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The author examines population issues facing countries in Oceania and Southeastern Asia. "Analysis is based on recently released population projections from the United Nations Population Division. There are great differences among the countries.... There are nonetheless important areas of commonality: all nations are facing the problem of raising levels of schooling in line with parents' aspirations and economic needs, all face problems of caring for a rising proportion of aged, and all have difficulties with the monitoring and control of international migration. Also, since minority groups in many countries are majority polities in neighbouring states, there is potential for establishing international dialogues aimed at relieving internal tensions." Consideration is given to the role of Australia in promoting international cooperation to deal with these issues., (excerpt)

A method of estimating current fertility from information on last live births is presented. The technique is developed from one proposed by Hull for estimating fertility rates for Indonesia using 1976 intercensal survey data and does not depend on conditions of stable fertility or on assumptions about past mortality. "The estimates of [the] total fertility rate for Indonesia 1980 are 4.40, 3.87 and 4.28 for the rural, urban and the total areas respectively, and compare well with the estimates derived by the 'Own Children' method." A comment by Aris Ananta (pp. 49-53) is included. (summary in IND), (excerpt)

A number of demographic techniques for the indirect estimation of trends in causes of death in Indonesia are proposed. These involve "the use of rates and proportions derived from other nations experiencing similar levels of mortality to that prevailing in Indonesia. Four sets of estimates were produced, the first based on a regression developed by Preston, the other three derived from national patterns of Mexico, the Philippines, and a composite group of countries. These were compared with available epidemiologic and clinical data from Indonesia to produce a final set of estimates which accord both with known Indonesian patterns and medical findings from other nations.", (excerpt)

Fertility trends in Indonesia for the period 1967-1985 are analyzed. Data are from the Indonesian censuses of 1971 and 1980 and from the 1985 Intercensal Survey (SUPAS 85); they concern fertility rates by province, marital status, and for the general population. An overview of the sociocultural factors that affect data reliability and a discussion of the effectiveness of the date of last birth method are included. The authors conclude that the evidence "has confirmed the existence of a major fertility decline throughout Indonesia. The pace of the decline has been faster in 1980-85 than during the 70s. On present trends, it should be possible to reach the ambitious target of halving fertility between 1979 and 1990.", (excerpt)