00% and 31.21%, respectively, and the decrease of animal ruminants contributed -6.70% of its enhancement trend. [Display omitted] [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Following China's official designation as malaria-free country by WHO, the imported malaria has emerged as a significant determinant impacting the malaria reestablishment within China. The objective of this study is to explore the application prospects of machine learning algorithms in imported malaria risk assessment of China. Methods: The data of imported malaria cases in China from 2011 to 2019 was provided by China CDC; historical epidemic data of malaria endemic country was obtained from World Malaria Report, and the other data used in this study are open access data. All the data processing and model construction based on R, and map visualization used ArcGIS software. Results: A total of 27,088 malaria cases imported into China from 85 countries between 2011 and 2019. After data preprocessing and classification, clean dataset has 765 rows (85 * 9) and 11 cols. Six machine learning models was constructed based on the training set, and Random Forest model demonstrated the best performance in model evaluation. According to RF, the highest feature importance were the number of malaria deaths and Indigenous malaria cases. The RF model demonstrated high accuracy in forecasting risk for the year 2019, achieving commendable accuracy rate of 95.3%. This result aligns well with the observed outcomes, indicating the model's reliability in predicting risk levels. Conclusions: Machine learning algorithms have reliable application prospects in risk assessment of imported malaria in China. This study provides a new methodological reference for the risk assessment and control strategies adjusting of imported malaria in China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Snow plays a crucial role in the global water cycle, providing water to over 20% of the world's population and serving as a vital component for flora, fauna, and climate regulation. Changes in snow patterns due to global warming have far-reaching impacts on water management, agriculture, and other economic sectors such as winter tourism. Additionally, they have implications for environmental stability, prompting migration and cultural shifts in snow-dependent communities. Accurate information on snow and its variables is, thus, essential for both scientific understanding and societal planning. This review explores the potential of remote sensing in monitoring snow water equivalent (SWE) on a large scale, analyzing 164 selected publications from 2000 to 2023. Categorized by methodology and content, the analysis reveals a growing interest in the topic, with a concentration of research in North America and China. Methodologically, there is a shift from passive microwave (PMW) inversion algorithms to artificial intelligence (AI), particularly the Random Forest (RF) and neural network (NN) approaches. A majority of studies integrate PMW data with auxiliary information, focusing thematically on remote sensing and snow research, with limited incorporation into broader environmental contexts. Long-term studies (>30 years) suggest a general decrease in SWE in the Northern Hemisphere, though regional and seasonal variations exist. Finally, the review suggests potential future SWE research directions such as addressing PMW data issues, downsampling for detailed analyses, conducting interdisciplinary studies, and incorporating forecasting to enable more widespread applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The primary aim of this study is to explore the utility of machine learning algorithms for predicting personal PM2.5 exposures of elderly participants and to evaluate the effect of individual variables on model performance. Personal PM2.5 was measured on five consecutive days across seasons in 66 retired adults in Beijing (BJ) and Nanjing (NJ), China. The potential predictors were extracted from routine monitoring data (ambient PM2.5 concentrations and meteorological factors), basic questionnaires (personal and household characteristics), and time-activity diary (TAD). Prediction models were developed based on either traditional multiple linear regression (MLR) or five advanced machine learning methods. Our results revealed that personal PM2.5 exposures were well predicted by both MLR and machine learning models with predictors extracted from routine monitoring data, which was indicated by the high nested cross-validation (CV) R 2 ranging from 0.76 to 0.88. The addition of predictors from either the questionnaire or TAD did not improve predictive accuracy for all algorithms. The ambient PM2.5 concentrations were the most important predictor. Overall, the random forest, support vector machine, and extreme gradient boosting algorithms outperformed the reference MLR method. Compared with the traditional MLR approach, the CV R 2 of the RF model increased up to 7% (from 0.82 ± 0.13 to 0.88 ± 0.10), while the RMSE reduced up to 18% (from 19.8 ± 5.4 to 16.3 ± 4.5) in BJ. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study aims to investigate the price changes in the carbon trading market and the development of international carbon credits in-depth. To achieve this goal, operational principles of the international carbon credit financing mechanism are considered, and time series models were employed to forecast carbon trading prices. Specifically, an ARIMA(1,1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model, which combines the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, is established. Additionally, a multivariate dynamic regression Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with Exogenous Inputs (ARIMAX) model is utilized. In tandem with the modeling, a data index system is developed, encompassing various factors that influence carbon market trading prices. The random forest algorithm is then applied for feature selection, effectively identifying features with high scores and eliminating low-score features. The research findings reveal that the ARIMAX Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) model exhibits high forecasting accuracy for time series data. The model's Mean Squared Error, Root Mean Squared Error, and Mean Absolute Error are reported as 0.022, 0.1344, and 0.1543, respectively, approaching zero and surpassing other evaluation models in predictive accuracy. The goodness of fit for the national carbon market price forecasting model is calculated as 0.9567, indicating that the selected features strongly explain the trading prices of the carbon emission rights market. This study introduces innovation by conducting a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional data and leveraging the random forest model to explore non-linear relationships among data. This approach offers a novel solution for investigating the complex relationship between the carbon market and the carbon credit financing mechanism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Collichthys lucidus is a small fish found in offshore waters that is economically important for China. It is imperative to understand its distribution characteristics and driving factors. Based on survey data of trawl fishery resources offshore of Zhejiang province, China, in spring (April) and autumn (November) from 2018 to 2022, the spatial and temporal distributions of C. lucidus in this area were analyzed. The random forest (RF) model was used to determine the important marine factors affecting the distribution of C. lucidus. The relationship between the distributions of the important variables was analyzed. The results showed that C. lucidus was mainly distributed in coastal waters. The tail density of the species exhibited obvious seasonal variation and was significantly greater in autumn than in spring. The most important factor affecting the distribution of this species in spring and autumn was water depth. The