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Copyright of Canadian Water Resources Journal / Revue Canadienne des Ressources Hydriques is the property of Taylor & Francis Ltd and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Copyright of Canadian Water Resources Journal / Revue Canadienne des Ressources Hydriques is the property of Taylor & Francis Ltd and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

ABSTRACT: Quantile estimates are generally interpreted in association with the return period concept in practical engineering. To do so with the peaks‐over‐threshold (POT) approach, combined Poisson‐generalized Pareto distributions (referred to as PD‐GPD model) must be considered. In this article, we evaluate the incorporation of non‐stationarity in the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) and the Poisson distribution (PD) using, respectively, the smoothing‐based B‐spline functions and the logarithmic link function. Two models are proposed, a stationary PD combined to a non‐stationary GPD (referred to as PD0‐GPD1) and a combined non‐stationary PD and GPD (referred to as PD1‐GPD1). The teleconnections between hydro‐climatological variables and a number of large‐scale climate patterns allow using these climate indices as covariates in the development of non‐stationary extreme value models. The case study is made with daily precipitation amount time series from southeastern Canada and two climatic covariates, the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the Pacific North American (PNA) indices. A comparison of PD0‐GPD1 and PD1‐GPD1 models showed that the incorporation of non‐stationarity in both POT models instead of solely in the GPD has an effect on the estimated quantiles. The use of the B‐spline function as link function between the GPD parameters and the considered climatic covariates provided flexible non‐stationary PD‐GPD models. Indeed, linear and nonlinear conditional quantiles are observed at various stations in the case study, opening an interesting perspective for further research on the physical mechanism behind these simple and complex interactions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent years, because the frequency and severity of floods have increased across Canada, it is important to understand the characteristics of Canadian heavy precipitation. Long-term precipitation data of 463 gauging stations of Canada were analyzed using non-stationary generalized extreme value distribution (GEV), Poisson distribution and generalized Pareto (GP) distribution. Time-varying covariates that represent large-scale climate patterns such as El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) and North Pacific Oscillation (NP) were incorporated to parameters of GEV, Poisson and GP distributions. Results show that GEV distributions tend to under-estimate annual maximum daily precipitation (AMP) of western and eastern coastal regions of Canada, compared to GP distributions. Poisson regressions show that temporal clusters of heavy precipitation events in Canada are related to large-scale climate patterns. By modeling AMP time series with non-stationary GEV and heavy precipitation with non-stationary GP distributions, it is evident that AMP and heavy precipitation of Canada show strong non-stationarities (abrupt and slowly varying changes) likely because of the influence of large-scale climate patterns. AMP in southwestern coastal regions, southern Canadian Prairies and the Great Lakes tend to be higher in El Niño than in La Niña years, while AMP of other regions of Canada tends to be lower in El Niño than in La Niña years. The influence of ENSO on heavy precipitation was spatially consistent but stronger than on AMP. The effect of PDO, NAO and NP on extreme precipitation is also statistically significant at some stations across Canada. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper focuses on analyzing the ice and wind conditions for a high voltage transmission line system going over mountainous terrain in British Columbia, Canada. After analyzing sixteen surrounding weather stations, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is performed for wind speed predictions, the Inverse Distance Weighted Interpolation method (IDW) is used for temperature estimations, and the K Nearest Neighbor Imputation (KNNI) is performed for precipitation rate on the unsampled site of interest. In-cloud icing is estimated using a simple empirical equation proposed by Makkonen & Ahti (1995), in addition to the ice accretion model proposed by Makkonen (2000). The weather data from the described procedure is compared with data from a Weather Research and Forecast model (WRF) reported in previous studies. The wind speed and ice accretion data are fitted to the Weibull and Generalized Pareto distributions, respectively, and five hundred years of data pairs are simulated in addition to the historical data based on those distributions. Finally, hazard contours are drawn, and the results are compared with the combined wind and ice values proposed in the National Standard of Canada (CSA-C22.3) for different reliability levels. • Provides weather analysis of 16 weather stations for a specific site of interest located in mountainous terrain. • Analyzes ice accretion on transmission lines. • Characterizes joint wind and ice hazard. • Provides a comparison with the standard CSA-C22.3 for three different hazard levels. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Campolieti (2020) modelled the number of members in different unions (union size) in different decades in Canada using the power-law, lognormal and stretched exponential distributions. Here, we show that the generalized Pareto distribution (which has the same number of parameters as the power-law, lognormal and stretched exponential distributions) can provide better fits for the data. • The generalized Pareto distribution provides better fits for the union size data. • Evidence of better fit given in terms of AIC, BIC and AICc. • Evidence of better fit given also in terms of the Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]