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Background: Elastic compression stockings (ECS) are uncomfortable to wear but may prevent post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS). The ability to predict PTS may help clinical decision making regarding the optimal duration of ECS after deep vein thrombosis (DVT)., Aims: Predefined endpoint analysis of the Octavia study that randomized patients who compliantly used ECS up to one year after DVT to continue or discontinue ECS treatment. Primary aim was to identify predictors of PTS., Methods: Patient characteristics were collected and ultrasonography was performed to assess reflux, residual thrombosis and persistent thrombus load 12 months after DVT. Multivariable analyses were performed to identify factors related to PTS., Results: Thrombus score ≥ 3, BMI ≥ 26, duration of symptoms before DVT diagnosis ≥ 8 days and a Villalta score of 2-4 points were statistically significant predictors of PTS. The predictive value for PTS for the assessed variables was not different between the 2 treatment groups. In the stop ECS group, 3.2% (95%CI 0.08-18) of patients without any predictors for PTS were diagnosed with mild PTS during follow-up, and none with severe PTS, for a sensitivity of 98% (95% CI 89-100), a specificity of 14% (95% CI 10-20), a positive predictive value of 20% (95% CI 19-22), and a negative predictive value of 97% (95% CI 81-100)., Conclusion: We identified 4 predictors of PTS occurring in the 2nd year after DVT. Our findings may be used to decide on whether to continue ECS treatment for an additional year, after one year of compliant ECS use, keeping in mind that patients with none of the predictors will have the lowest PTS incidence., (Copyright © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background:  Post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) is a common and potential severe complication of deep venous thrombosis (DVT). Elastic compression stocking therapy may prevent PTS if worn on a daily basis, but stockings are cumbersome to apply and uncomfortable to wear. Hence, identification of predictors of PTS may help physicians to select patients at high risk of PTS., Aims:  This article identifies ultrasonography (US) parameters assessed during or after treatment of DVT of the leg, that predict PTS., Methods:  This is a systematic review and meta-analysis study. Databases were searched for prospective studies including consecutive patients with DVT who received standardized treatment, had an US during follow-up assessing findings consistent with vascular damage after DVT and had a follow-up period of at least 6 months for the occurrence of PTS assessed by a standardized protocol., Results:  The literature search revealed 1,156 studies of which 1,068 were irrelevant after title and abstract screening by three independent reviewers. After full-text screening, 12 relevant studies were included, with a total of 2,684 analysed patients. Two US parameters proved to be predictive of PTS: residual vein thrombosis, for a pooled odds ratio (OR) of 2.17 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.79-2.63) and venous reflux at the popliteal level, for a pooled OR of 1.34 (95% CI, 1.03-1.75)., Conclusion:  The US features reflux and residual thrombosis measured at least 6 weeks after DVT predict PTS. Whether these features may be used to identify patients who may benefit from compression therapy remains to be assessed in further studies., Competing Interests: None., (Georg Thieme Verlag KG Stuttgart · New York.)

Objective:  To study whether stopping elastic compression stockings (ECS) after 12 months is non-inferior to continuing them for 24 months after proximal deep venous thrombosis., Design:  Multicentre single blind non-inferiority randomised controlled trial., Setting:  Outpatient clinics in eight teaching hospitals in the Netherlands, including one university medical centre., Participants:  Patients compliant with compression therapy for 12 months after symptomatic, ultrasound proven proximal deep venous thrombosis of the leg., Interventions:  Continuation or cessation of ECS 12 months after deep venous thrombosis., Main Outcome Measures:  The primary outcome was the incidence of post-thrombotic syndrome 24 months after diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis, as assessed by the standardised Villalta scale in an intention to treat analysis. The predefined non-inferiority margin was 10%. The main secondary outcome was quality of life (VEINES-QOL/Sym)., Results:  518 patients compliant with ECS and free of post-thrombotic syndrome were randomised one year after diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis to stop or continue ECS therapy for another year. In the stop-ECS group, 51 of 256 patients developed post-thrombotic syndrome, with an incidence of 19.9% (95% confidence interval 16% to 24%). In the continue-ECS group, 34 of 262 patients developed post-thrombotic syndrome (incidence 13.0%, 9.9% to 17%), of whom 85% used ECS six or seven days a week during the study period, for an absolute difference of 6.9% (95% confidence interval upper limit 12.3%). Because the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval exceeds the predefined margin of 10%, non-inferiority was not reached. The number needed to treat to prevent one case of post-thrombotic syndrome by continuing ECS was 14 (95% confidence interval lower limit 8). Quality of life did not differ between the two groups., Conclusion:  Stopping ECS after one year in compliant patients with proximal deep venous thrombosis seemed not to be non-inferior to continuing ECS therapy for two years in this non-inferiority trial., Trial Registration:  Netherlands Trial Register NTR1442., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions.)