Search

Accurate modeling of snow depth (SD) processes is critical for understanding global energy balance changes, affecting climate change mitigation strategies. This study evaluates the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) model performance in simulating daily SD across Canada. We assess CMIP6 outputs against observed data, focusing on daily SD averages, snow cover durations, and rates of accumulation and depletion, alongside annual SD peaks for 11 major Canadian catchments. Our findings reveal that CMIP6 simulations generally overestimate daily SD by 57.7% and extend snow cover duration by 30.5 days on average. While three models (CESM2, UKESM1‐0‐LL and MIROC6) notably align with observed annual SD peaks, simulation biases suggest the need for enhanced model parameterization to accurately capture snow physics, particularly in regions with permanent snow cover and complex terrains. This analysis underscores the necessity of refining CMIP6 simulations and incorporating detailed geographical data for better SD predictions. Plain Language Summary: Precise simulations of snow depth (SD) are crucial for understanding changes in the Earth's energy balance and helping efforts to combat climate change. In this research, we evaluate how well the latest phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) can simulate the daily SD across Canada. By comparing these simulations to various SD data sets, we looked at average daily SD, how long snow remains on the ground, and how quickly it accumulates or melts away, focusing on 11 major catchments in Canada. Our study found that the CMIP6 models tend to simulate more SD, by about 57.7% on average, and suggest that snow cover remains around 30.5 days longer than observed durations. Although three specific models excel in matching the annual peak of daily SD, we noticed biases that point to a need for improving how these models represent various land covers. Our findings highlight the importance of making these models more accurate by using more detailed information about land cover properties, which helps better predict SD and understand its role in climate change. Key Points: Coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 (CMIP6) simulations mostly overestimate the average daily SD values by a median of 57.7% (6.9 cm)The average snow cover duration is overestimated by 30.5 days compared to station data, confirmed by the CMC data setCMIP6 simulations relatively capture extremes well, with a median bias of 12.73% [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]