1. Transition Planning for the Intelligence Community in Afghanistan: Adaptive Frameworks Unifying Future Missions, Enduring Capabilities, and Resource Implications.
- Author
-
Trice, Andrew, Powell, Hannah, and Patchak, William
- Subjects
INTELLIGENCE service ,NATIONAL security ,MILITARY intelligence ,MILITARY missions - Abstract
Planning for the future of the Intelligence Community (IC) in Afghanistan is very challenging due to uncertainty and evolution in multiple dimensions-- policymaker objectives, conditions on the ground, relationships with the host government, and fiscal constraints, to name a few. To aid in planning in this environment, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) directed a study to examine the impact that the transition in Afghanistan will have on IC capabilities and resources. In response, the study team developed a mission framework that posited a range of future missions and environments in Afghanistan, which drove IC component estimates of resources needed to meet these varying combinations of conditions. In parallel with this effort, the study team also addressed the dual problem of assessing which IC capabilities should be retained for use by the enterprise independent of future needs for Afghanistan, using a capability profiling, filtering, and decomposition framework. Impacts of this study included the following: (1) Enabling strategy-driven resource planning for Afghanistan underpinned by a clear and simple intellectual framework and estimation methodology; (2) providing a model for triaging capabilities and performing further analyses on them to make sound, enduring capability resource decisions; and (3) supporting and serving as a point of reference for ongoing planning and resourcing processes for Afghanistan as planning dimensions change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013