1. Impact of Rohingya refugees on food prices in Bangladesh: Evidence from a natural experiment.
- Author
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Alam, Ashraful, Dutta, Indranil, Haque, M. Emranul, and Nogales, Ricardo
- Subjects
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REFUGEES , *ROHINGYA (Burmese people) , *FOOD prices , *PRICE increases - Abstract
• We study the impact of the large sudden influx of Rohingya refugees in August 2017 on food prices in the main host regions of Bangladesh. • Based on monthly data on food prices, difference in difference estimates indicate that overall prices increased between 8 to 13 percent in Ukhia. • We find statistically significant mitigating effects of aid-supplied food products on overall food prices and cereals, in particular. • Our results are consistent across several robustness checks including broader treatment and control regions, and a longer sample period. The Rohingya crisis is the fourth largest displacement of population in the world, with most refugees sheltering in neighbouring Bangladesh. We use this event as a natural experiment to examine the impact of the sudden influx of Rohingyas on food prices in the main host region of Bangladesh. We have pieced together a unique data set on food prices based on unpublished information at local government levels covering the pre- and post-influx period. We use a difference-in-difference approach to identify the impact of the refugee influx on the prices in the local area. Our baseline results indicate that overall food prices increased by 8 percent in the host sub-district of Ukhia, with prices of protein and vegetables increasing by 7 and 36 percent, respectively. For aid-supplied food products, such as cereals and lentils, we do find a statistically significant mitigating effect on prices. However, they were not substantial enough to reverse the increase in food prices. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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