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The ecology of the young stages of allis shad Alosa alosa is poorly documented, although they can be exposed to many pressures during their freshwater phase and their downstream migration. When passing through systems such as the Gironde-Garonne-Dordogne watershed (GGD, SW France), they can be subjected to high temperatures and low levels of oxygen (hypoxia). The aim of this work is to assess the tolerance of young Alosa alosa at four ages (c. 10, 30, 60 and 85 days old) by challenging them to different temperatures (18, 22, 26 and 28°C) together with decreasing oxygen saturation levels (from 100% to 30%). Survival of the 10-day-old individuals was not influenced by oxy-thermic conditions, but high stress levels were detected and perhaps this age class was too fragile regarding the constraint of the experimental design. Survival at 30 and at 60 days old was negatively influenced by the highest temperatures tested alone (from 26°C and from 28°C, respectively) but no effect was detected at 85 days old up to 28°C. A combined effect of temperature and oxygen level was highlighted, with heat accelerating survival decrease when associated with oxygen level depletion: essentially, survival was critical (<50%) at 30 days old at temperature ≥22°C together with 30% O 2 ; at 60 days old, at temperature = 28°C with 30% O 2 ; at 85 days old, at temperature ≥26°C with ≤40% O 2 . Tolerance to oxy-thermic pressures appeared to be greater among the migratory ages (60 and 85 days old) than among the 30-day-old group. Based on environmental data recorded in the GGD system and on our experimental results, an exploratory analysis allowed a discussion of the possible impact of past oxy-thermic conditions on the local population dynamics between 2005 and 2018. The oxy-thermic conditions that may affect Alosa alosa at ages when they migrate downstream (60 and 85 days old) were not frequently recorded in this period, except in cases of extreme episodes of heat together with hypoxia that occurred in some years, in summertime in the turbidity maximum zone of the Gironde estuary (particularly in the year 2006). Interestingly, oxy-thermic conditions that are likely to threaten the 30-day-old individuals occurred more frequently in the lower freshwater parts of the GGD system between the years 2005 and 2018. In the context of climate change, a general increase in temperature is predicted, as well as more frequent and severe hypoxic events, therefore we suggest that local Alosa alosa population recruitment could encounter critical oxy-thermic conditions more frequently in the future if no adaptive management of water resources occurs., (© 2020 Fisheries Society of the British Isles.)

The potential effects of global warming on the allis shad population were tested by combining a time series of spawning acts with expected thermal survival rates for embryos and larvae until 14 days post hatching. The yearly mean survival of spawn for each reproductive season was calculated and an index of reproductive efficiency based on this survival rate was proposed. The randomness of the spawning tactics was evaluated by shuffling the spawn acts time series. This approach was applied to the Gironde-Garonne-Dordogne (south-west France) population, which recently collapsed. The yearly mean thermal survival of spawn is slightly variable at approximately 55% over 2003-2012 despite fluctuating temperatures. An especially low survival (35%) was recorded for the last season (2013). For eight of the 11 reproductive seasons, the index of reproductive efficiency was high (> 80%) and largely above indices obtained by a random spawning tactic. Therefore shad are able to adopt an efficient spawning tactic to anticipate favourable thermal conditions for survival of their offspring. However, thermal behavioural rules still need to be expanded to understand the failures in their reproduction efficiency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]