19 results on '"Kang, Sang‐Hoon"'
Search Results
2. Regime specific spillover across cryptocurrencies and the role of COVID-19
- Author
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Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, Bouri, Elie, Kang, Sang Hoon, and Saeed, Tareq
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Quantile spillovers and connectedness analysis between oil and African stock markets.
- Author
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Mensi, Walid, Vo, Xuan Vinh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
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BEAR markets ,BULL markets ,COVID-19 pandemic ,PETROLEUM ,PORTFOLIO management (Investments) ,STOCKS (Finance) ,VOLATILITY (Securities) - Abstract
This study examines the spillovers and connectedness between oil and the African stock markets under bearish, normal, and bullish market conditions. Using the quantile connectedness method, we find higher spillovers under bearish market conditions than in both tranquil and bullish market conditions. Oil is a net transmitter of spillovers in the African markets. Furthermore, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, and South Africa are net receivers of spillovers, and Tunisia, Egypt, Morocco, and Mauritius are net transmitters of spillovers in the lower quantile. In the median quantile, Ghana shifts to being a net transmitter of spillovers, whereas Egypt becomes a net receiver of spillovers. In the upper quantiles, all markets are net transmitters of spillovers, except for Mauritius and Egypt. We find a strong connectedness between oil and the Nigerian market during bearish and tranquil market conditions which alleviates the bullish market scenario. Moreover, spillovers reached the maximum level in early 2020, corresponding to the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. The portfolio analysis shows that an optimally weighted portfolio offers the best downside risk for all markets. The hedged portfolio offers the best risk reduction for all economies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Frequency spillovers between green bonds, global factors and stock market before and during COVID-19 crisis.
- Author
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Mensi, Walid, Vo, Xuan Vinh, Ko, Hee-Un, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
COVID-19 pandemic ,BONDS (Finance) ,GREEN bonds ,STOCK exchanges ,INVESTORS ,VOLATILITY (Securities) ,PORTFOLIO diversification ,SILVER coins - Abstract
This paper examines frequency dynamic spillovers in return and volatility and the hedging ability of Green Bonds, gold, silver, oil, the US dollar index, and volatility index against downside US stock prices before and during the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak and for the short and long run. To do so, we use the Diebold and Yilmaz (2014), the TVP-VAR model, and the frequency spillover index by Baruník and Křehlík (2018). We show that the short-term volatility spillovers dominate their long-term counterparts. Green Bond is net transmitters of spillovers in the system at the short term and net receivers at the long term. S&P500 and silver (USDX and oil) are net transmitters (receivers) of short- and long-term spillovers. Gold and VIX are net receivers of short-term spillovers and net transmitters of long-term spillovers. COVID-19 crisis has more effects on the short-term spillover, which reaches its highest level early 2020. COVID-19 and time horizons lead the direction and the magnitude of spillovers. The Quantile-on-Quantile regression analysis shows significant nonlinear relationships between markets under study. More interestingly, we show that green bonds and gold are safe haven assets for US equity investors during COVID-19. On the other hand, a mixed portfolio offers higher diversification benefits. Finally, hedging effectiveness is dependent on COVID-19 and time horizon. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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5. COVID-19 and time-frequency spillovers between oil and sectoral stocks and portfolio implications: Evidence from China and US economies.
- Author
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Mensi, Walid, Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed, Vo, Xuan Vinh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
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COVID-19 pandemic ,RATE of return on stocks ,INVESTORS ,PETROLEUM industry ,PETROLEUM - Abstract
This paper examines the volatility spillovers and the time-frequency dependence between crude oil and stock sectors in the U.S. and China using both wavelet coherence and asymmetric BEKK GARCH models. This study also investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on spillover effects and portfolio management. The results reveal strong positive co-movements between WTI oil and US sector stock returns at medium and low frequencies particularly in 2020Q1. We find significant long-term co-movements between oil and Chinese sector stock returns (64–128 days). Furthermore, the findings reveal a significant and asymmetric volatility transmission between oil and sector stocks in both the US and Chinese economies. The evidence of spillovers is more pronounced during the COVID-19 period. It is recommended that equity investors should hold more stocks than oil assets to minimize risk without reducing the expected return. Finally, hedging with oil is expensive for U.S. sectors during the pandemic but inexpensive for Chinese sectors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. COVID-19 pandemic's impact on intraday volatility spillover between oil, gold, and stock markets.
