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Background: The OnceMix and INITIATE studies have indicated that biphasic insulin aspart 30 (BIAsp 30) is more effective than insulin glargine (IGlarg), in terms of glycohemoglobin reductions, in patients with type 2 diabetes initiating insulin therapy. The cost-effectiveness of BIAsp 30 versus IGlarg in the Chinese setting is estimated here., Methods: The validated and peer-reviewed CORE Diabetes Model was used. The nephropathy, retinopathy, and stroke submodels were modified to incorporate available Chinese clinical data. Diabetes complication costs were derived from hospital surveys in Beijing and Chengdu. Simulated cohorts and insulin treatment effects were based on the OnceMix study for once-daily BIAsp 30 versus IGlarg and on the INITIATE study for twice-daily BIAsp 30 versus IGlarg. Life expectancy and direct medical costs were calculated. Projections were made over 30-year time horizons, with costs and life years discounted at 3% annually. Extensive sensitivity analyses were performed, including adjustments to cardiovascular risk for Chinese ethnicity., Results: Once-daily BIAsp 30 increased life expectancy by 0.04 years (12.37 vs. 12.33 years) and reduced direct medical costs by Chinese Yuan (CNY) 59,710 per patient (CNY 229,911 vs. CNY 289,621 per patient) compared with IGlarg in the OnceMix-based analysis. Twice-daily BIAsp 30 increased life expectancy by 0.08 years (12.99 vs. 12.91 years) and reduced direct medical costs by CNY 107,349 per patient (CNY 303,142 vs. CNY 410,491 per patient) compared with IGlarg in the INITIATE-based analysis. Improvements in life expectancy were driven by reduced incidences of most diabetes-related complications. Cost savings were attributable to lower lifetime insulin costs for BIAsp 30 compared with IGlarg in China. Lowered cardiovascular risk for Chinese ethnicity reduced the projected clinical improvements for BIAsp 30 but increased treatment-related lifetime cost savings., Conclusions: BIAsp 30, either once- or twice-daily, improved projected life expectancy and reduced projected costs compared with IGlarg in the Chinese setting.

Introduction: Type 2 diabetes is an increasing problem in China, yet there is a paucity of data regarding the cost-effectiveness of pharmacological interventions in the Chinese setting., Methods: Previous data were obtained from PRESENT (Physicians' Routine Evaluation of Safety and Efficacy of NovoMix 30 Therapy), a multi-country, single-arm, observational study where type 2 diabetes patients poorly controlled with biphasic human insulin (BHI) were converted to biphasic insulin aspart 30 (BIAsp30); the Chinese subgroup experienced an improvement in HbA(1c) and a reduction in hypoglycaemic events. A published and validated computer simulation model of diabetes (the CORE Diabetes Model) was used to estimate the long-term clinical and cost consequences of switching to BIAsp30 from BHI in the Chinese setting. Treatment effects and patient characteristics were derived from PRESENT and country-specific published sources. Primary research was performed to ascertain patient management practices and diabetes-related complication costs. Risks of modelled complications were derived from landmark clinical trials and epidemiological studies. Costs and clinical projections were made over patient lifetimes from a third-party payer perspective and discounted at 3% annually. Extensive sensitivity analyses were performed., Results: Conversion to BIAsp30 from BHI was projected to improve discounted life expectancy by 0.38 years per patient (9.91 vs 9.53 years) and quality-adjusted life expectancy by 0.91 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per patient (6.32 vs 5.41 QALYs). Conversion to BIAsp30 was associated with increased direct medical costs of Chinese Yuan (CNY) 1751 per patient, due to higher pharmacy and management costs (CNY +19,007), offset by reduced diabetes-related complication costs (CNY -17,254) over patient lifetimes. BIAsp30 was associated with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of CNY 1926 per QALY gained., Conclusion: BIAsp30 was projected to substantially improve clinical outcomes but was associated with increased lifetime medical costs. BIAsp30 would be considered cost-effective in China given a willingness-to-pay threshold of CNY 100,000 per QALY gained in type 2 diabetes patients poorly controlled on BHI.