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We employ a high‐resolution Köppen climate classification dataset to examine shifts in Tundra zones within the Alps and Asia. Our analysis shows substantial reductions in Tundra areas by the mid‐21st century under different Shared. Socioeconomic pathways (SSP1‐2.6, SSP3‐7.0, SSP5‐8.5). Tundra zones in the Alps and the Tibetan Plateau are crucial for their unique climates and role as water reservoirs. Characterized by short, mild summers and long, severe winters, these zones are vital for the glaciers and perennial snow. The projected climate instability may significantly reduce alpine snow cover by mid‐century with irreversible consequences. A 2°C temperature increase from the 1981–2010 baseline could eliminate the Tundra climate in the Alps and reduce it by over 70% in Asia. This is particularly concerning given that rivers from the Tibetan Plateau sustain nearly 40% of the global population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

One of the main constituents of any reservoir characterization is an accurate forecast of water saturation, which is highly dependent upon the cementation exponent. Even though there have been a lot of studies, the most common correlations depend on total porosity. This means that they do not work as well in heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs, especially tight formations with total porosities less than 10%. This study aims to develop accurate and universal models for estimating the cementation exponent in deep and tight carbonate pore systems located in West Asia. Two heuristic algorithms, including the radial basis function neural network optimized by ant colony optimization (RBFNN-ACO) and gene expression programming (GEP), were employed to calculate the cementation exponent. To do this, we prepared a databank incorporating cementation exponents, total porosity, and various pore types. Then, the databank is classified into the test subset (for model prediction checking) and the train subset (for model construction). The reliability of the new recommended models is inspected by applying several statistical quality measures associated with graphical analyses. So, the consequences of the modeling disclose the large precision of the above-mentioned RBFNN-ACO, GEP Model-I, and GEP Model-II by average absolute percentage relative deviations (AAPRD%) of 6.28%, 6.39%, and 7.45%, respectively. Based on the outliers analysis, nearly 95% of the databank and model estimations are, respectively, valid and reliable. Additionally, the three input variables, including moldic porosity (with a + 70% impact value), non-fabric-selective dissolution (connected) porosity (with a -30% impact value), and interparticle porosity (with a -23% impact value), exhibit the main affecting parameters on the cementation exponent. Comparing current results with traditional literature correlations demonstrates the supremacy of the RBFNN-ACO model (AAPRD = 6.28% and root mean squared error (RMSE) = 0.17) over the examined literature correlations such as Borai's equation (AAPRD = 12.30% and RMSE = 0.41). In addition, RBFNN-ACO can give better results than Borai's Eqn. for tight (porosity less than 10%) and deep carbonate samples. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The jungle cat (Felis chaus) is a member of the genus Felis within the family Felidae, native to south‐east Asia, west Asia and north Africa. A 2‐year‐old male jungle cat was referred with a history of lameness of 3 days duration. At the time of presentation, the animal had non‐weight‐bearing lameness of the right hindlimb. Examination identified crepitation and instability in the distal diaphyseal region of the right tibial bone. Radiographs confirmed the presence of fractures in the distal diaphyseal region of the right tibia and fibula. Double plating of the tibia was employed for used fixation. The animal was evaluated 2, 4 and 8 weeks post‐operatively, and the procedure was considered to have been successful with no observed surgical complications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Ascariasis is one of the most important neglected tropical diseases of humans worldwide. The epidemiology of Ascaris infection appears to have changed with improvements in sanitation and mass drug administration, but there is no recent information on prevalence worldwide. Here, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the global prevalence of human Ascaris infection from 2010 to 2021. Methods: We searched MEDLINE/PubMed, and Scopus databases for studies measuring prevalence of Ascaris infection, published between 1 January 2010 and 1 January 2022. We included studies of the general human population in endemic regions, which used accepted coprodiagnostic methods, and excluded studies of people with occupations with an increased risk or probability of ascariasis and/or specific diseases other than ascariasis. We applied random-effects models to obtain pooled prevalence estimates for six sustainable development goal regions of the world. We extrapolated the prevalence estimates to the global population in 2020, to estimate