bottom temperature, bottom salinity and dissolved oxygen concentration were also important influencing factors. The importance of these factors differed among the different seasons, while the chlorophyll a concentration and pH had no significant effect on the species distribution. This study revealed the distribution pattern of C. lucidus in offshore waters of Zhejiang Province and the influence of important marine factors on its distribution. This study can enrich the survey data on C. lucidus and provide basic data for its scientific management and protection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The research and application of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on statistical downscaling have been hampered by the fact that deep learning is highly dependent on sample size and is considered to be a black-box model. Therefore, a CNN model with transfer learning (CNN-TL) is proposed to study the pre-rainy season precipitation of South China. First, an augmented monthly dataset is created by sliding a fixed-length window over the daily circulation field and precipitation data for the entire year. Next, a base CNN network is pretrained on the augmented dataset, and then the network parameters are tuned on the actual monthly dataset from South China. Then, guided backpropagation is conducted to obtain the distribution regions of the key features and explain the net. The coefficient of determination R2 and root-mean-square error (RMSE) show that the CNN-TL model has higher explanatory power and better fitting performance than the feature extraction–based random forest. In comparison with the base CNN, the transfer learning approach can improve the explanatory power of the model by 10.29% and reduce the average RMSE by 6.82%. In addition, the interpretation results of the model show that the critical regions are primarily South China and its surrounding areas, including the Indochina Peninsula, the Bay of Bengal, and the South China Sea. Furthermore, the ablation experiments and composite analysis illustrate that these regions are very important. Significance Statement: To mitigate the challenges posed by small sample sizes and the transparency of deep learning in downscaling problems, we propose a convolutional neural network based on sample augmentation and transfer learning to study the monthly precipitation downscaling problem during the preflood period in South China. In comparison with random forests and conventional convolutional neural networks, our model achieves an optimal interpretation rate and stability. In addition, we explore the interpretability of the model using guided backpropagation to find the distribution of key features within the large-scale circulation field, thus increasing the credibility of the model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Controlling groundwater table decline could mitigate land subsidence and induced environmental hazards in over-explored areas. Nevertheless, this becomes a challenge in the multi-layered porous system as (in)elastic deformation simultaneously occurs due to vast spatiotemporal variability in the groundwater table. In this study, SBAS-InSAR was used to estimate annual land deformation during 2017–2022 in a specific region of North China Plain, in which aquifers are composed of many layers of fine-grained compressible sediments and the groundwater table has experienced a prolonged decline. The random forest (RF) was applied to establish the nonlinear relationship between accumulated deformation and its potential driving factors, including the depth to the groundwater table (GWD) and its change rate, and the compressible sediment thickness. Results show that the marked subsidence and uplift co-exist in the region even though the groundwater table has risen widely since the South–North Water Diversion Project. The land subsidence is attributed to inelastic compaction of the thick compressible deposits in depression cone centers, where the GWD is over 40 m and 90 m in the shallow and deep aquifers, respectively. In contrast, the marked uplift is primarily attributed to fast rising of the groundwater table (e.g., −2.44 m/a). The RF predictions suggest that, to control the subsidence, the GWD should be less than 20 and 70 m in the shallow and deep aquifers, respectively, and the rising rate of the GWD should increase to 2–5 times of current rates in the depression cones. To mitigate the marked uplift, the rising rate of the GWD should reduce to 1/2–1/5 of the current rates in the shallow aquifers. The uneven deformations of sediments in the depression cone centers and uplift in their boundaries may exacerbate geohazards. Therefore, it is vital to implement appropriate governance of groundwater recovery in the multi-layered porous system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil particle size fractions (PSFs) are important properties for understanding the physical and chemical processes in soil systems. Knowledge about the distribution of soil PSFs is critical for sustainable soil management. Although log-ratio transformations have been widely applied to soil PSFs prediction, the statistical distribution of original data and the transformed data given by log-ratio transformations is different, resulting in biased estimates of soil PSFs. Therefore, multivariate random forest (MRF) was utilized for the simultaneous prediction of soil PSFs, as it is able to capture dependencies and internal relations among the three components. Specifically, 243 soil samples collected across the Loess Plateau were used. Meanwhile, Landsat data, terrain attributes, and climatic variables were employed as environmental variables for spatial prediction of soil PSFs. The results depicted that MRF gave satisfactory soil PSF prediction performance, where the R2 values were 0.62, 0.53, and 0.73 for sand, silt, and clay, respectively. Among the environmental variables, nighttime land surface temperature (LST_N) presented the highest importance in predicting soil PSFs in the Loess Plateau, China. Maps of soil PSFs and texture were generated at a 30 m resolution, which can be utilized as alternative data for soil erosion management and ecosystem conservation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Global volcanic and plutonic olivines record the compositional characteristics and physicochemical conditions of the parental magmas. Thus, they have significant potential for use as petrogenetic discriminators of the olivine formation environment and prospecting indicators for potential host rocks of magmatic sulfide deposits. Several data visualization approaches have been proposed by researchers to determine olivine origins. However, they can only discriminate specific olivine populations and require the incorporation of trace elements for which data are lacking globally. In this study, a machine-learning method consisting of the random forest algorithm and the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) is used to discriminate the crystallization environments of olivine and predict the sulfide potential of olivine-bearing mafic-ultramafic intrusions. We employ a global data set of 24 341 olivine samples from 12 environments to determine the contents of MgO, FeO, Ni, Ca, Mn, and Cr and the Fo number [100 × Mg/(Mg+Fe)]. The results indicate that the proposed method can classify olivine into genetically distinct populations and distinguish olivine derived from mineralized intrusions from that derived from sulfide-barren intrusions with high accuracies (higher than 99% on average). We develop a dimensionality reduction algorithm to visualize the olivine classifications using low-dimensional vectors and an olivine classifier (accessible at http://101.33.204.62:8080/olivine%5fweb/main.html China University of Geosciences, Beijing). The model is used successfully to identify the contributions of distinct sources to regional magmatism using olivines from the late Permian picrite and basalt along the western margin of the Yangtze block (SW China) and to predict the sulfide potential of the newly discovered Qixin mafic-ultramafic complex in the southern Central Asian Orogenic Belt (NW China). The findings suggest that the proposed approach enables the accurate identification of olivine origins in diferent formation environments and is a reliable indicator suitable for global Ni-Cu-platinum group element (PGE) exploration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

