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Background: Management of severe acute malnutrition (SAM) has been a program priority in Ethiopia, but it remains the leading cause of mortality in under-five children. Hence, this study aimed to identify the incidence density rate of mortality and determinants among under-five children with severe acute malnutrition in St. Paul's Hospital Millennium Medical College, 2012 to 2019., Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted and data were collected using a structured checklist from 673 charts, of which 610 charts were included in the final analysis. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve with Log-rank test was used to estimate the survival time. Bi-variable and multi-variable Cox proportional hazard regression models were fitted to identify determinants of death. Schoenfeld residuals test was used to check a proportional hazard assumption. Goodness of fit of the final model was checked using Nelson Aalen cumulative hazard function against Cox-Snell residual., Results: In this study, 61 (10%) children died making the incidence density rate of death 5.6 (95% CI: 4.4, 7.2) per 1000 child-days. Shock (Adjusted Hazard Ratio) [AHR] =3.2; 95% CI: 1.6, 6.3)), IV fluid infusion (AHR = 5.2; 95% CI: 2.4, 10.4), supplementing F100 (AHR = 0.12; 95%CI: 0.06, 0.23) and zinc (AHR = 0.45; 95% CI: 0.22, 0.93) were determinants of death., Conclusion: The overall proportion of deaths was within the range put forth by the Sphere standard and the national SAM management protocol. Shock and IV fluid infusion increased the hazard of death, whereas F100 & zinc were found to decrease the likelihood death. Children with SAM presented with shock should be handled carefully and IV fluids should be given with precautions., (© 2021. The Author(s).)

Introduction: Malnutrition is a public health problem in under-five children in several parts of the world even after decades of the implementation of management protocols. An estimated 17 million children under the age of five years are living with severe acute malnutrition and the majorities are found in Asia and Africa, including Ethiopia., Objective: The main objective of this study was to determine the recovery rate and its predictors among under-five children who were admitted to St. Paul's Hospital Millennium Medical College from 2012 to 2019., Methods: An institution based retrospective cohort study was employed at St. Paul's Hospital Millennium Medical College from May 20, 2019 to June 28, 2019. Data were collected by reviewing children's' medical records using a structured checklist. A total of 534 charts were selected using a simple random sampling method and 515 of them were used for the final analysis. Ep-info version 7 software was used for data entry and STATA Version 15 for analysis. The Kaplan Meier failure estimate with Log-rank test was used to determine the survival estimates. Bi-variable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model were fitted to identify predictors of mortality. Finally, variables with p-values less than 0.05 in the multivariable Cox regression were considered as independent predictors. The proportional hazards assumption was checked using the Schoenfeld residuals test and the final model fitness was checked using the Cox-Snail residual test., Result: In this study, a total of 515 subjects were followed for 8672 child-days and 79% of the subjects recovered from SAM with the median time of 17 days. The incidence density rate of recovery was 46 per 1000 child-days. Tuberculosis (AHR(Adjusted Hazard Ratio) 0.44 & 95% CI: 0.32, 0.62), pale conjunctiva (AHR,0.67 & 95% CI: 0.52, 0.88), IV fluid infusion (AHR, 0.71 & 95 CI: 0.51, 0.98), feeding F100 (AHR, 1.63 & 95% CI:1.04,2.54), Vitamin A supplementation (AHR, 1.3 & 95% CI:1.07, 1.59) and bottle feeding (AHR, 0.79 & 95CI%: 0.64-0.98) were the independent predictors of time to recovery from SAM., Conclusion: In conclusion, the recovery rate was relatively higher than the Sphere standard and the national SAM management protocol. Co-morbidities and the treatments given were the main determinants of recovery of children. Co-morbidities must be managed as early as possible and the treatments given during the SAM management process need to be given with precaution., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Background: Severe acute malnutrition affects around 17 million under-five children in the world, of which the highest burden is accounted by Sub-Saharan Africa where Ethiopia is found. Though there are few individual, inconsistent and inconclusive studies, there is no nationally representative study on treatment outcomes of SAM in outpatient therapeutic feeding programs of Ethiopia. This study aimed at estimating the pooled treatment outcomes and predictors of recovery rate among under- five children with SAM in Ethiopia., Methods: Electronic databases (PubMed, Medline (EBSCOhost), EMBASE (Elsevier), CINAHL (EBSCOhost), web of science, Scopus, Science Direct and Food Science and Technology Abstracts (FSTA)), and grey literature sources (Google scholar, Mednar, World Cat and google) were used to retrieve articles. The random effect model was used to estimate the pooled treatment outcomes. Hazard ratios were used to determine the predictors of recovery rate. Cochran's Q, I 2 , and univariate Meta regression were done for heterogeneity. Begg's & Egger's tests were used for publication bias., Results: Nineteen articles with a total number of 23,395 under-five children with SAM were used for this meta-analysis. The pooled recovery, death, defaulter and non-recovery rates were 70% (95% CI: 64, 76), 2% (95% CI: 1, 2), 10% (95%CI: 7, 12), 15% (95% CI: 10, 20), respectively. Diarrhea (HR = 0.8, 95% CI: 0.75, 0.94), no edema (HR = 0.41, 95% CI: 0.33, 0.50) and amoxicillin (HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.18, 2.44) were independent predictors of recovery rate of children with SAM in Ethiopia. Publication year was found to be the potential source of heterogeneity between included studies., Conclusion: The treatment outcomes of children with SAM from outpatient therapeutic feeding programs of Ethiopia are lower than the sphere guidelines, WHO and national recommendations. Diarrhea and no edema antagonized the recovery rate of children, while amoxicillin enhanced the recovery rate of children from SAM. Community health workers need to be trained. Especial attention should be given while treating children with diarrhea and severe wasting. Community mobilization is also recommended to improve community awareness about the therapeutic foods.