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Copyright of Canadian Water Resources Journal / Revue Canadienne des Ressources Hydriques is the property of Taylor & Francis Ltd and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Copyright of Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering is the property of Canadian Science Publishing and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Modelling of pavement performance deterioration is a critical engineering process in Pavement Management Systems. Most of the existing Airport Pavement Management Systems (APMS) employ limited surface distresses in their performance evaluation models. These systems may not serve the objectives of some agencies. It is essential for an effective APMS to include evaluation models that adequately address the specific needs of the agency. This paper presents the development of a unique pavement deterioration index, i.e., the Condition Rating Index, developed for 1 Canadian Air Division (1 CAD). This index is modelled to serve the specific needs of 1 CAD effectively. Performance prediction models for the various classes of pavements are developed based on Markov Chains. The prioritization methodology employed also reflects the needs of 1 CAD. Consequently, this paper investigates the quantification and prediction of Foreign Object Damage (FODp). The FODp Index is developed as well as defined. Prediction models for FODp are developed along with the establishment of critical states of the FODp Index. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]