- Author
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Mensi, Walid, Vo, Xuan Vinh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
VOLATILITY (Securities) ,STOCK exchanges ,COVID-19 pandemic ,PETROLEUM ,GOLD as an investment ,HEDGING (Finance) - Abstract
This study examines the volatility spillovers between the US stock market (S&P500 index) and both oil and gold before and during the global health crisis (GHC). We apply the FIAPARCH-DCC model to the 15-minute intraday data. The results showed negative (positive) conditional correlations between the S&P500 and gold (oil). The time-varying conditional correlations between markets were higher during COVID-19 spread. Moreover, gold offers more diversification gains than oil does during the pandemic. Hedging is more expensive during a pandemic than before. Oil provides higher hedging effectiveness (HE) than gold for all sub-periods. HE was lower during the COVID-19 outbreak for both oil and gold. These findings have important implications for both equity investors and policymakers. • We examined the spillovers between the oil, gold, and S&P500 markets before and during the pandemic. • We show negative (positive) conditional correlations between the S&P500 and gold (oil). • The hedging strategy is more expensive during COVID-19 pandemic spread. • Oil provides higher hedging effectiveness than gold before and during COVID-19. • The hedging effectiveness is lower during COVID-19 outbreak for both oil and gold. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. Dynamic and frequency spillovers between green bonds, oil and G7 stock markets: Implications for risk management.
- Author
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Mensi, Walid, Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, Vo, Xuan Vinh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
BONDS (Finance) ,GREEN bonds ,VOLATILITY (Securities) ,PETROLEUM ,ENERGY futures ,COVID-19 pandemic ,STOCK exchanges - Abstract
This paper examines the dynamic and frequency spillovers between global Green Bonds (GBs), WTI oil and G7 stock markets using the time–frequency spillover index by Baruník and Křehlík (2018) and wavelet coherency approach. The results show that the spilllovers is dynamic and crisis-sensitive. Furthermore, adding GBs and oil futures to stock portfolio reduces the spillover size during turmoil periods. The short-term spillovers (up to five trading days) represent the largest proportion of the total spillovers. A significant jump in spillovers is observed in the early of COVID-19 outbreak (March–April 2020). Interestingly, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, and UK are the net transmitters of spillovers, whereas Japan and GBs are the net recipients of the spillovers, irrespective of time horizons. Oil and US stock market shift from net contributors in short term to net receipts in medium and long terms. Wavelet coherence analysis reveals significant co-movements between G7 stock markets and both oil and GBs. The co-movements are more pronounced in both medium and long terms and during COVID-19 spread where both oil and GBs lead stock markets. GBs provide higher diversification benefits to G7 investors than oil in the short-term. The hedging is expensive at the long term for GBs and intermediate term for WTI oil. Finally, the hedge effectiveness of crude oil is higher than GBs, irrespective of time horizons. • Asymmetric spillovers between GBs, WTI, and G7 markets. • France and Germany are the net transmitters of spillovers. • GBs and WTI are the net recipients of spillovers. • The spillovers intensify in short-time horizons than in the intermediate and long-terms. • GBs (WTI) is a strong (weak) diversifier against G7 stocks markets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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8. The impacts of COVID-19 crisis on spillovers between the oil and stock markets: Evidence from the largest oil importers and exporters.
- Author
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Ali, Syed Riaz Mahmood, Mensi, Walid, Anik, Kaysul Islam, Rahman, Mishkatur, and Kang, Sang Hoon
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STOCK exchanges ,COVID-19 pandemic ,FUTURES market ,ENERGY futures ,PRICE wars ,HIGH-frequency trading (Securities) ,FINANCIAL crises - Abstract
This study examines the multiscale spillovers and nonlinear causalities between the crude oil futures market and the stock markets of the United States (US), Canada, China, Russia, and Venezuela before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using the wavelet coherency method, we find strong co-movement between the oil futures market and these five stock markets, particularly from March 2020 to May 2020 (initial period of the COVID-19 outbreak) at high frequency. Furthermore, we find positive co-movements at low frequency during the overall COVID-19 period. This finding suggests that the bearish trend of stock markets is associated with a downward movement in oil prices. Using the wavelet-based Granger causality approach, we find that the oil and stock indices have less co-movement on a smaller scale but greater movement on a larger scale across all periods. As an exception, the Russian market is significantly influenced by oil prices, even on a small scale, before the COVID-19 period, but not after the beginning of the pandemic. We also find effects in the opposite direction—the Canadian and U.S. markets influence oil prices on a small scale during the COVID-19 period, an effect that is not visible for the U.S. market in the pre-COVID-19 sample. The results also show a significant bidirectional causality from oil to stock markets and vice versa during Russian-Saudi oil price war at high scale. Furthermore, we find that investors should hold more oil futures than stock shares in their portfolios for all periods. This evidence confirms that oil instruments are important for hedging during normal periods and act as safe-haven assets during crisis periods. We observe that the U.S. and Canadian stock markets were more affected by oil price shocks than were other countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Modeling the frequency dynamics of spillovers and connectedness between crude oil and MENA stock markets with portfolio implications.
