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Atherosclerosis is an inflammatory disease. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a marker of atherosclerotic disease events and mortality risk. Increased GlycA, an emerging marker of inflammation, is associated with a higher risk for coronary artery disease (CAD). However, there is conflicting evidence on whether GlycA predicts subclinical CAD progression. We hypothesized that GlycA can predict subclinical CAC incidence/progression in healthy participants. We included 2,690 ELSA-Brasil cohort participants without cardiovascular/chronic inflammatory disease not receiving statin therapy who had GlycA levels measured and 2 interval CAC assessments between 2010 and 2018. Multivariable logistic and linear regression models were computed to evaluate GlycA as a predictor of CAC incidence and progression. CAC incidence required a baseline CAC of 0. CAC progression required a baseline CAC >0. The mean age of participants was 48.6 ± 7.7 years, 56.7% were women, and 54.6% and 16.1% (429 of 2,690) were White and Black, respectively. The mean CAC interscan period was 5.1 ± 0.9 years, the mean GlycA level was 414.7 ± 65 μmol/L, and the incidence of CAC was 13.1% (280 of 2,129). The GlycA level odds ratio for CAC incidence was 1.002 (95% confidence interval 1.0005 to 1.005, p = 0.016), adjusted for demographics, lifestyle, a family history of early CAD (≤60 years), lipids, and co-morbidities. The GlycA (≤p25 vs ≥p75) odds ratio for CAC progression (Berry definition) was 1.77 (95% confidence interval 1.07 to 2.96, p = 0.03) in a similar multivariable-adjusted model. Higher GlycA levels were associated with CAC incidence and progression in a healthy Brazilian cohort., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest Dr. Santose has received honoraria related to consulting, research and/or speaker activities from Ache, Amgen, Esperion, Eli-Lilly, Kowa, Libbs, Novartis, Novo-Nordisk, PTC Therapeutics, and Sanofi/Regeneron. None of them (Ache, Amgen, Esperion, Eli-Lilly, Kowa, Libbs, Novartis, Novo-Nordisk, PTC Therapeutics, and Sanofi/Regeneron) had any role in this project. The remaining authors have no competing interests to declare., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aims: There are limited data on serial coronary artery calcium (CAC) assessments outside North American and European populations. We sought to investigate risk factors for CAC incidence and progression in the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil)., Methods: We included individuals with no prior cardiovascular disease and two CAC measurements in ELSA-Brasil. Incident CAC was defined as a baseline CAC of 0 followed by CAC >0 on the second study. CAC progression was defined according to multiple published criteria. We performed logistic and linear regression to identify risk factors for CAC incidence and progression. We also examined risk factor effect modification by baseline CAC (0 vs. >0)., Results: A total of 2707 individuals were included (57% women, age 48.6 ± 7.7 years). Participants self-identified as white (55%), brown (24%), black (16%), Asian (4%) and Indigenous (1%). The mean period between CAC assessments was 5.1 ± 0.9 years. CAC incidence occurred in 282 (13.3%) of 2127 individuals with baseline CAC of 0. CAC progression occurred in 319 (55%) of 580 participants with baseline CAC >0. Risk factors for CAC incidence included older age, male sex, white race, hypertension, diabetes, higher BMI, smoking, lower HDL-C, higher LDL-C and triglycerides, and metabolic syndrome. Older age and elevated LDL-C were associated with CAC incidence, but not progression. Risk factors consistently associated with CAC progression were hypertension, diabetes, hypertriglyceridemia, and metabolic syndrome. On interaction testing, these four risk factors were more strongly associated with CAC progression as compared to CAC incidence., Conclusions: CAC incidence was associated with multiple traditional risk factors, whereas the only risk factors associated with progression of CAC were hypertension, diabetes, hypertriglyceridemia, and metabolic syndrome., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)