1. Quantifying Compound and Nonlinear Effects of Hurricane‐Induced Flooding Using a Dynamically Coupled Hydrological‐Ocean Model.
- Author
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Bao, Daoyang, Xue, Z. George, and Warner, John C.
- Subjects
STORM surges ,BODIES of water ,RIVER channels ,HURRICANE Florence, 2018 ,TERRITORIAL waters ,ROUTING systems ,FLOODS - Abstract
We recently developed a dynamically coupled hydrological‐ocean modeling system that provides seamless coverage across the land‐ocean continuum during hurricane‐induced compound flooding. This study introduced a local inertial equation and a diagonal flow algorithm to the overland routing of the coupled system's hydrology model (WRF‐Hydro). Using Hurricane Florence (2018) as a test case, the performance of the coupled model was significantly improved, evidenced by its enhanced capability of capturing backwater and increased water level simulation accuracy and stability. With four model experiments, we present a framework to detangle, define, and quantify compound and nonlinear effects. The results revealed that the flood peaks in the lower Cape Fear River Basin and the coastal waters were contributed by inland flooding and storm surge, respectively. These two processes had comparable contributions to the flooding in the Cape Fear River Estuary. The compound effect was identified when the flood levels resulting from the combination of land and ocean processes surpassed those caused by an individual process alone. The compound effect during Hurricane Florence exhibited limited impact on flood peaks, primarily due to the time lag between the peaks of the storm surge and the inland flooding. In the period between the two peaks, the compound effect was salient and significantly impacted the magnitude and variation of the flood level. The nonlinear effect, defined as the difference between the compound flood level and the superposition of storm surge and inland flooding water levels, reduced flood levels in the river channels while increasing flood levels on the floodplain. Plain Language Summary: This study addresses the phenomenon of hurricane‐induced compound flooding, which arises when inland waters and storm surges coincide at the land‐ocean boundary. We've devised a hydrological‐ocean model that effectively covers such events. This model, enhanced with new algorithms, was tested using Hurricane Florence (2018) data, showing marked improvements in predicting water levels and tide effects. Our research delineates and quantifies the complex interplay between different flooding sources during such events. Key findings include the determination that both inland flooding and storm surges contributed equally to the flooding in the Cape Fear River Estuary. However, the overlapping impact of these processes, termed the "compound effect," was limited in its influence on peak flood levels, mainly due to the time gap between storm surge and inland flooding peaks. Another crucial discovery was the "nonlinear effect," which accounts for discrepancies in predicted flood levels. This effect tended to decrease flood levels in river channels but increased them on floodplains. Key Points: A local inertial equation and a diagonal flow algorithm were introduced to a newly developed dynamically coupled hydrological‐ocean modelStrong compound effect between hydrological and ocean processes occurred between their peaksThe nonlinear effect reduced the flood peaks in the river channels while amplifying them on the floodplains [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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