- Author
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Mensi, Walid, Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed, Vo, Xuan Vinh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
PETROLEUM ,MARKET timing ,COVID-19 pandemic ,ENERGY futures ,FUTURES ,PORTFOLIO diversification ,GLOBAL Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 ,FUTURES market ,STOCK exchanges - Abstract
This paper examines the frequency of spillovers between crude oil futures and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) stock markets. We use the methodologies proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and Baruník and Křehlík (2018) and the wavelet coherency approach. The results show time-varying volatility spillovers in the considered markets. The short-term spillovers are higher than their intermediate-term counterparts. The highest jump in spillovers occurs during the COVID-19 outbreak, followed by the global financial crisis and the recent oil price crash. The spillovers are higher for oil-exporting countries than oil-importing countries. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are the main contributors to spillovers in the short and intermediate terms. Brent oil, Egypt, Morocco, and Turkey are the net receivers of spillovers in the short term, and they switch to become net contributors to spillovers in the intermediate term. Turkey and oil-exporting stock markets receive more spillovers than oil-importing stock markets irrespective of the time frequency. Wavelet analysis shows evidence of co-movements between oil futures and stock markets at intermediate and low frequencies. The lead–lag relationships between crude oil and stock markets are mixed and time-varying. Moreover, a mixed portfolio offers diversification benefits. Hedging is more expensive during the pandemic period and particularly in the intermediate term compared to the short term. Hedging effectiveness is highest during the COVID-19 pandemic in the short and intermediate terms for almost all markets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
10. Dynamic spillover and connectedness in higher moments of European stock sector markets.
- Author
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Nekhili, Ramzi, Mensi, Walid, Vo, Xuan Vinh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Abstract
This study examines the spillovers in high-order moments (realized volatility, jumps, skewness, and kurtosis) among European stock sectoral indices. Using 5-minute data from January 2, 2013 to January 7, 2022, we show that the four sources of systemic risk, namely, volatility, jumps, skewness, and kurtosis, are transmitted from four main sectors before and during COVID-19 pandemic. Further, volatilities and jumps (bad volatility) associated with activities of the European energy and chemicals sectors that spillover shocks to other European markets are the greatest sources of systemic risk. Whereas, skewness (asymmetry) and kurtosis (fat-tail) associated with activities of the European industrial and insurance sectors that spillover shocks to other European markets are the greatest sources of systemic risk. [Display omitted] • We examine the spillovers in high-order moments among European stock sectoral indices. • Volatility, jumps, skewness, and kurtosis, are transmitted from four main sectors before and during COVID-19 pandemic. • Volatilities and jumps are associated with activities of the European energy and chemicals sectors. • Skewness and kurtosis are associated with activities of the European industrial and insurance sectors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Quantile connectedness and spillovers analysis between oil and international REIT markets.
- Author
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Mensi, Walid, Nekhili, Ramzi, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Abstract
• We examine the quantile return spillovers between oil and international REIT. • The extreme oil–REIT nexus is heterogeneous and asymmetric. • The return spillover is stronger at lower quantiles. • The oil market acts as a net transmitter during the downside period. • The hedging strategy is expensive during COVID-19. We examine the quantile return spillovers between oil and international REIT markets (Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, New Zealand, Singapore, UK, and US). Using a quantile connectedness approach, we show that the extreme oil–REIT nexus is heterogeneous and asymmetric. The return spillover is stronger at lower quantiles. Furthermore, the oil market acts as a net transmitter of return spillovers to the REIT markets during times of downside return and a net receiver of spillovers during upside returns. The hedging strategy is expensive during COVID-19, with oil offering the highest hedging effectiveness for Hong Kong. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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12. Frequency spillovers between oil shocks and stock markets of top oil-producing and -consuming economies.
