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Background: Detailed modelling of the neutral mutational process in cancer cells is crucial for identifying driver mutations and understanding the mutational mechanisms that act during cancer development. The neutral mutational process is very complex: whole-genome analyses have revealed that the mutation rate differs between cancer types, between patients and along the genome depending on the genetic and epigenetic context. Therefore, methods that predict the number of different types of mutations in regions or specific genomic elements must consider local genomic explanatory variables. A major drawback of most methods is the need to average the explanatory variables across the entire region or genomic element. This procedure is particularly problematic if the explanatory variable varies dramatically in the element under consideration. Results: To take into account the fine scale of the explanatory variables, we model the probabilities of different types of mutations for each position in the genome by multinomial logistic regression. We analyse 505 cancer genomes from 14 different cancer types and compare the performance in predicting mutation rate for both regional based models and site-specific models. We show that for 1000 randomly selected genomic positions, the site-specific model predicts the mutation rate much better than regional based models. We use a forward selection procedure to identify the most important explanatory variables. The procedure identifies site-specific conservation (phyloP), replication timing, and expression level as the best predictors for the mutation rate. Finally, our model confirms and quantifies certain well-known mutational signatures. Conclusion: We find that our site-specific multinomial regression model outperforms the regional based models. The possibility of including genomic variables on different scales and patient specific variables makes it a versatile framework for studying different mutational mechanisms. Our model can serve as the neutral null model for the mutational process; regions that deviate from the null model are candidates for elements that drive cancer development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A cancer of unknown primary (CUP) is a metastatic cancer for which standard diagnostic tests fail to locate the primary cancer. As standard treatments are based on the cancer type, such cases are hard to treat and have very poor prognosis. Using molecular data from the metastatic cancer to predict the primary site can make treatment choice easier and enable targeted therapy. In this article, we first examine the ability to predict cancer type using different types of omics data. Methylation data lead to slightly better prediction than gene expression and both these are superior to classification using somatic mutations. After using 3 data types independently, we notice some differences between the classes that tend to be misclassified, suggesting that integrating the data might improve accuracy. In light of the different levels of information provided by different omics types and to be able to handle missing data, we perform multi-omics classification by hierarchically combining the classifiers. The proposed hierarchical method first classifies based on the most informative type of omics data and then uses the other types of omics data to classify samples that did not get a high confidence classification in the first step. The resulting hierarchical classifier has higher accuracy than any of the single omics classifiers and thus proves that the combination of different data types is beneficial. Our results show that using multi-omics data can improve the classification of cancer types. We confirm this by testing our method on metastatic cancers from the MET500 dataset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]