1. Emulation of ARISTOTLE and ROCKET AF trials in real-world atrial fibrillation patients results in similar efficacy and safety as original landmark trials: insights from the GARFIELD-AF registry.
- Author
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Himmelreich JCL, Virdone S, Camm AJ, Pieper K, Harskamp RE, Verheugt FWA, Bassand JP, Misselwitz F, Pereira-Barretto AC, Cools F, Gibbs H, and Kakkar AK
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Female, Aged, Treatment Outcome, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic methods, Time Factors, Middle Aged, Administration, Oral, Anticoagulants therapeutic use, Anticoagulants administration & dosage, Anticoagulants adverse effects, Risk Factors, Thromboembolism prevention & control, Thromboembolism etiology, Thromboembolism epidemiology, Reproducibility of Results, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation drug therapy, Atrial Fibrillation complications, Registries, Factor Xa Inhibitors administration & dosage, Factor Xa Inhibitors therapeutic use, Factor Xa Inhibitors adverse effects, Stroke prevention & control, Stroke etiology, Stroke epidemiology, Pyrazoles therapeutic use, Pyrazoles adverse effects, Pyrazoles administration & dosage, Rivaroxaban administration & dosage, Rivaroxaban therapeutic use, Pyridones therapeutic use, Pyridones adverse effects, Pyridones administration & dosage, Hemorrhage chemically induced
- Abstract
Aims: This study aimed to determine the robustness, reproducibility and representativeness of the landmark Apixaban for Reduction in Stroke and Other Thromboembolic Events in Atrial Fibrillation (AF) (ARISTOTLE) and Rivaroxaban Once Daily Oral Direct Factor Xa Inhibition Compared with Vitamin K Antagonism for Prevention of Stroke and Embolism Trial in AF (ROCKET AF) randomised trials through replication in an observational AF patient registry., Methods and Results: Patients from the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD (GARFIELD)-AF registry treated with apixaban, rivaroxaban or vitamin K antagonist (VKA) were assessed for eligibility for the ARISTOTLE and ROCKET AF trials. HRs of apixaban and rivaroxaban versus comparator for stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding and all-cause mortality within 2 years follow-up were calculated using propensity score overlap-weighted Cox models. Among GARFIELD-AF patients on apixaban, 2570/3615 (71%) would have been eligible for ARISTOTLE. Among patients using rivaroxaban, 2005/4914 (41%) would have been eligible for ROCKET AF. Eligibility rates were steady over time, with minor differences across medical specialties. Real-world AF patients selected according to trial criteria had lower cardiovascular burden than the original trial participants, especially compared with ROCKET AF. HRs (95% CI) for apixaban versus VKA among ARISTOTLE-eligible users were 0.57 (0.34 to 0.94) for stroke/systemic embolism, 0.76 (0.48 to 1.20) for major bleeding and 0.89 (0.70 to 1.12) for all-cause mortality. Among ROCKET AF-eligible rivaroxaban users, HRs for rivaroxaban versus VKA were 0.90 (0.57 to 1.43), 0.92 (0.59 to 1.43) and 0.86 (0.69 to 1.08), respectively. All safety and efficacy estimates were similar to those in the original trials., Conclusion: Real-world representativeness of the selection criteria was greater for ARISTOTLE than ROCKET AF. The pivotal randomised trials of apixaban and rivaroxaban versus warfarin can be successfully emulated in real-world AF patients by applying trial-specific selection criteria and appropriate methodology for non-randomised treatment allocation., Trial Registration Number: NCT01090362., Competing Interests: Competing interests: JC reports institutional grants and personal fees from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Pfizer/BMS and Daiichi Sankyo. KP has consultancies with Johnson & Johnson, Element Science, Artivion and Novartis. FV received grants from Bayer Healthcare and personal fees from Bayer Healthcare, BMS/Pfizer, Daiichi-Sankyo, and Boehringer-Ingelheim. J-PB received a personal fee from Thrombosis Research Institute, during the conduct of the study. FM is a former employee of Bayer AG. FC reports speaker fees from Boehringer Ingelheim Pharma, Bayer, Pfizer and Daiichi-Sankyo Europe and a modest research grant from Daiichi-Sankyo Europe. HG received honoraria from Bayer Australia, Eli Lilly Australia, Pfizer Australia and BMS Australia. AKK received personal fees and grants from Bayer AG, Sanofi S.A. and Anthos Therapeutics. JCLH, SV, REH and ACPB report no conflicts of interest., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2025. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
- Published
- 2025
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