1. The historical case of Paricutin volcano (Michoacán, México): challenges of simulating lava flows on a gentle slope during a long-lasting eruption
- Author
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Sophie Mossoux, Elisabeth Widom, Dolors Ferrés, Sergio Salinas, Claus Siebe, Laura Becerril, Joan Martí, Patricia Larrea, National Science Foundation (US), Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (México), European Commission, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Martí Molist, Joan, and Martí Molist, Joan [0000-0003-3930-8603]
- Subjects
Long lasting ,Atmospheric Science ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Q-LavHA ,Lava ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,Terrain ,02 engineering and technology ,01 natural sciences ,Natural hazard ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Hazard evaluation ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Water Science and Technology ,Lava low simulations ,021110 strategic, defence & security studies ,geography ,Parícutin volcano ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Hydrogeology ,Monogenetic volcanism ,Volcanic hazard assessment ,Open source ,Michoacán–Guanajuato volcanic ield ,Volcano ,13. Climate action ,Seismology ,Geology - Abstract
Simulating lava flows on a gentle slope is complex since they can propagate in a wide range of directions. It is an even greater challenge to define lava flow trajectories when an eruption lasts over several years and flows cool down, changing the surrounding topography. In this study, we test Q-LavHA, an open source plug-in that simulates lava flow inundation calculating its probability, and using Paricutin’s eruption (1943–1952) in central Mexico as a case study. We have appropriately calibrated the Q-LavHA plug-in for the Paricutin case study, which provides insights on how to better model lava flows in gentle terrain. From this work, we observe that each phase is characterized by a unique set of parameters requiring a careful calibration and that low-relief topographies require special consideration. Our findings could be useful for real-time hazard evaluation in future volcanic scenarios in the Michoacán–Guanajuato volcanic field and elsewhere, where new monogenetic eruptions similar to Paricutin can be expected., This research was supported by the Government of Spain through “Juan de la Cierva” postdoctoral fellowship awarded to L. Becerril; NSF EAR 1019798 (2014–2016) and a UNAM-DGAPA postdoctoral fellowship (2018–2019) granted to P. Larrea; National Science Foundation (NSF) EAR grant #1019798 awarded to E. Widom. Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT-167231) and Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico (UNAM-DGAPA-IN-104221) granted to C. Siebe; and VeTOOLS and EVE projects funded by the European Commission (EC ECHO SI2.695524 and 826292EC ECHO SI2.695524) granted to J. Martí.
- Published
- 2021
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