- Author
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Ziadat, Salem Adel, Mensi, Walid, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
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COVID-19 pandemic , *PETROLEUM , *FINANCIAL markets , *INVESTMENT information , *TIME-domain analysis , *HEAT shock proteins - Abstract
Motivated by large oil price swings, high economic and geopolitical uncertainties, and the financialization of oil, this paper examines the frequency spillovers and co-movements between oil shocks (risk and demand) and the stock markets of top oil-producer and consumer countries, namely, Canada, China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the US. The analysis uses the time-domain spillover index of [1], the frequency-domain spillover of [2]; and the wavelet coherence approach. The findings reveal that spillovers run from the U.S., Canada, and, to a lesser extent, Russia to oil shocks. On the other hand, oil shocks, Saudi Arabia, and China constitute net receivers of shocks. The intensity of spillovers is heavier in the short-term frequency than in the intermediate- and long-term. Furthermore, the direction of spillovers is more defined in the long-term. The U.S. stock market exerts a strong impact on oil risk in general, but the impact is stronger in the short-term. Conversely, an oil demand shock is susceptible to innovations from Canada and Russia that are stronger in the long-term. This means that oil risk shock stemming from innovations in financial markets is short-lived and dissipates quickly due to quick reactions from market participants. On the contrary, long-term links characterize the relationship between oil demand shock and financial markets, mirroring the macroeconomic nature of the linkages. Finally, while the 2008 crisis, EDC, oil price crash, and the COVID-19 pandemic coincided with strong spillovers in the short-term, the COVID-19 era was marked by higher spillovers in the long term. The findings provide important information for investors and policymakers in terms of diversification, risk management, and efforts to mitigate contagion. • This paper examines the frequency spillovers and co-movements between oil shocks and the stock markets. • We use the time-frequency spillover index method and the wavelet coherence approach. • Spillovers run from the U.S., Canada, and, to a lesser extent, Russia to oil shocks. • Oil shocks, Saudi Arabia, and China constitute net receivers of shocks. • The intensity of spillovers is heavier in the short-term frequency than in the intermediate- and long-term. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Dynamic connectedness and network in the high moments of cryptocurrency, stock, and commodity markets
- Author
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Waqas Hanif, Hee-Un Ko, Linh Pham, Sang Hoon Kang, Hanif, Waqas, Ko, Hee-Un, Pham, Linh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
high moments ,Management of Technology and Innovation ,spillovers ,high frequency ,hedging ,Finance - Abstract
This study examines the connectedness in high-order moments between cryptocurrency, major stock (U.S., U.K., Eurozone, and Japan), and commodity (gold and oil) markets. Using intraday data from 2020 to 2022 and the time and frequency connectedness models of Diebold and Yilmaz (Int J Forecast 28(1):57–66, 2012) and Baruník and Křehlík (J Financ Econom 16(2):271–296, 2018), we investigate spillovers among the markets in realized volatility, the jump component of realized volatility, realized skewness, and realized kurtosis. These higher-order moments allow us to identify the unique characteristics of financial returns, such as asymmetry and fat tails, thereby capturing various market risks such as downside risk and tail risk. Our results show that the cryptocurrency, stock, and commodity markets are highly connected in terms of volatility and in the jump component of volatility, while their connectedness in skewness and kurtosis is smaller. Moreover, jump and volatility connectedness are more persistent than that of skewness and kurtosis connectedness. Our rolling-window analysis of the connectedness models shows that connectedness varies over time across all moments, and tends to increase during periods of high uncertainty. Finally, we show the potential of gold and oil as hedging and safe-haven investments for other markets given that they are the least connected to other markets across all moments and investment horizons. Our findings provide useful information for designing effective portfolio management and cryptocurrency regulations.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. Modeling the frequency dynamics of spillovers and connectedness between crude oil and MENA stock markets with portfolio implications
- Author
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Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee, Walid Mensi, Xuan Vinh Vo, Sang Hoon Kang, Mensi, Walid, Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed, Vo, Xuan Vinh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,Middle East ,05 social sciences ,Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous) ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,Diversification (finance) ,02 engineering and technology ,Monetary economics ,frequencies ,oil ,Brent Crude ,symbols.namesake ,0502 economics and business ,Financial crisis ,MENA stock markets ,symbols ,Economics ,Portfolio ,spillovers ,021108 energy ,050207 economics ,Volatility (finance) ,hedging ,Futures contract ,Stock (geology) - Abstract
This paper examines the frequency of spillovers between crude oil futures and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) stock markets. We use the methodologies proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and Baruník and Křehlík (2018) and the wavelet coherency approach. The results show time-varying volatility spillovers in the considered markets. The short-term spillovers are higher than their intermediate-term counterparts. The highest jump in spillovers occurs during the COVID-19 outbreak, followed by the global financial crisis and the recent oil price crash. The spillovers are higher for oil-exporting countries than oil-importing countries. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are the main contributors to spillovers in the short and intermediate terms. Brent oil, Egypt, Morocco, and Turkey are the net receivers of spillovers in the short term, and they switch to become net contributors to spillovers in the intermediate term. Turkey and oil-exporting stock markets receive more spillovers than oil-importing stock markets irrespective of the time frequency. Wavelet analysis shows evidence of co-movements between oil futures and stock markets at intermediate and low frequencies. The lead–lag relationships between crude oil and stock markets are mixed and time-varying. Moreover, a mixed portfolio offers diversification benefits. Hedging is more expensive during the pandemic period and particularly in the intermediate term compared to the short term. Hedging effectiveness is highest during the COVID-19 pandemic in the short and intermediate terms for almost all markets. Refereed/Peer-reviewed