China, as the world's biggest soybean importer and fourth-largest producer, needs accurate mapping of its planting areas for global food supply stability. The challenge lies in gathering and collating ground survey data for different crops. We proposed a spatiotemporal migration method leveraging vegetation indices' temporal characteristics. This method uses a feature space of six integrals from the crops' phenological curves and a concavity-convexity index to distinguish soybean and non-soybean samples in cropland. Using a limited number of actual samples and our method, we extracted features from optical time-series images throughout the soybean growing season. The cloud and rain-affected data were supplemented with SAR data. We then used the random forest algorithm for classification. Consequently, we developed the 10-meter resolution ChinaSoybean10 maps for the ten primary soybean-producing provinces from 2019 to 2022. The map showed an overall accuracy of about 93%, aligning significantly with the statistical yearbook data, confirming its reliability. This research aids soybean growth monitoring, yield estimation, strategy development, resource management, and food scarcity mitigation, and promotes sustainable agriculture. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Human activity and climate change are degrading the environmentally fragile Loess Plateau in dry and semiarid regions. Land deterioration threatens human and ecological existence. To prevent additional land degradation and ensure the ecological development and quality of arable land in the region, China launched "Grain for Green" in the late 1990s. This effort greatly boosted Loess Plateau vegetation. However, land degradation is complex, and so we must also examine natural and social variables to prevent additional degradation. Thus, this study presents a comprehensive index system to quantify land degradation on the Loess Plateau and uses machine learning to anticipate high‐risk locations. The project improved land degradation, and the spatial distribution of degradation risk is high in the northern and low in the eastern and southern regions of the Plateau. Gross Domestic Product and population density are the main drivers of land degradation. Industrialization and urbanization have raised the risk of land degradation, which now accounts for 1%–2% of the area. This study emphasizes sustainable land management in the Loess Plateau, a critical area for sustainable development in China. The integrated assessment indicator system and random forest modeling machine learning help grasp the current status and future preventive measures. The outcome of this study advances the Loess Plateau land degradation research and sustainable land management. The research findings possess significant scientific reference value in terms of mitigating and managing land degradation in environmentally vulnerable regions worldwide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The fine dead fuel load on forest floors is the most critical classification feature in fuel description systems, affecting several parameters in the manifestation of wildland fires. An accurate determination of this fine dead fuel load contributes substantially to effective wildland fire prevention, monitoring, and suppression. This study investigated the viability of incorporating image Euler numbers into predictive models of fine dead fuel load via the taking photos method. Pinus massoniana needles and Quercus fabri broad leaves—typical fuel types in karst areas—served as the research subjects. Accurate field data were collected in the Tianhe Mountain forests, China, while artificial fine dead fuelbeds of differing loads were constructed in the laboratory. Images of the artificial fuelbeds were captured and uniformly digitized according to various conversion thresholds. Thereafter, the Euler numbers were extracted, their relationship with fuel load was analyzed, and this relationship was applied to generate three load-prediction models based on stepwise regression, nonlinear fitting, and random forest algorithms. The Euler number had a significant relationship with both P. massoniana and Q. fabri fuel loads. At low conversion thresholds, the Euler number was negatively correlated with fuel load, whereas a positive correlation was recorded when this threshold exceeded a certain value. The random forest model showed the best prediction performance, with mean relative errors of 9.35% and 14.54% for P. massoniana and Q. fabri, respectively. The nonlinear fitting model displayed the next best performance, while the stepwise regression model exhibited the largest error, which was significantly different from that of the random forest model. This study is the first to propose the use of image features to predict the fine fuel load on a surface. The results are more objective, accurate, and time-saving than current fuel load estimates, benefiting fuel load research and the scientific management of wildland fires. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cold chain logistics are crucial for reducing agricultural product loss, yet the environmental impact of energy and packaging consumption, among others, demands attention, making the search for eco-friendly development modes essential. Based on data from 30 provinces in China from 2015 to 2021, this study analyzes the basic correlation between the development of cold chain logistics of fresh agricultural products (CCLFAP) and the ecological environment (EE) by using a random forest regression model in comparison with the XGBoost model. Correlation heatmaps were used to analyze the relationships between the cold chain logistics of fresh agricultural products and various factors of the ecological environment. The generalized additive model was then used to establish the connection between cold chain logistics and the ecological environment, identifying significant factors impacting EE. The results demonstrate that a higher development level of cold chain logistics corresponds to a better development trend of EE. The economic efficiency and technical aspects of cold chain logistics for fresh agricultural products are closely related to ecological pressures and responses. The number of employees in the logistics industry, the trading volume of fresh agricultural products, the number of refrigerated vehicles, and the capacity of the cold room have significant positive correlations with the ecological environment, while the per capita consumption of fresh agricultural products, the number of cold chain logistics patent applications, and the road density had significant negative correlations with the ecological environment. The effects of the number of cold chain logistics enterprises and the freight turnover of agricultural products transported by the cold chain on the ecological environment fluctuated. These findings contribute to reducing climate and environmental emergencies throughout the life cycle, offering sustainable development solutions for the fresh agricultural product cold chain logistics industry. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Line loss refers to the electrical energy that is dissipated as heat during the transmission and distribution of electricity through power lines. However, unusual causes, such as grid topology mismatch and communication failure, can cause abnormal line loss. Efficient abnormal line loss detection contributes not only to minimizing energy wastage and reducing carbon emissions but also to maintaining the stability and reliability of the entire distribution network. In actual situations, the cause of abnormal line loss is not labeled due to the expensive labor cost. This paper proposes a hierarchical abnormal line loss identification and category classification model, considering the unlabeled and unbalanced sample problem. First, an abnormal line loss identification model-based random forest is established to detect whether the line loss is abnormal. Then, an abnormal line loss category classification model is developed with semi-supervised learning for line loss abnormal category classification, considering the unlabeled samples. The real dataset in China is utilized to validate the performance of the proposed model. Its reliability implies the potential to be applied to real-world scenarios to improve the management level and safety of the power grid. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Clarifying the spatio-temporal patterns of ecosystem services trade-off/synergy relationships (ESTSs) and their attribution in the Yellow River Basin is crucial to constructing ecological civilization in China. This study first analyzed the spatio-temporal change of ecosystem services (ESs) including the water yield, soil conservation, carbon sequestration, and habitat quality in the Yellow River Basin during 2000–2020 based on the InVEST and RUSLE models. Then, the spatial autocorrelation methods were used to quantify the spatio-temporal differentiation of ESTSs, and the Geo-detector method was employed to identify the contributions of driving factors associated with the natural, social-economic, and regional policy aspects of the ESTSs. Finally, the random forest and analysis of variance methods were used to validate the reasonability of major driving factors obtained by the Geo-detector. The main findings include: (1) In 2000–2020, water yield, soil conservation, and habitat quality increased, and carbon sequestration decreased. The ESs had a spatial pattern of high in the east and low in the west. (2) Overall, there were synergistic relationships between the four Ess. In the spatial distribution of ESTSs, the expansion of the synergy zone and trade-off zone occupied the majority. The synergy zones tended to be concentrated in the northwest and southeast of the study area. In contrast, the trade-off zones were more scattered than the synergy zone, mainly focused on the east-central and southwestern parts of the Yellow River Basin. (3) Geo-detector and random forest both showed that natural factors had a strong explanatory power on ESTSs, in which NDVI is a key driver. Both the results of Geo-detector and the analysis of variance showed that the interactions between natural factors exerted the most significant influence on ESTSs, followed by the interaction between natural factors and socio-economic factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Considering the spatial and temporal effects of atmospheric pollutants, using the geographically and temporally weighted regression and geo-intelligent random forest (GTWR-GeoiRF) model and Sentinel-5P satellite remote sensing data, combined with meteorological, emission inventory, site observation, population, elevation, and other data, the high-precision ozone concentration and its spatiotemporal distribution near the ground in China from March 2020 to February 2021 were estimated. On this basis, the pollution status, near-surface ozone concentration, and population exposure risk were analyzed. The findings demonstrate that the estimation outcomes of the GTWR-GeoiRF model have high precision, and the precision of the estimation results is higher compared with that of the non-hybrid model. The downscaling method enhances estimation results to some extent while addressing the issue of limited spatial resolution in some data. China's near-surface ozone concentration distribution in space shows obvious regional and seasonal characteristics. The eastern region has the highest ozone concentrations and the lowest in the northeastern region, and the wintertime low is higher than the summertime high. There are significant differences in ozone population exposure risks, with the highest exposure risks being found in China's eastern region, with population exposure risks mostly ranging from 0.8 to 5. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Optimizing production–living–ecological space (PLES) can benefit territorial space planning and sustainable development in China. Thus, spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influence factor analyses are vital. Laiwu, China, was selected as the study area due to its complex terrain and development history. A multitemporal land-use and land-cover classification extracted from Landsat remote-sensing images for 2001–2018 and the self-organizing map method were combined to identify the area's multitemporal PLES. The PLES evolution trajectories were extracted based on the multitemporal PLES. The main factors influencing the PLES spatiotemporal evolution differences were revealed using the random-forest-based factor importance evaluation method. The results showed that changes in the PLES trajectories occupied ∼ 18% of the study area. The ecological space recovery type was mainly observed in previously stable ecological space areas. Changes in the production space expansion (PSE) and living space expansion were mainly agglomerated in the fringe areas of previously stable production–ecological and living space lands. Distance from early built-up areas was the main factor influencing PLES expansion. Ecological space was mainly distributed far away from built-up areas, and living and production spaces were mainly distributed near the built-up areas. Additionally, the slope of the terrain affected the spatial distribution of PLES expansion to a certain extent, and the gross domestic product clearly affected the distribution of PSE. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Although there is growing demand for hospice care in China due to its aging population and increasing cancer rates, the sector remains slow to expand. Oncology nurses are the primary providers of hospice care, but little is known about their behaviors towards hospice care and related factors. Methods: This cross-sectional study conveniently sampled 933 oncology nurses from six grade A tertiary hospitals in Hubei Province between January to March 2022. The questionnaire was composed of seven parts: general information (including sociodemographic and work-related information), hospice care behaviors, hospice care knowledge, hospice care attitudes, hospice care self-efficacy, hospice care outcome expectancy, and hospice care environment. Data were analyzed using descriptive analysis, independent sample t-tests, one-way ANOVA, Pearson's correlation, multiple linear regression, random forest regression, and BP neural network model analysis. Results: A total of 852 questionnaires were valid. The mean score of hospice care behaviors was 50.47 ± 10.56, with a mean item score of 3.61 ± 0.75. The three highest scoring behaviors were "pain assessment of patients (4.21 ± 0.91)", "satisfying the physical and mental needs of dying patients (4.04 ± 0.92)", and "creating good relationships between the medical staff and family members (4.02 ± 0.87)". The two lowest-scoring behaviors were "proactively recommending medical institutions for hospice care to terminally ill patients and their families (2.55 ± 1.10)" and "proactively talking to patients and families about death-related topics for patients who are critically ill and cannot be reversed (2.87 ± 1.03)." Multiple linear regression, random forest regression, and BP neural network models all showed that the frequency of sharing hospice care experiences with colleagues, hospice care attitudes, hospice care self-efficacy, and hospice care environments were positively associated with