Search

The exchange rate is a crucial macro indicator for any open economy, whereby any change in the rate would influence, to a certain extent, various socioeconomic facets. One of the significant impacts is revealed in the pass-through of exchange rate variations to price inflation, also known as the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT). This paper explores the effect of ERPT on domestic inflation in Vietnam by comparing with other Asian economies. Specifically, pass-through mechanisms are examined for every single price as well as a distribution chain from import price index (IMP), producer price index (PPI) to consumer price index (CPI). The empirical results show that exchange rate shocks positively influence the price changes in Vietnam as well as in other Asian countries. According to Cholesky decomposition, the exchange rate plays a limited role in regulating CPI movements. Besides, world commodity prices are found to have a significant impact on domestic inflation across the sample-countries. Our findings reveal profound implications for monetary policy management and price stability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper investigates the asymmetrical exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices for emerging and developing Asian countries from 1995Q1 to 2016Q4. We estimate the ERPT to consumer prices for each country by using the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) approach and dynamic panel techniques robust to cross-sectional dependence. First, the results suggest an asymmetrical ERPT for local prices in emerging Asian sub-region in the short and long-term and only in the short-term in the developing Asian sub-region. Second, this study finds a significant and complete ERPT for appreciation, higher during local currency appreciation than depreciation in the long-term. Our results indicate downward price rigidity and weak competitive market structures. Finally, the pass-through has not declined in emerging and developing Asian countries in the long-term, as has been suggested by most of the studies on developed countries. On average, consumer prices rise by 0.90% (0.50%) following a 1% appreciation (depreciation) of the local currency in the long-term for the entire emerging and developing Asian region with different effects across the subregions during the short-term. The ERPT is higher in emerging Asian sub-region associated with low inflation levels and price volatility than in developing Asian sub-region. Therefore, the policy implication is to consider these asymmetries when determining the monetary policy rules and to promote competitive market structures and trade liberalization in emerging and developing Asian countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper examines and compares the determinants of producer and consumer price inflation in ten Asian countries during 2000–2015. In this connection, we also investigate the pass-through of global oil prices, global food prices and exchange rates to domestic producer and consumer prices. The model applied here is based on the dynamic interrelationship between the price variables in the distribution chain. Our results show that external cost-push factors such as oil and food prices are more important in explaining producer price inflation than consumer one. For consumer prices, demand-pull factors still explain much of the variation in inflation. The pass-through of oil (food) prices tends to be higher in oil (food) exporting countries than in oil (food) importing countries. Government policy measures played a role in reducing or delaying the pass-through of oil and food prices to domestic prices. Lastly, exchange rate pass-through tends to be higher in countries with more flexible exchange rates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]