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Dynamic and frequency spillovers between green bonds, oil and G7 stock markets: implications for risk management
- Author
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Walid Mensi, Muhammad Abubakr Naeem, Xuan Vinh Vo, Sang Hoon Kang, Mensi, Walid, Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, Vo, Xuan Vinh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous) ,spillovers ,green bonds ,oil ,frequencies ,hedging ,G7 stock markets - Abstract
Refereed/Peer-reviewed This paper examines the dynamic and frequency spillovers between global Green Bonds (GBs), WTI oil and G7 stock markets using the time-frequency spillover index by Barunik and Krehlik (2018) and wavelet coherency approach. The results show that the spilllovers is dynamic and crisis-sensitive. Furthermore, adding GBs and oil futures to stock portfolio reduces the spillover size during turmoil periods. The short-term spillovers (up to five trading days) represent the largest proportion of the total spillovers. A significant jump in spillovers is observed in the early of COVID-19 outbreak (March-April 2020). Interestingly, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, and UK are the net transmitters of spillovers, whereas Japan and GBs are the net recipients of the spillovers, irrespective of time horizons. Oil and US stock market shift from net contributors in short term to net receipts in medium and long terms. Wavelet coherence analysis reveals significant co-movements between G7 stock markets and both oil and GBs. The comovements are more pronounced in both medium and long terms and during COVID-19 spread where both oil and GBs lead stock markets. GBs provide higher diversification benefits to G7 investors than oil in the short-term. The hedging is expensive at the long term for GBs and intermediate term for WTI oil. Finally, the hedge effectiveness of crude oil is higher than GBs, irrespective of time horizons. (C) 2021 Economic Society of Australia, Queensland. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
- Published
- 2022
16. Sensitivity of US sectoral returns to energy commodities under different investment horizons and market conditions
- Author
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Mobeen Ur Rehman, Xuan Vinh Vo, Ron McIver, Sang Hoon Kang, Rehman, Mobeen Ur, Vo, Xuan Vinh, McIver, Ron, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,General Energy ,energy markets ,US sector returns ,Quantile regression ,spillovers - Abstract
This study investigates relationships between US equity sector returns and energy commodity— crude oil, natural gas, gasoline, and gas oil—prices over short-run and long-run investment horizons. We decompose 22 years of daily raw return series on sampled US sectors and energy commodities into short-run and long-run components using variational mode decomposition (VMD). We employ quantile regression to observe US sector return behaviours under differing market conditions. Our results identify important differences in these behaviours by energy commodity, timeframe, and market condition. This includes, on average, differences in the sign and magnitude of quantile regression coefficients on energy commodities by investment horizon. While remaining susceptible to energy market changes in the short run, US sectors are recipients of greater volatility spillovers over the long run. Our results suggest a greater potential to achieve diversification benefits in the short run, and greater homogeneity in the effect of energy commodity on US sector returns across all quantiles in the long run. Our results have implications for investors, portfolio managers, and policy makers. Refereed/Peer-reviewed
- Published
- 2022
17. Asymmetric spillover and network connectedness between gold, BRENT oil and EU subsector markets
- Author
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Walid Mensi, Imran Yousaf, Xuan Vinh Vo, Sang Hoon Kang, Mensi, Walid, Yousaf, Imran, Vo, Xuan Vinh, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,Crises ,spillovers ,Gold ,crude oil ,Finance ,European equity sectors - Abstract
Refereed/Peer-reviewed This study examines the dynamic asymmetric return spillovers between gold and oil commodity futures and 22 European equity sectors using the Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) approach. The results show that gold and oil markets are the net recipients of return transmissions from the system, whereas the majority of equity sectors are the net transmitters of return spillovers in the system. Furthermore, negative spillovers are stronger than positive spillovers, suggesting asymmetry in return spillovers. Gold is the smallest recipient/transmitter of return spillovers from/to the system. The time-varying symmetric and asymmetric return spillover rises during the 2011–12 European debt crisis, 2014–15 oil crisis, 2016 Brexit referendum, and the COVID-19 crisis episodes, providing evidence of contagion. More interestingly, the COVID-19 crisis has had the biggest impact on positive and negative return transmission among the markets under study. The pairwise network connectedness analysis reveals the energy (basic resources) sector as the biggest transmitter of positive and negative return spillovers to the crude oil (gold) market. Finally, portfolio risk and downside-risk reduction analyses suggest an optimal weights-based strategy to minimize the risk for gold-stock and oil-stock-based portfolios during down markets. Overall, gold (oil) is considered to diversify the risk of all (few) European equity sectors during crisis and non-crisis periods.