hospice care behaviors. Conclusions: The frequency of hospice care behaviors among Chinese oncology nurses is generally at a moderate to high level. The results provide a basis for promoting hospice care behaviors among oncology nurses in order to improve the quality of life for terminally ill cancer patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Improved agricultural production systems, together with increased grain yield, are essential to feed the growing global population in the 21st century. Global gridded crop models (GGCMs) have been extensively used to assess crop production and yield simulation on a large geographical scale. However, GGCMs are less effective when they are used on a finer scale, significantly limiting the precision in capturing the yearly maize yield. To address this issue, we propose a relatively more advanced approach that downsizes GGCMs by combining machine learning and crop modeling to enhance the accuracy of maize yield simulations on a regional scale. In this study, we combined the random forest algorithm with multiple data sources, trained the algorithm on low-resolution maize yield simulations from GGCMs, and applied it to a finer spatial resolution on a regional scale in China. We evaluated the performance of the eight GGCMs by utilizing a total of 1046 county-level maize yield data available over a 30-year period (1980–2010). Our findings reveal that the downscaled models created for maize yield simulations exhibited a remarkable level of accuracy (R2 ≥ 0.9, MAE < 0.5 t/ha, RMSE < 0.75 t/ha). The original GGCMs performed poorly in simulating county-level maize yields in China, and the improved GGCMs in our study captured an additional 17% variability in the county-level maize yields in China. Additionally, by optimizing nitrogen management strategies, we identified an average maize yield gap at the county level in China ranging from 0.47 to 1.82 t/ha, with the south maize region exhibiting the highest yield gap. Our study demonstrates the high effectiveness of machine learning methods for the spatial downscaling of crop models, significantly improving GGCMs' performance in county-level maize yield simulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Since the early 1950s, the development of human settlements and over-exploitation of agriculture in the China side of the Amur River Basin (CARB) have had a major impact on the water environment of the surrounding lakes, resulting in a decrease of aquatic vegetation. According to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, a comprehensive understanding of the extent and variability of aquatic vegetation is crucial for preserving the structure and functionality of stable aquatic ecosystems. Currently, there is a deficiency in the CARB long-sequence dataset of aquatic vegetation distribution in China. This shortage hampers effective support for actual management. Therefore, the development of a fast, robust, and automatic method for accurate extraction of aquatic vegetation becomes crucial for large-scale applications. Our objective is to gather information on the spatial and temporal distribution as well as changes in aquatic vegetation within the CARB. Utilizing a hybrid approach that combines the maximum spectral index composite and Otsu algorithm, along with the integration of convolutional neural networks (CNN) and random forest, we applied this methodology to obtain an annual dataset of aquatic vegetation spanning from 1985 to 2020 using Landsat series imagery. The accuracy of this method was validated through both field investigations and Google Images. Upon assessing the confusion matrix spanning from 1985 to 2020, the producer accuracy for aquatic vegetation classification consistently exceeded 87%. Further quantitative analysis unveiled a discernible decreasing trend in both the water and vegetation areas of lakes larger than 20 km2 within the CARB over the past 36 years. Specifically, the total water area decreased from 3575 km2 to 3412 km2, while the vegetation area decreased from 745 km2 to 687 km2. These changes may be attributed to a combination of climate change and human activities. These quantitative data hold significant practical implications for establishing a scientific restoration path for lake aquatic vegetation. They are particularly valuable for constructing the historical background and reference indices of aquatic vegetation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study investigates the application of hyperspectral image space–spectral fusion technology in lithologic classification, using data from China's GF-5 and Europe's Sentinel-2A. The research focuses on the southern region of Tuanjie Peak in the Western Kunlun Range, comparing five space–spectral fusion methods: GSA, SFIM, CNMF, HySure, and NonRegSRNet. To comprehensively evaluate the effectiveness and applicability of these fusion methods, the study conducts a comprehensive assessment from three aspects: evaluation of fusion effects, lithologic classification experiments, and field validation. In the evaluation of fusion effects, the study uses an index analysis and comparison of spectral curves before and after fusion, concluding that the GSA fusion method performs the best. For lithologic classification, the Random Forest (RF) classification method is used, training with both area and point samples. The classification results from area sample training show significantly higher overall accuracy compared to point samples, aligning well with 1:50,000 scale geological maps. In field validation, the study employs on-site verification combined with microscopic identification and comparison of images with actual spectral fusion, finding that the classification results for the five lithologies are essentially consistent with field validation results. The "GSA+RF" method combination established in this paper, based on data from GF-5 and Sentinel-2A satellites, can provide technical support for lithological classification in similar high-altitude regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

China has undergone rapid urbanization and internal migration in past years and its up-to-date gridded population datasets are essential for diverse applications. Existing datasets for China, however, suffer from either outdatedness or failure to incorporate the latest seventh national population census data conducted in 2020. In this study, we develop a novel population downscaling approach that leverages stacking ensemble learning and geospatial big data to produce up-to-date population grids at a 100-m resolution for China from the seventh census data at both county and town levels. The proposed approach employs random forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM as base models for stacking ensemble learning and delineates the inhabited areas from geospatial big data to enhance the gridded population estimation. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach exhibits the best fit performance compared to individual base models. Meanwhile, the out-ofsample town-level test set indicates that the estimated gridded population dataset (R2=0.8936) is more accurate than existing WorldPop (R2=0.7427) and LandScan (R2=0.7165) products for China in 2020. Furthermore, with the inhabited areas enhancement, the spatial distribution of population grids is more reasonable intuitively than the two existing products. Hence, the proposed population downscaling approach provides a valuable option for producing gridded population datasets. The estimated 100-m gridded population dataset of China holds great significance for future applications and it is publicly available at https://figshare.com/s/d9dd5f9bb1a7f4fd3734 (Chen et al., 2024). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Of the 12 wild felid species found in China, Asiatic golden cat (Catopuma temminckii) is one of the least studied species. This medium‐sized cat with a prominently polymorphic coat was once distributed across much of southern China, but is believed to have experienced severe decline and range contraction during the past decades, primarily due to anthropogenic pressures. A lack of knowledge of its current distribution, ecology, and natural history has greatly hindered the implementation of conservation and management actions for this species. In this study, for the first time, we compiled the state‐wide occurrence records (N = 409), mainly from the camera‐trapping surveys, of Asiatic golden cats from 2008 to 2019, and predicted its distribution across the country through species distribution modeling using random forest algorithm. The results showed that the predicted habitats were mainly located in southwest China and suggested a rather low probability of possible current distribution across its vast historic range in central, eastern, and southern China. We divided its current range into four geographic regions (i.e., Qinling Mountains, Hengduan Mountains, East Himalayas, and southern Yunnan region) and considered the cats in each region as a regional population within the country. From the 287 camera‐trapping detections with photographs and/or videos collected across all populations, we identified six coat morphs and determined their occurrence percentages: common golden (47.4%), spotted (20.9%), red (13.6%), dark cinnamon (10.1%), melanistic (7.0%), and gray (1.0%). The complexity of coat morph composition within regional populations showed an increasing gradient from northeast to southwest. Among the four regional populations, the East Himalayas hosted the highest abundance and coat variation with all six morphs recorded. Our study results update the current distribution and coat morphology variations of this elusive cat in China and provide important knowledge to guide future research and conservation planning for this threatened species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Sandstone-hosted uranium deposits are indeed significant sources of uranium resources globally. They are typically found in sedimentary basins and have been extensively explored and exploited in various countries. They play a significant role in meeting global uranium demand and are considered important resources for nuclear energy production. Erlian Basin, as one of the sedimentary basins in northern China, is known for its uranium mineralization hosted within sandstone formations. In this research, machine learning (ML) methodology was applied to mineral prospectivity mapping (MPM) of the metallogenic zone in the Manite depression of the Erlian Basin. An ML model of 92% accuracy was implemented with the random forest algorithm. Additionally, the confusion matrix and receiver operating characteristic curve were used as model evaluation indicators. Furthermore, the model explainability research with post hoc interpretability algorithms bridged the gap between complex opaque (black-box) models and geological cognition, enabling the effective and responsible use of AI technologies. The MPM results shown in QGIS provided vivid geological insights for ML-based metallogenic prediction. With the favorable prospective targets delineated, geologists can make decisions for further uranium exploration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent years, the influence of extreme weather patterns has led to an alarming increase in the frequency and severity of sub-surface forest fires in boreal forests. The Ledum palustre-Larix gmelinii forests of the Daxing'an Mountains of China have emerged as a hotspot for sub-surface fires, and terrain slope has been recognized as a pivotal factor shaping forest fire behavior. The present study was conducted to (1) study the effect of terrain slope on the smoldering temperature and spread rate using simulated smoldering experiments and (2) establish occurrence probability prediction model of the sub-surface fires' smoldering with different slopes based on the random forest model. The results showed that all the temperatures with different slopes were high, and the highest temperature was 947.91 °C. The spread rates in the horizontal direction were higher than those in the vertical direction, and the difference increased as the slope increased. The influence of slope on the peak temperature was greater than that of spread rate. The peak temperature was extremely positively correlated with the slope, horizontal distance and vertical depth. The spread rate was extremely positively correlated with the slope. The spread rate in the vertical direction was strongly positively correlated with the depth, but was strongly negatively correlated with the horizontal distance; the horizontal spread rate was opposite. The prediction equations for smoldering peak temperature and spread rate were established based on slope, horizontal distance, and vertical depth, and the model had a good fit (p < 0.01). Using random forest model, we established the occurrence prediction models for different slopes based on horizontal distance, vertical depth, and combustion time. The models had a good fit (AUC > 0.9) and high prediction accuracy (accuracy > 80%). The study proved the effect of slope on the characteristics of sub-surface fire smoldering, explained the variation in peak temperature and spread rate between different slopes, and established the occurrence prediction model based on the random forest model. The selected models had a good fit, and prediction accuracy met the requirement of the sub-surface fire prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Surface urban heat islands (SUHIs) can extend beyond the urban boundaries and greatly affect the thermal environment of continuous regions over an agglomeration. Traditional urban-rural dichotomy depending on the built-up and non-urban lands is challenged in characterizing regional SUHIs, such as how to accurately quantify the intensity, spatial pattern, and scales of SUHIs, which are vulnerable to SUHIs, and what the optimal scale for conducting measures to mitigate the SUHIs. We propose a machine-learning-assisted solution to address these problems based on the thermal similarity in the Yangtze River Delta of China. We first identified the regional-level SUHI zone of approximately 42,328 km2 and 38,884 km2 and the areas that have no SUHI effects from the annual cycle of land surface temperatures (LSTs) retrieved from Terra and Aqua satellites. Defining SUHI as an anomaly on background condition, random forest (RF) models were further adopted to fit the LSTs in the areas without the SUHI effects and estimate the LST background and SUHI intensity at each grid point in the SUHI zone. The RF models performed well in fitting rural LSTs with a simulation error of approximately 0.31 °C/0.44 °C for Terra/Aqua satellite data and showed a good generalization ability in estimating the urban LST background. The RF-estimated daytime Aqua/SUHI intensity peaked at approximately 6.20 °C in August, and the Terra/SUHI intensity had two peaks of approximately 3.18 and 3.81 °C in May and August, with summertime RF-estimated SUHIs being more reliable than other SUHI types owing to the smaller simulation error of less than 1.0 °C in July–September. This machine-learning-assisted solution identified an optimal SUHI scale of 30,636 km2 and a zone of approximately 23,631 km2 that is vulnerable to SUHIs, and it provided the SUHI intensity and statistical reliability for each grid point identified as being part of the SUHI. Urban planners and decision-makers can focus on the statistically reliable RF-estimated summertime intensities in SUHI zones that have an LST annual cycle similar to that of large cities in developing effective strategies for mitigating adverse SUHI effects. In addition, the selection of large cities might strongly affect the accuracy of identifying the SUHI zone, which is defined as the areas that have an LST annual cycle similar to large cities. Water bodies might reduce the RF performance