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The past decade witnessed substantial discoveries related to the psychosis spectrum. Many of these discoveries resulted from pursuits of objective and quantifiable biomarkers in tandem with the application of analytical tools such as machine learning. These approaches provided exciting new insights that significantly helped improve precision in diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment. This article provides an overview of how machine learning has been employed in recent biomarker discovery research in the psychosis spectrum, which includes schizophrenia, schizoaffective disorders, bipolar disorder with psychosis, first episode psychosis, and clinical high risk for psychosis. It highlights both human and animal model studies and explores a varying range of the most impactful biomarkers including cognition, neuroimaging, electrophysiology, and digital markers. We specifically highlight new applications and opportunities for machine learning to impact noninvasive symptom monitoring, prediction of future diagnosis and treatment outcomes, integration of new methods with traditional clinical research and practice, and personalized medicine approaches.

Cortical thickness reductions differ between individuals with psychotic disorders and comparison subjects even in early stages of illness. Whether these reductions covary as expected by functional network membership or simply by spatial proximity has not been fully elucidated. Through orthonormal projective non-negative matrix factorization, cortical thickness measurements in functionally-annotated regions from MRI scans of early-stage psychosis and matched healthy controls were reduced in dimensionality into features capturing positive covariance. Rather than matching the functional networks, the covarying regions in each feature displayed a more localized spatial organization. With Bayesian belief networks, the covarying regions per feature were arranged into a network topology to visualize the dependency structure and identify key driving regions. The features demonstrated diagnosis-specific differences in cortical thickness distributions per feature, identifying reduction-vulnerable spatial regions. Differences in key cortical thickness features between psychosis and control groups were delineated, as well as those between affective and non-affective psychosis. Clustering of the participants, stratified by diagnosis and clinical variables, characterized the clinical traits that define the cortical thickness patterns. Longitudinal follow-up revealed that in select clusters with low baseline cortical thickness, clinical traits improved over time. Our study represents a novel effort to characterize brain structure in relation to functional networks in healthy and clinical populations and to map patterns of cortical thickness alterations among ESP patients onto clinical variables for a better understanding of brain pathophysiology.

Motivational and perceptual disturbances co-occur in psychosis and have been linked to aberrations in reward learning and sensory gating, respectively. Although traditionally studied independently, when viewed through a predictive coding framework, these processes can both be linked to dysfunction in striatal dopaminergic prediction error signaling. This study examined whether reward learning and sensory gating are correlated in individuals with psychotic disorders, and whether nicotine—a psychostimulant that amplifies phasic striatal dopamine firing—is a common modulator of these two processes. We recruited 183 patients with psychotic disorders (79 schizophrenia, 104 psychotic bipolar disorder) and 129 controls and assessed reward learning (behavioral probabilistic reward task), sensory gating (P50 event-related potential), and smoking history. Reward learning and sensory gating were correlated across the sample. Smoking influenced reward learning and sensory gating in both patient groups; however, the effects were in opposite directions. Specifically, smoking was associated with improved performance in individuals with schizophrenia but impaired performance in individuals with psychotic bipolar disorder. These findings suggest that reward learning and sensory gating are linked and modulated by smoking. However, disorder-specific associations with smoking suggest that nicotine may expose pathophysiological differences in the architecture and function of prediction error circuitry in these overlapping yet distinct psychotic disorders.