the number of individuals with Ascaris infection. We conducted multiple subgroup and meta-regression analyses to explore possible sources of heterogeneity, and to assess relationships between prevalence estimates and demographic, socio-economic, geo-climatic factors. Results: Of 11,245 studies screened, we analysed 758 prevalence estimates for a total number of 4,923,876 participants in 616 studies from 81 countries. The global prevalence estimated was 11.01% (95% confidence interval: 10.27–11.78%), with regional prevalences ranging from 28.77% (7.07–57.66%) in Melanesia (Oceania) to 1.39% (1.07–1.74%) in Eastern Asia. We estimated that ~ 732 (682–782) million people harboured Ascaris worldwide in 2021. The infected people in Latin America and the Caribbean region had a higher prevalence of high intensity infection (8.4%, 3.9–14.1%). Prevalence estimates were higher in children, and people in rural communities or in countries or regions with lower income and human development indices. There was a trend for a higher prevalence in regions with increasing mean annual relative humidity, precipitation and environmental temperature. Conclusions: Our findings indicate that, despite a renewed commitment by some communities or authorities to control ascariasis, a substantial portion of the world's human population (> 0.7 billion) is infected with Ascaris. Despite the clinical and socioeconomic importance of ascariasis, many past routine surveys did not assess the intensity of Ascaris infection in people. We propose that the present findings might stimulate the development of customised strategies for the improved control and prevention of Ascaris infection worldwide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This systematic review and meta-analysis study was conducted to estimate the pooled prevalence of CD in low and high risk groups in this region. Following keywords were searched in the Medline, PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science and Cochrane database according to the MeSH terms; celiac disease, prevalence, high risk population and Asian-Pacific region. Prevalence studies published from January 1991 to March 2018 were selected. Prevalence of CD with 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated using STATA software, version 14. The pooled sero-prevalence of CD among low risk group in Asia–Pacific region was 1.2% (95% CI 0.8–1.7%) in 96,099 individuals based on positive anti-tissue transglutaminase (anti-t-TG Ab) and/or anti-endomysial antibodies (EMA). The pooled prevalence of biopsy proven CD in Asia–Pacific among high and low risk groups was 4.3% (95% CI 3.3–5.5%) and 0.61% (95% CI 0.4–0.8%) in 10,719 and 70,344 subjects, respectively. In addition, the pooled sero-prevalence and prevalence of CD in general population was significantly higher in children compared with adults and it was significantly greater in female vs. male (P < 0.05). Our results suggest high risk individuals of CD are key group that should be specifically targeted for prevention and control measures, and screening may prove to have an optimal cost–benefit ratio. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With limited vaccine supplies, an informed position on the status of SARS-CoV-2 infection in people can assist the prioritization of vaccine deployment. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the global and regional SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalences around the world. We systematically searched peer-reviewed databases (PubMed, Embase and Scopus), and preprint servers (medRxiv, bioRxiv and SSRN) for articles published between 1 January 2020 and 30 March 2021. Population-based studies reporting the SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in the general population were included. People of different age groups, occupations, educational levels, ethnic backgrounds and socio-economic status from the general population. There were no interventions. We used the random-effects meta-analyses and empirical Bayesian method to estimate the pooled seroprevalence and conducted subgroup and meta-regression analyses to explore potential sources of heterogeneity as well as the relationship between seroprevalence and socio-demographics. We identified 241 eligible studies involving 6.3 million individuals from 60 countries. The global pooled seroprevalence was 9.47% (95% CI 8.99–9.95%), although the heterogeneity among studies was significant (I 2 = 99.9%). We estimated that ∼738 million people had been infected with SARS-CoV-2 (as of December 2020). Highest and lowest seroprevalences were recorded in Central and Southern Asia (22.91%, 19.11–26.72%) and Eastern and South-eastern Asia (1.62%, 1.31–1.95%), respectively. Seroprevalence estimates were higher in males, persons aged 20–50 years, in minority ethnic groups living in countries or regions with low income and human development indices. The present study indicates that the majority of the world's human population was still highly susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection in mid-2021, emphasizing the need for vaccine deployment to vulnerable groups of