in estimating the LST background over urban agglomerations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Long-term exposure to high concentrations of fine particles can cause irreversible damage to people's health. Therefore, it is of extreme significance to conduct large-scale continuous spatial fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration prediction for air pollution prevention and control in China. The distribution of PM2.5 ground monitoring stations in China is uneven with a larger number of stations in southeastern China, while the number of ground monitoring sites is also insufficient for air quality control. Remote sensing technology can obtain information quickly and macroscopically. Therefore, it is possible to predict PM2.5 concentration based on multi-source remote sensing data. Our study took China as the research area, using the Pearson correlation coefficient and GeoDetector to select auxiliary variables. In addition, a long short-term memory neural network and random forest regression model were established for PM2.5 concentration estimation. We finally selected the random forest regression model (R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 4.59 μg m−3) as our prediction model by the model evaluation index. The PM2.5 concentration distribution across China in 2021 was estimated, and then the influence factors of high-value regions were explored. It is clear that PM2.5 concentration is not only related to the local geographical and meteorological conditions, but also closely related to economic and social development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Concurrent pollution of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone has been increasingly reported in China recently. Here, we further confirm widespread co‐occurring summertime PM2.5‐ozone extremes in southern China. Annual‐average frequency of co‐occurrence is above 50% from 2015 to 2022, especially in Pearl River Delta region (72 ± 12%). The spatial extent (city numbers) and temporal persistence (co‐occurrence days) for cities with co‐occurrence frequency >50% increase at a rate of two cities/year and 14 days/year, respectively. We further identify typical synoptic conditions (e.g., typhoon periphery circulation, West Pacific subtropical high) conducive to widespread co‐occurrence. Through combining multi‐source data, Random Forest model well predicts PM2.5‐ozone co‐occurrence and identifies common precursors (e.g., volatile organic compounds) as important variables. Finally, we postulate co‐occurrence is linked to synoptic conditions and secondary generation of PM2.5‐ozone from shared precursors. Our results suggest high potentials for co‐occurring PM2.5‐ozone extremes in southern China and control strategies on common precursors to mitigate concurrent pollution. Plain Language Summary: In recent years, fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone pollution have been increasingly reported to co‐occur in many regions of China. In this study, we further report widespread co‐occurrence of PM2.5‐ozone extremes in the summer of southern China and explain the possible underlying reasons. The annual‐average co‐occurrence is observed with a frequency above 50% from 2015 to 2022, especially in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) region (72 ± 12%). The spatial range and temporal duration for the cities with co‐occurrence frequency above 50% increase annually in southern China. Based on a case study of consecutive co‐occurrence episodes, we find typical weather conditions (e.g., typhoon periphery, West Pacific subtropical high) are along with the widespread co‐occurrence. Then, we combine multi‐source data in the PRD region and apply Random Forest model to predict the co‐occurrence of PM2.5‐ozone extremes and identify common precursors (e.g., volatile organic compounds) as important factors. Finally, we infer the co‐occurring extremes are associated with typical weather conditions and shared precursors of PM2.5 and ozone. Our results not only imply high potentials for co‐occurring PM2.5‐ozone extremes in southern China but also suggest control strategies on shared precursors to tackle concurrent pollution. Key Points: There is a high potential (frequency >50%) for co‐occurring extremes of summertime PM2.5 and ozone in southern China from 2015 to 2022Typhoon periphery circulation is conducive to the co‐occurrence of summertime PM2.5 and ozone extremes in southern ChinaRandom Forest model well predicts co‐occurring extremes and reveals shared precursors as important variables in the Pearl River Delta region [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Elevated levels of executive function and physical fitness play a pivotal role in shaping future quality of life. However, few studies have examined the collaborative influences of physical and mental health on academic achievement. This study aims to investigate the key factors that collaboratively influence primary school students' academic achievement from executive function, physical fitness, and demographic factors. Additionally, ensemble learning methods are employed to predict academic achievement, and their predictive performance is compared with individual learners. Methods: A cluster sampling method was utilized to select 353 primary school students from Huai'an, China, who underwent assessments for executive function, physical fitness, and academic achievement. The recursive feature elimination cross-validation method was employed to identify key factors that collaboratively influence academic achievement. Ensemble learning models, utilizing eXtreme Gradient Boosting and Random Forest algorithms, were constructed based on Bagging and Boosting methods. Individual learners were developed using Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree, Logistic Regression, and Linear Discriminant Analysis algorithms, followed by the establishment of a Stacking ensemble learning model. Results: Our findings revealed that sex, body mass index, muscle strength, cardiorespiratory function, inhibition, working memory, and shifting were key factors influencing the academic achievement of primary school students. Moreover, ensemble learning models demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to individual learners in predicting academic achievement among primary school students. Conclusions: Our results suggest that recognizing sex differences and emphasizing the simultaneous development of cognition and physical well-being can positively impact the academic development of primary school students. Ensemble learning methods warrant further attention, as they enable the establishment of an accurate academic early warning system for primary school students. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Benggang is a type of erosion landform that commonly occurs in the southern regions of China, posing significant threats to local farmland and human safety. Object-based classification (OBC) can be applied with high-resolution (HR) remote sensing images for detecting Benggang areas on a large spatial scale, offering essential data for aiding in the remediation efforts for these areas. Nevertheless, traditional image segmentation methods may face challenges in accurately delineating Benggang areas. Consequently, the extraction of spatial and textural features from these areas can be susceptible to inaccuracies, potentially compromising the detection accuracy of Benggang areas. To address this issue, this study proposed a novel approach that integrates Segment Anything Model (SAM) and OBC for Benggang detection. The SAM was used to segment HR remote sensing imagery to delineate the boundaries of Benggang areas. After that, the OBC was employed to identify Benggang areas based on spectral, geometrical, and textural features. In comparison to traditional pixel-based classification using the random forest classifier (RFC-PBC) and OBC based on the