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Background: Progressive lung function decline, resulting in respiratory failure, is an important complication of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). The ability to predict the need for mechanical ventilation is important. We assessed longitudinal patterns of lung function prior to chronic respiratory failure in a national cohort of treatment-naïve children and adults with SMA, hypothesizing an accelerated decline prior to chronic respiratory failure., Methods: We included treatment-naïve SMA patients participating in a prospective national cohort study if they required mechanical ventilation because of chronic respiratory failure and if lung function test results were available from the years prior to initiation of ventilation. We analyzed Forced Vital Capacity (FVC), Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 s (FEV 1 ), Peak Expiratory Flow (PEF) and Maximum Expiratory Pressure (PE max ). We studied the longitudinal course using linear mixed-effects models. We compared patients who electively started mechanical ventilation compared to patients who could not be weaned after acute respiratory failure., Results: We analyzed 385 lung function tests from 38 patients with SMA types 1c-3a. At initiation of ventilation median age was 18.8 years (IQR: 13.2-30.1) and median standardized FVC, FEV 1 and PEF were 28.8% (95% CI: 23.5; 34.2), 28.8% (95% CI: 24.0; 33.7) and 30.0% (95% CI: 23.4; 36.7), with an average annual decline of 1.75% (95% CI: 0.86; 2.66), 1.72% (95% CI: 1.04; 2.40) and 1.65% (95% CI: 0.71; 2.59), respectively. Our data did not support the hypothesis of an accelerated decline prior to initiation of mechanical ventilation. Median PE max was 35.3 cmH 2 O (95% CI: 29.4; 41.2) at initiation of mechanical ventilation and relatively stable in the years preceding ventilation. Median FVC, FEV 1, PEF and PE max were lower in patients who electively started mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001)., Conclusions: Patterns of lung function decline cannot predict impending respiratory failure: SMA is characterized by a gradual decline of lung function. We found no evidence for an accelerated deterioration. In addition, PE max remains low and stable in the years preceding initiation of ventilation. Patients who electively started mechanical ventilation had more restrictive lung function at initiation of ventilation, compared to patients who could not be weaned after surgery or a respiratory tract infection., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Background: Respiratory complications are the most important cause of morbidity and mortality in spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). Respiratory muscle weakness results in impaired cough, recurrent respiratory tract infections and eventually can cause respiratory failure. We assessed longitudinal patterns of respiratory muscle strength in a national cohort of treatment-naïve children and adults with SMA, hypothesizing a continued decline throughout life., Methods: We measured maximal expiratory and inspiratory pressure (PE max and PI max ), Sniff Nasal inspiratory pressure (SNIP), peak expiratory flow (PEF), and peak cough flow (PCF) in treatment-naïve patients with SMA. We used mixed-models to analyze natural history patterns., Results: We included 2172 measurements of respiratory muscle function from 80 treatment-naïve patients with SMA types 1c-3b. All outcomes were lower in the more severe phenotypes. Significant differences in PEF were present between SMA types from early ages onwards. PEF decline was linear (1-2%/year). PEF reached values below 80% during early childhood in types 1c-2, and during adolescence in type 3a. PE max and PI max were severely lowered in most patients throughout life, with PE max values abnormally low (i.e. < 80 cmH 2 O) in virtually all patients. The PE max /PI max ratio was < 1 throughout life in all SMA types, indicating that expiratory muscles were most affected. All but SMA type 3b patients had a lowered PCF. Patients with types 2b and 3a had PCF levels between 160 and 270 L/min, those with type 2a around 160 L/min and patients with type 1c well below 160 L/min. Finally, SNIP was low in nearly all patients, most pronounced in more severely affected patients., Conclusions: There are clear differences in respiratory muscle strength and its progressive decline between SMA types. We observed lower outcomes in more severe SMA types. Particularly PEF may be a suitable outcome measure for the follow-up of respiratory strength in patients with SMA. PEF declines in a rather linear pattern in all SMA types, with clear differences at baseline. These natural history data may serve as a reference for longer-term treatment efficacy assessments., (© 2022. The Author(s).)