people, particularly in developing countries, and for the implementation of enhanced preventive measures until 'herd immunity' to SARS-CoV-2 has developed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Celiac disease is an autoimmune disorder that affects genetically predisposed individuals upon the ingestion of gluten. It is now considered one of the most common genetic disorders in Europe and Asian Pacific region with a prevalence of up to 2.67% of the population. The true prevalence of celiac disease may still be underestimated. Studies remain limited by sample size and selection bias. Celiac disease predisposes to the development of gastrointestinal malignancies, especially lymphomas and small bowel adenocarcinoma. The risk of developing a celiac disease associated malignancies remains uncertain, despite numerous studies. In Middle Eastern countries, the literature regarding celiac disease has expanded significantly in recent years. These studies reported have largely concentrated on the epidemiology of Celiac disease and there is an absolute and relative paucity of published research regarding celiac disease associated malignancy. The aim of this article is to review the current literature and evaluate the risk of gastrointestinal malignancies among patients with celiac disease and then review studies from the Asian Pacific region of the world. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Vibrio cholera (V. cholera) is a facultative pathogen that colonizes the small intestine and produces cholerae toxin as the primary virulence factor that causes cholera and fatal diarrhea in humans. In recent decades, V. cholera has emerged as a notorious multidrug-resistant enteric pathogen. This meta-analysis estimated the pooled proportion of V. cholera antimicrobial resistance against RNA and DNA effective antibiotics. A systematic search was performed for relevant literature until 05 June 2021 in PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science databases. Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation was performed to estimate weighted pooled resistance (WPR). The meta-analysis were included 164 articles. The WPR of V. cholera were as follows 76% [67,84] to furazolidone, 65% [29,94] to nitrofurantoin, 55% [44,66] to nalidixic acid, 10% [2,23] to rifampicin, 4%(0, 12) to novobiocin, 4% [2,6] to norfloxacin, 3% [1,4] to ciprofloxacin, 1%(0, 3) to sparofloxacin, 0%(0, 3) to levofloxacin, 0%(0, 2) to ofloxacin, 0%(0, 0) to gatifloxacin. V. cholera is a severe problem in Asia and Africa, especially in South Asian countries. The resistance patterns are various in geographical regions. novobiocin 0% (0, 0), and ofloxacin 0% (0, 1) in Africa, gatifloxacin 0% (0, 0), and levofloxacin 0% (0, 6) in Asia and ciprofloxacin 0% (0, 2) in North America are most effective antibiotis. The resistance rate to furazolidone, nalidixic acid, nitrofurantoin, and cephalothin has increased over the years. Monitoring antibiotic resistance and prescribing an appropriate antibiotic is vital to control resistance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hydatid cyst caused by Echinococcus granulosus is one of the most important parasitic diseases around the world and many countries in Asia, including Iran, are involved with this infection. This disease can cause high mortality in humans as well as economic losses in livestock. To date, several molecular methods have been used to determine the genetic diversity of E. granulosus. So far, identification of E. granulosus using real-time PCR fluorescence-based quantitative assays has not been studied worldwide, also in Iran. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the genetic diversity of E. granulosus from center of Iran using real-time PCR method. A total of 71 hydatid cysts were collected from infected sheep, goat, and cattle slaughtered in Isfahan, Iran during 2013. DNA was extracted from protoscolices and/or germinal layers from each individual cyst and used as template to amplify the mitochondrial cytochrome c oxidase subunit 1 gene (cox1) (420 bp). Five cattle isolates out of 71 isolates were sterile and excluded from further investigation. Overall, of 66 isolates, partial sequences of the cox1 gene of E. granulosus indicated the presence of genotypes G1 in 49 isolates (74.2%), G3 in 15 isolates (22.7%), and G6 in 2 isolates (3.0%) in infected intermediate hosts. Sixteen sequences of G1 genotype had microgenetic variants, and they were compared to the original sequence of cox1. However, isolates identified as G3 and G6 genotypes were completely consistent with original sequences. G1 genotype in livestock was the dominant genotype in Isfahan region, Iran. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The knowledge of reservoir permeability determination is increasingly important in petroleum engineering. Understanding the alteration of the abovementioned parameter as a dynamic characteristic of formations helps the characterization of reservoir rock. The existing models available for permeability determination are mainly developed for sandstone reservoir; therefore, a great challenge is in the prediction of permeability in carbonate heterogeneous rock. The current study addresses the application of Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), a state-of-the-art machine learning algorithm, in estimating permeability of carbonate reservoirs. This Bayesian network offers various benefits including non-linearity and multi-dimensionality. A widespread source of data pertinent to four deposits of Vuktyl'skiy, central Asia, Kuybyhev, and Orenburg was adopted from literature. The data set includes water saturation, effective porosity, and pore specific surface area parameters in association with absolute rock permeability as the target. Four different Kernels of Matérn, rational quadratic, exponential, and squared exponential are utilized as the covariance functions of the GPR network. A wide variety of the visualizations and statistical parameters are prepared to assess the potential of the established models in permeability estimation. Finally, it is demonstrated that the GPR (Matérn) gives the highest precision with Mean Magnitude Relative Error (MMRE) and Adjusted R-squared equal to 38% and 0.98, respectively. Besides, the applied sensitivity analysis reveals that porosity and irreducible water saturation have the lowest and the highest absolute impact values on permeability estimation. The applicability and validity of the developed models are also demonstrated by means of the so-called Williams' method for outliers detection. At last, it is worthwhile mentioning that the created new methods in this study can be good nominees for permeability determination in characterizing the heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs. Image 1 • A kernel-based probabilistic modeling approach, namely GPR method, is used for model development. • A comprehensive literature databank is undertaken for permeability of heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs. • Several statistical measures and illustrations are used to assess the model performance. • GPR model with Matern' kernel indicates the best agreement with the real permeabilities as compared to other models. • GPR model can be a potential candidates for predicting the permeability of heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Atmospheric heavy metals have important environmental and health threats. To investigate atmospheric deposition and contamination of heavy metal elements in the glaciers of the eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP), we collected the surface snow (cryoconites) samples in the Lenglongling Glacier (LG), the Gannan Snowpack (GS), the Dagu Glacier (DG), the Hailuogou Glacier (HG) and Yulong Snow-mountain Glacier (YG) in summer 2017. Samples were analyzed for concentrations and enrichment factors (EFs) of Al and trace elements (Pb, Co, Cd, Ba, Mn, Ga, Sc, V, Zn, Cr, Ni, Cu, Rb, Sb, Cs, As, Mo, Li) using inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). Results showed that the concentrations and EFs of heavy metals (e.g. Sb, Cu, Cr, Ni, As, Mo) were generally high value in YG, GS and LG, while were relatively low value in DG and HG, implying that ETP glaciers may have been affected by atmospheric anthropogenic pollutants deposition to varying degrees. Comparing the heavy metal concentrations in the glaciers with those in the precipitation of middle/eastern China cities and also the South Asian cities, we find that the glacial heavy metal concentrations were generally low level, though the anthropogenic pollutants were still significantly enriched. Taking the spatial distribution of As and Ni concentration/EFs in the glaciers and surrounding urban precipitation as an example, we find that the heavy metal pollutants were probably transported to the glaciers through three routes from the surrounding densely populated area of Asia. The MODIS AOD and NCEP/NCAR wind vector also demonstrated that the atmospheric pollutants originated from anthropogenic emissions of urban areas of both South Asia, and northwest and east China, mainly caused by the large scale atmospheric circulation (e.g. the South Asian Monsoon, westerlies and Eastern Asian Summer Monsoon). Therefore, control of these potential pollution emission sources of the surrounding densely populated areas in Asia could be important to ETP glaciers in future perspectives. • The eastern Tibetan Plateau glaciers were affected by heavy-metals pollutants deposition to varying degrees. • Higher concentrations and enrichment factors were found at the Yulong and Lenglongling Glaciers. • Three potential major transport routes of heavy-metals pollutants to the glaciers were identified. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Human toxocariasis is an important neglected disease. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis study to estimate the global and regional prevalence of anti-Toxocara serum antibodies (referred to as 'T-seroprevalence') in human populations around the world. Methods: We searched five international databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, SciELO and Scopus) for seroprevalence studies published from 1 January 1980 to 15 March 2019. We used random effect models to calculate the overall T-seroprevalence (with 95% CIs) in all six WHO regions and worldwide. We also conducted subgroup and linear meta-regression analyses to evaluate the impact of socio-demographic, geographical and climatic parameters on seroprevalence. Results: We identified 250 eligible studies (253 datasets) comprising 265,327 participants in 71 countries for inclusion in the present meta-analysis. The estimated global T-seroprevalence rate was 19.0% (95%CI, 16.6–21.4%; 62,927/265,327); seroprevalence was highest in the African region (37.7%; 25.7–50.6%) and lowest in the Eastern Mediterranean region (8.2%; 5.1–12.0%). The pooled seroprevalence for other WHO regions was 34.1% (20.2–49.4%) in the South-East Asia; 24.2% (16.0–33.5%) in the Western Pacific; 22.8% (19.7–26.0%) in the American; and 10.5% (8.5–12.8%) in the European regions. A significantly higher T-seroprevalence was associated with a lower income level; lower human development index (HDI); lower latitude; higher humidity; higher temperature; and higher precipitation (P-value < 0.001). Potential risk factors associated with seropositivity to Toxocara included male gender; living in a rural area; young age; close contact with dogs, cats or soil; consumption of raw meat; and the drinking of untreated water. Conclusions: The present findings indicate high levels of infection with, or exposure to Toxocara spp. in many countries, which calls for increased attention to human toxocariasis and improved measures to prevent adverse health risks of this disease. Author summary: There have been many epidemiological studies on the seroprevalence of Toxocara infection or toxocariasis in humans in individual countries, but there has been no systematic review/meta-analysis to estimate the extent of Toxocara infection or exposure in human populations worldwide. By reviewing 250 studies of 265,327 people from 71 countries, we provide the first comprehensive global estimates of T-seroprevalence in humans to date. The findings indicate that almost one fifth (19%) of the world's human population is seropositive to Toxocara. The highest seroprevalence rates were found in Africa (37.7%) and the lowest in the Eastern Mediterranean region (8.2%). Individual countries with high HDIs and high income levels usually had low T-seroprevalence rates. Our findings also showed that T-seroprevalence varies markedly among countries, according to geographical location (coordinates) and climatic features. Evidence from this study indicates that human toxocariasis is a prevalent, neglected tropical disease and potentially one of major importance to global public health. Our study emphasizes the need for governmental authorities to pay increased attention to the risks and socioeconomic impact of HT in many countries around the world, and for them to design and implement HT prevention or control programs, considering risk predictors identified here. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• We evaluate the global seroprevalence of T. gondii infection in pigs. • A total of 148 articles that included 148,092 pigs from 47 countries were assessed. • The global T. gondii seroprevalence in pigs was 19% (95% CI: 17–22%). • A lower seroprevalence was observed in areas with higher latitude. • A higher seroprevalence was observed in areas with higher temperature. Toxoplasmosis, caused by the protozoan parasite Toxoplasma gondii , is an important disease with worldwide distribution. Infection can occur from ingesting raw or undercooked infected meat, and among food animal species, pork is known to be one of the main sources of meat-borne infection. Here, we present results of the first systematic review and meta-analysis on the global T. gondii seroprevalence in pigs. PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and EMBASE databases were comprehensively searched for relevant studies published between January 1, 1990 and October 25, 2018. We used a random effects model to calculate pooled seroprevalence estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and analyzed data from five continents. We also conducted subgroup and meta-regression analyses to evaluate the effects of geographical and climate variables on pooled seroprevalence rates. Among 1542 publications identified, 148 studies containing 150 datasets were included in the meta-analysis, and comprised 148,092 pigs from 47 countries. The pooled global T. gondii seroprevalence in pigs was estimated to be 19% (95%CI, 17–22%; 23,696/148,092), with the lowest seroprevalence in Europe (13%; 10–15%) and highest seroprevalence in Africa (25%; 17–34%) and North America (25%; 19–33%). The seropositivity rates in Asia and South America regions were (21%, 16–26%) and (23%; 17–30%), respectively. A significantly higher T. gondii seroprevalence was associated with higher mean annual temperature and lower geographical latitude. The presence of cats on farms was identified as a potential risk factor for T. gondii seropositivity (OR, 1.41; 95%CI, 1.00–2.02). Our findings highlight the importance of pigs as a possible source of human T. gondii infections. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]