- Published
- 2022
18. The impacts of COVID-19 crisis on spillovers between the oil and stock markets: evidence from the largest oil importers and exporters
- Author
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Syed Riaz Mahmood Ali, Walid Mensi, Kaysul Islam Anik, Mishkatur Rahman, Sang Hoon Kang, Ali, Syed Riaz Mahmood, Mensi, Walid, Anik, Kaysul Islam, Rahman, Mishkatur, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,frequency ,Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous) ,COVID-19 ,spillovers ,stock markets ,oil - Abstract
Refereed/Peer-reviewed This study examines the multiscale spillovers and nonlinear causalities between the crude oil futures market and the stock markets of the United States (US), Canada, China, Russia, and Venezuela before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using the wavelet coherency method, we find strong co-movement between the oil futures market and these five stock markets, particularly from March 2020 to May 2020 (initial period of the COVID-19 outbreak) at high frequency. Furthermore, we find positive co-movements at low frequency during the overall COVID-19 period. This finding suggests that the bearish trend of stock markets is associated with a downward movement in oil prices. Using the wavelet-based Granger causality approach, we find that the oil and stock indices have less co-movement on a smaller scale but greater movement on a larger scale across all periods. As an exception, the Russian market is significantly influenced by oil prices, even on a small scale, before the COVID-19 period, but not after the beginning of the pandemic. We also find effects in the opposite direction-the Canadian and U.S. markets influence oil prices on a small scale during the COVID-19 period, an effect that is not visible for the U.S. market in the pre-COVID-19 sample. The results also show a significant bidirectional causality from oil to stock markets and vice versa during Russian-Saudi oil price war at high scale. Furthermore, we find that investors should hold more oil futures than stock shares in their portfolios for all periods. This evidence confirms that oil instruments are important for hedging during normal periods and act as safe-haven assets during crisis periods. We observe that the U.S. and Canadian stock markets were more affected by oil price shocks than were other countries.
- Published
- 2022
19. Quantile dependencies and connectedness between stock and precious metals markets
- Author
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Prachi Jain, Debasish Maitra, Ron P. McIver, Sang Hoon Kang, Jain, Prachi, Maitra, Debasish, McIver, Ron P, and Kang, Sang Hoon
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,quantile frequency connectedness ,quantile coherency ,precious metals ,spillovers ,stocks ,Finance - Abstract
The paper examines the frequency-based interlinkages between stock indices and precious metals at extreme and median quantiles. It employs the quantile cross-spectral approach (Baruník and Kley, 2019) and the novel frequency quantile connectedness analysis (Chatziantoniou et al., 2021) to a sample of stocks and precious metals returns. The results show that the interdependence between equity indices and precious metals markets is contingent on the state of the market (bear, bull, or normal) and the horizon of frequency domains. Of all precious metals, the diversification benefits from gold, followed by silver, are consistently the highest for SP500 and STOXX50 and the least with palladium in most cases. The same holds when we investigate the diversification potential of precious metals for industrial sectors in the US and UK. A quantile frequency connectedness approach reveals that the diversification potential of precious metals diminishes in the long frequency horizon as coherence with stock indices becomes highly positive. The connectedness between stock indices and precious metals is high during market extremities but dampens as the market attains stability. At the same time, connectedness increases during periods of financial turmoil across all frequencies. We also document a change in the diversification role of precious metals during COVID-19. Refereed/Peer-reviewed
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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