multi-resolution segmentation (MRS-OBC), the proposed SAM-OBC exhibited superior performance, achieving a detection accuracy of 85.46%, a false alarm rate of 2.19%, and an overall accuracy of 96.48%. The feature importance analysis conducted with random forests highlighted the GLDV Entropy, GLDV Angular Second Moment (ASM), and GLCM ASM as the most pivotal features for the identification of Benggang areas. Due to its inability to extract and utilize these textural features, the PBC yielded suboptimal results compared to both the SAM-OBC and MRS-OBC. In contrast to the MRS, the SAM demonstrated superior capabilities in the precise delineation of Benggang areas, ensuring the extraction of accurate textural and spatial features. As a result, the SAM-OBC significantly enhanced detection accuracy by 34.12% and reduced the false alarm rate by 2.06% compared to the MRS-OBC. The results indicate that the SAM-OBC performs well in Benggang detection, holding significant implications for the monitoring and remediation of Benggang areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Software effort estimation has constituted a significant research theme in recent years. The more important provocation for project managers concerns reaching their targets within the fixed time boundary. Machine learning strategies can lead software management to an entire novel stage. The purpose of this research work is to compare an optimized long short-term memory neural network, based on particle swarm optimization, with six machine learning methods used to predict software development effort: K-nearest neighbours, decision tree, random forest, gradient boosted tree, multilayer perceptron, and long short-term memory. The process of effort estimation uses five datasets: China and Desharnais, for which outputs are expressed in person-hours; and Albrecht, Kemerer, and Cocomo81, for which outputs are measured in person-months. To compare the accuracy of these intelligent methods four metrics were used: mean absolute error, median absolute error, root mean square error, and coefficient of determination. For all five datasets, based on metric values, it was concluded that the proposed optimized long short-term memory intelligent method predicts more accurately the effort required to develop a software product. Python 3.8.12 programming language was used in conjunction with the TensorFlow 2.10.0, Keras 2.10.0, and SKlearn 1.0.1 to implement these machine learning methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Forest fire risk prediction is essential for building a forest fire defense system. Ensemble learning methods can avoid the problem of difficult model selection for disaster susceptibility prediction and can significantly improve modeling accuracy. This study introduces a stacking ensemble learning model for predicting forest fire risks in Yunnan Province by integrating various data types, such as meteorological, topographic, vegetation, and human activity factors. A total of 70,274 fire points and an equal number of randomly selected nonfire points were used to develop the model, with 70% of the data allocated for training and the remaining 30% for testing. The stacking model combined four diverse machine learning methods: random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), and multilayer perceptron (MLP). We evaluated the model's predictive performance using metrics like accuracy, area under the characteristic curve (AUC), and fire density (FD). The results demonstrated that the stacking fusion model exhibited remarkable accuracy with an AUC of 0.970 on the test set, significantly surpassing the performance of individual machine learning models, which had AUC values ranging from 0.935 to 0.953. Furthermore, the stacking fusion model effectively captured the maximum fire density in extremely high susceptibility areas, demonstrating enhanced generalization capabilities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Quickly and accurately obtaining information on rice planting areas is crucial for maintaining food security and social stability. Based on the time series of Sentinel-1A images, this study proposes an automatic rice mapping method called the Dynamic Threshold Time-Weighted Dynamic Time Warping method (DT-TWDTW). This method consists of two parts. First, rice samples are extracted automatically by a dynamic threshold method based on the unique flooding signal before and after rice transplanting. Then, the Time-Weighted Dynamic Time Warping (TWDTW) method is used for rice mapping based on the cumulative cost matrix between unknown pixels and rice samples. The results show that the DT-TWDTW method can achieve satisfactory mapping accuracy with an overall accuracy of 94.6%, higher than random forest (89.9%), and support vector machine (91.7%). This study provides a new approach and perspective for remote sensing monitoring of rice, especially for some regions without prior phenological knowledge and collection of the rice samples. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Identifying the current pollution status, future trends, and driving factors is a crucial prerequisite for protecting and managing soil environmental quality in light of the challenging soil heavy metal pollution situation. In this study, a typical industrial city in southeast China was selected as the study area. The environmental capacity of 12 heavy metals was first measured for the evaluation of soil heavy metal pollution, and then spatiotemporal change was simulated using indicator Kriging to warn the pollution risk. Finally, the driving factors of heavy metal pollution were analyzed using random forest and geographical detectors. The results revealed that the average environmental capacity index was 0.768, at a medium capacity level. The environmental capacity of each heavy metal showed a decreasing trend from 2016 to 2035. In 2035, the dynamic environmental capacity of each heavy metal element will have decreased by more than 75% if no preventative and remedial measures are taken. The distance from rivers, fine particulate matter, organic matter content, population density, and distance from industrial enterprises were the main factors contributing to heavy metal pollution in soil. The interaction effect of two environmental factors will mostly lead to the intensification of pollution. Based on the results, this study discussed strategies for controlling and remediating the polluted land. These findings could support the source investigation and early warning of soil heavy metal pollution, which are crucial to manag soil pollution and alleviating environmental quality issues. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Landslides are common natural disasters that cause serious damage to ecosystems and human societies. To effectively prevent and mitigate these disasters, an accurate assessment of landslide hazards is necessary. However, most traditional landslide hazard assessment methods rely on static assessment factors while ignoring the dynamic changes in landslides, which may lead to false-positive errors in the assessment results. This paper presents a novel landslide hazard assessment method for the Zagunao River basin, China. In this study, an updated landslide inventory was obtained for the Zagunao River basin using data from interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) and optical images. Based on this inventory, a landslide susceptibility map was developed using a random forest algorithm. Finally, an evaluation matrix was created by combining the results of deformation rates from both ascending and descending data to establish a hazard level that considers surface deformation. The method presented in this study can reflect recent landslide hazards in the region and produce dynamic assessments of regional landslide hazards. It provides a basis for the government to identify and manage high-risk areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]